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Little update because I got at least some interest. I have been working on the Retrosheet event files, which give a play-by-play account of games to varying degrees. From these you can reconstruct quite a bit, obviously the further you go back the less quality it is and (e..g, you don't get pitch data until ~1990).
Anyway I am now giving all games a uniquely generated ID, to simply the DB operations. Testing my play-by-play processor, and it turns out that game 100,000 was played between Baltimore and Boston on September 6th, 1963. I am generating that looks like this:
applyPlay B1 BOS 1 BAL 0 2 outs
BAL poweb101 at bat BOS monbb101 pitching
onBase: 1: 2: 3:
play= D/78
double
play runs= 0 outs= 0
applyPlay B1 BOS 1 BAL 0 2 outs
BAL gentj101 at bat BOS monbb101 pitching
onBase: 1: 2: poweb101 3:
play= W
walk
runner on 2 does not advance
play runs= 0 outs= 0
applyPlay B1 BOS 1 BAL 0 2 outs
BAL branj101 at bat BOS monbb101 pitching
onBase: 1: gentj101 2: poweb101 3:
play= HR.2-H;1-H
home run
runner on 2 ( poweb101 ) scored
runner on 1 ( gentj101 ) scored
basesAdv= {1, 2}
play runs= 3 outs= 0
The "play" line is what I'm getting from Retrosheet, from there I have to infer just about everything else. (It does have inning and batter info, but I also keep track of this internally and verify I am doing the right thing, so like it says a certain batter is up, I check to see if they were next in the order)
Anyway parsing some of these "play" lines can be quite challening... this particularly game I think everything was the same as Baseball reference (I summarize at the end), except like one catcher assist was credited as a putout.
I feel like there's a good argument for both. On the one hand you could say that it's a lot to throw him in there against a division rival with a tough lineup and the adrenaline spike making him throw a little too hard/wild right off the bat.
On the other hand you could say who knows how long he'll last this year and shoot your shot while he's healthy.
Why do you have to extend him? Verlander was signed for a few years when they got him. The extension isn’t part of the deal.
It was a separate outcome and that’s a big difference.
Im against making poor moves that are likely to fail.