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Everything posted by Tony-OH

  1. http://www.orioleshangout.com/2019/02/16/birds-chatter-spring-training-preview/ Again, please give us some feedback and yes, constructive criticism is fine as well. Do you guys like these? Are they worth our time to produce? Would you want them more often with less production value (something like a splitscreen web cam thing) or do you like this format? Hope you guys enjoy and please share or like this on social media (Twitter/Facebook) if you enjoyed our effort.
  2. We shot this back in November while just trying some things out and thought we'd go ahead and put this out. It's a little dated when it comes to the Elias discussion, but we then go into our main focus which is Orioles prospects. This was just a bare bones runs through so if it goes over well our hope is to do one of these a month next season starting with a spring training preview show in February. We broke this down into three episodes and covered the top ten pretty thoroughly and then went into the 11-30 guys a bit. Again, this was more of a give it a whirl and see how it comes out and I guess we think he came out well enough to share. We tried to have some fun with this and if you listen to Terry Ford it's hard not to have some fun. Let us know what you think. What would you like us to add in the future? We thought about adding some videos of the prospects we're talking about and perhaps some interviews with prospects/coaches like I've done in the past. Either way, let us know what you think, even it's to say how bad I was! haha. Thanks To Gregg Landry (Blue rock Productions) for producing this and of course to my co-host Terry Ford! Part one Part two Part three
  3. Tony-OH

    Who replaces Joe Angel

    I'd love to see Terry get a shot as well. He would be interesting.
  4. Tony-OH

    2019 Spring Training Tracker

    This is where we will track significant activity throughout spring training. This will be updated with cuts and additional players acquired throughout the spring. Starters Dylan Bundy - (2/1) Coming off a down 2018 season, Bundy looks to rebound Alex Cobb - (2/1) Got off to a slow start, but a strong second half could make him a a viable trade chip at the trading deadline Andrew Cashner - (2/1) Probably a 5th starter/swingman on most teams, Cashner will most likely settle in as the O's 3rd starter Nate Karns - (2/7) Signed for 800K plus incentives, if healthy and can stay healthy, he's got an excellent chance to up at the 4th starter. David Hess - (2/1) Unless he implodes or has an injury, you have to expect he will be in the rotation right now (2/7) If Karns is healthy and pitches well, it puts Hess back into the 5th starter's competition and will now need to outpitch the other candidates this spring Josh Rogers - (2/1) Has as much chance as any other candidate to win the 5th starter's job. Yefry Ramirez – (2/1) Showed flashes last year and probably is better off as a reliever at the big level, but should get a chance to compete for a rotation spot. John Means - (2/1) Has to be in the conversation for the 5th starter job. Showed flashes last year in AAA of being ready. Luis Ortiz – (2/1) The Orioles may want to see him get more experience in AAA, but a great spring could springboard him into the 5th starter’s job (2/13) Ortiz told MASN he lost 25 pounds this off season. Hunter Harvey – (2/1) Sounds like a broken record, but just needs to stay healthy and go back to AA and perform well. Could be interesting to see if the new regime converts him to a reliever. Dillion Tate – (2/1) Another pitcher that may need a move to the bullpen, but for now he’ll get a look and probably end up back in AA again. (NR) Dean Kremer – (2/1) As a non-roster guy with less than half a season above A-ball, he’s here to get a look by the big league staff. (2/14) Kremer has a left oblique strain that could put him behind by at least two more weeks. He suffered the injury in an off season throwing incident. (NR) Gabriel Ynoa – (2/1) Coming back after missing all of 2019, Ynoa may be better suited to a relief role but may end up a starter in AAA Relievers Mychal Givens (R) - (2/1) Should be the closer this year Richard Bleier (L) – (2/1) Missed most of last year with an injury, but may be the only other reliever pretty much guaranteed a spot in the bullpen. Miguel Castro (R) – (2/1) His command took a big step back last season, but has the stuff and experience to be an innings eater in the pen. Tanner Scott (L) – (2/1) Showed flashes of being a dominant reliever at times but can still be a box of chocolates because of his inconsistent command. Paul Fry (L) – (2/1) Ate some important innings at times last year, but doesn’t dominate lefties Jimmy Yacabonis (R) - (2/1) Used as a starter at times, he’s better suited to a multiple innings reliever and could be valuable part of the bullpen. Pedro Araujo (R) – (2/1) If healthy. has to be kept on the big league roster for part of April in order for the Orioles to be able to keep him helps him make the team out of spring training. Cody Carroll (R) – (2/1) Really struggled in his major league debut last season, but a clean slate and a lack of experienced relievers gives him a chance to make the big league team Branden Kline (R) – (2/1) A good spring could certainly springboard him past AAA and onto the big league team. Mike Wright Jr. (R) – (2/1) It will be really interesting to see how much of a chance Wright gets after another sub-par season and really poor analytics that suggest he won’t improve Donnie Hart (L) – (2/1) Hart gets a second life due to his above average spin rate on his slider and is out of options, but he may need an injury to make the team. Evan Phillips (R) – (2/1) Was downright awful in his major league taste last season and has an uphill battle to make the team. (NR) Sean Gilmartin (L) – (2/1) Pitched really well and was a bit surprising he was DFA’d off the reoster before being resigned. Actually could make the team with a good spring. (NR) Chris Lee (L) – (2/1) Flashes potential but doesn’t miss many bats and has struggled in most chances above AA. (NR) Josh Lucas (R) – (2/1) A depth reliever with major league experience would really need to be dynamic to earn a spot. (NR) Zach Pop (R) – (2/1) Hard throwing right-handed who will probably end up back in AA or AAA to start season but who could see time in Baltimore in 2019 (NR) Bo Schultz (R) – (2/1) A 33-year old former major leaguers who is looking for a comeback with the Orioles (NR) Gregory Infante (R) – (2/1) Two year removed from a decent season as a reliever for the White sox, the 31-year old right-hander will get a chance this spring (2/14) Reportedly has an illness that has kept him from leave Venezuela. Whatever slim chances he had of making the team will not be helped by being delayed into camp. Catchers Austin Wynns – (2/1) Comes into the season as the only catcher in camp with a spot on the opening day roster minus a complete meltdown this spring. Chance Sisco – (2/1) Coming off an awful season that saw him struggle both offensively and defensively. Still has a chance to make the team and earn playing time with a good spring. (NR) Jesus Sucre – (2/1) The Rays backup catcher last season is coming off an awful offensive season but is solid defensively. Has as good a chance as any catcher in camp to make the team. (2/13) Apparently has Visa problems and has not reported to camp. For a guy who is in teh running for a major league job, that's not a good start. (NR) Carlos Perez – (2/1) Spent time with Texas and Atlanta last season but has yet to translate good AAA numbers to the major league level. (NR) Andrew Susac – (2/1) Known more for his defense, he did not show well in his limited opportunity last season (NR) Martin Cervenka – (2/1) Really nice season at Bowie last season earned him a look this spring. (NR) Cael Brockmeyer - (2/13) Career minor leaguer signed in January brought into camp dur to Sucre's Visa problems First Base Chris Davis – (2/1) Although he could end up at DH or maybe even given a look in right field, it’s all about whether his bat can rebound for a historically bad season. Second Base Jonathan Villar – (2/1) Although he could play SS, it appears with the Rule 5 draftees the Orioles are hoping to play him at second base every day. Shortstop Richie Martin – (2/1) The #1 pick in the Rule five draft, Martin is the odds on favorite to make the team, but will also compete for the starting shortstop job due to his defensive skills. Drew Jackson – (2/1) The other Rule five draft pick Jackson will compete with Martin for the shortstop position but also will be in the utility job competition. Third Base Renato Nunez – (2/1) The starting third baseman for most of last season, Nunez showed enough to be the odds on favorite to win the job this year. Rio Ruiz – (2/1) Claimed off waivers from Atlanta by Elias, Ruiz will get a fresh start after struggling in Atlanta. (NR) Ryan Mountcastle – (2/1) One of the Orioles top prospects, it will be more interesting to see where Mountcastle plays with the new regime. He’ll be at AAA to start the year. Utility Steve Wilkerson - (2/1) – Was a favorite of the previous regime, he has a tentative hold on his 40-man roster spot and will need a great spring and some injuries/poor performance to make the team. Hanser Alberto – (2/1) Has yet to take his AAA hitting success to his limited chances in the majors but can play all three infield positions (NR) Christopher Bostick – (2/1) Played a lot of outfield last season, but has the ability to play second base and third base. Could see more time in the outfield though listed as an infielder. (NR) Jace Peterson – (2/1) The Orioles utility guy last season has an uphill battle to break camp with the Orioles. Will provide AAA depth. (NR) Zach Vincej – (2/1) Has the ability to play shortstop and has hit a bit in AAA. (NR) Jack Reinheimer – (2/1) Passed through waivers three times this offseason. Reinheimer’s ability to play shortstop could make him a solid utility candidate. (2/7) DFA'd to make room for Nate Karns and remains in limbo (2/14) Passed through waivers, assigned to Norfolk and invited back to camp where he will compete for a utility job. Leftfield/Rightfield Trey Mancini – (2/1) Orioles still list him as an outfielder but he could end up at first base with Davis going to DH. For now, we’ll list him here but he will see first base and maybe DH time. DJ Stewart – (2/1) Odds on favorite right now to make the team and could end up the regular left or right fielder with a good spring. Doesn’t really have the arm to play RF, but could end up there. Joey Rickard – (2/1) Put up his best offensive numbers last season and is one of the best defensive outfielders in camp. Has a good chance of not just making the team but starting against lefties. Anthony Santander – (2/1) Former rule 5 pick had a down year last season and will need a good year to re-shine his star. Has flashed a good hit tool and raw power. Austin Hays – (2/1) One of the Orioles top prospects, he’ll get a look in the spring but is most likely heading to AA or AAA to start the year. Mark Trumbo – (2/1) – May not be ready and could start the season on the disabled list. Will probably see more time at DH than right field but we’ll list him here. (NR) Mike Yastrzemski – (2/1) Can play all three outfield positions, but is more of a left fielder. Probably heading back to AAA to provide depth. (NR) Yusniel Diaz – (2/1) One of the Orioles top prospects, Diaz will start 2019 in AA or AAA. Centerfield Cedric Mullins – (2/1) Switch-hitting centerfielder should be the everyday starter but could sit some against lefties giving way to Rickard. (NR) Ryan Mckenna – (2/1) Getting a chance to show the new staff his ability this spring but should be heading back to Bowie to start 2019. Cuts/Moves Jack Reinheimer – (2/1) Passed through waivers three times this offseason. Reinheimer’s ability to play shortstop could make him a solid utility candidate. (2/7) DFA'd to make room for Nate Karns and remains in limbo.
  5. Tony-OH

    Elias Progress Thread

    I thought it would be a good idea to keep a timeline of major actions of new GM Mike Elias in one thread for quick viewing. I will sticky this and we'll put the moves with dates so we can look at timeline in the future as he rebuilds the franchise. Please help us keep this up to date by replying in this thread with moves. 2018 Nov 16 - Orioles Hire Mike Elias Nov 20 - Designated SS Engelb Vielma for assignment. - Selected the contract of RHP Dillon Tate from Bowie Baysox. Nov 21 - Hired Sig Mejdal as Assistant GM, Analytics Nov 24 - Signed infielder Zach Vincej to a minor league contract - Signed infielder-outfielder Chris Bostick to a minor league contract Nov 27 - Scouting Director Gary Rasich not retained - Hired Chris Holt (Former: Astros’ assistant pitching coordinator) to be Minor League Pitching Coordinator. Nov 28 - Signed right-handed reliever Josh Lucus to minor league deal Nov 30 - Director of Player Development Brian Graham not retained - Tim Beckham and Caleb Joseph are non-tendered. Dec 13 - Selected Oakland SS Richie Martin in Rule 5 Draft Dec 13 - Traded with Philadelphia for SS Drew Jackson (subject to rule 5 restrictions) Dec 14 - Hired Brandon Hyde as Manager (finally official) Dec 27 - Jose Flores for MLB coaching staff Dec 27 - Tim Cossins hired for unspecified coaching position Jan 2 - Hired Koby Perez Senior Director of International Scouting January 4, 2019 Selected Austin Brice off waivers from the Los Angeles Angels. January 5, 2019 Sold Breyvic Valera to the San Francisco Giants. January 8, 2019 Signed Carlos Perez as a free agent. January 11, 2019 Signed Gregory Infante as a free agent. Selected Hanser Alberto off waivers from the New York Yankees. January 28, 2019 Selected Jack Reinheimer off waivers from the Texas Rangers. DFA'd Brice. February 4, 2019 Austin Brice selected by the Miami Marlins off waivers. February 7, 2019 Signed Nate Karns as a free agent. DFA'd Reinheimer.
  6. Tony-OH

    Orioles Hangout Pilot Web TV show

    Ha, my part is over. I'm at the mercy of the producer.
  7. Tony-OH

    2019 Spring Training Tracker

    Updated with Kremer's injury update.
  8. Tony-OH

    MLB and Union talk major rule changes

    I am completely in favor of the universal DH and 26 -man rosters though I don't think a team should be limited to the amount of pitchers they can keep. Personally, I like matchup relief pitchers and the strategy that comes with whether to use a guy now or later in a critical situation. I'm a Tony LaRussa guy and don't think he ruined baseball at all, but rather added strategy. I hate any idea of making a guy face a minimum amount of batters or have to complete a whole inning. There is a lot of strategy on the use of relievers when it comes to how often they pitch, how many days rest they have, how many pitches they threw, etc. The 26-man roster would also allows for an extra pinch hitter to offset those matchups bringing even more strategy. To speed up pitching changes, managers should be required signal before they hit the base line and once signaled, a pitcher should stop throwing and immediately make his way to the mound. A clock would be set at one minute and 20 seconds and starts the second the manager signals. The pitcher must be on the rubber and ready to pitch to a batter at that point or a ball will be awarded to the batter and every ten seconds another ball will be awarded. TV could adjust by running a picture in picture 30-second commercial (allowing for pertinent stats/information to be displayed) while the pitcher is running out there leaving the announcer about 30 seconds for analysis of the new pitcher. The pitcher gets as many warm up tosses he can make under his 1 minute 20 second time.
  9. Tony-OH

    Hyde: "I won't manage to the save stat"

    Please put smiley faces or something behind supposed quotes so not to confuse people. I know you are joking but I guessing some will not.
  10. Tony-OH

    2019 Spring Training Tracker

    While I would have zero issues with trying him at 2B, I don't think the long arm action and lack of arm speed/strength would not allow him to turn the double play effectively or make any plays up the middle. On top of it, I think he would have below average range at second base. If you are willing to live with a well below average defensive second baseman, then sure, give him a shot, but I'm guessing that Elias is trying to sure up the defense up the middle so that won't work. Saying all that, if they wanted to give that a shot at AAA and see how it plays, no problem but at this point, I'd still put him in left field and see how he does.
  11. Tony-OH

    Grayson Rodriguez vs. Matthew Liberatore

    I haven't seen neither pitch live, and I can't say whether one is better than the other, but I'm guessing if Rodriquez was a Rays prospects and Liberatore was an Orioles prospects the rankings would be switched. This is why I give very little thought into national rankings. I believe we are the only folks that have Rodriguez number two in the organization ahead of the media darling Diaz and even Mountcastle.
  12. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    I'm going to put out my "crystal ball" assessment after our new Video show is released on Friday.
  13. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    There really are a lot of things you look for in a minor league hitter, but within the stats the K rate along with K-BB ratio are two important stats to watch for. They give you a decent indicator, but there are other things you have to observe like ability to hit good velocity, breaking pitches, and how they perform against the better competition. The issue is, you really don't know until they get to the major leagues whether they hit major league hitters. There are volumes of guys who could hit AA or even AAA pitching, but couldn't make that jump to the big leagues. The jump from the minors to the majors is the biggest jump any player will make, but if you see a trend of their number falling off as the move up to AA and AAA, that's a bad sign.
  14. Tony-OH

    Caleb is a Diamondback

    Happy for him that he got a pretty good deal that will at least pay him decently if he's in the minors. I hope to see him in the big leagues again this year and hope he rebounds from a tough year.
  15. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    With his very slow foot speed, it would be doubtful he could play anywhere effectively other than possibly first base, and he doesn't have the power to play there.
  16. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    It goes to show how hard it is to define prospects. Without statcast information, it's really tough to spot some of these things. But honestly, even if we did have statcast information, it does not equate whether or not he can make the jump against better stuff at higher levels. Until we can start getting statcast information on minor leaguers, it's tough to do an assessment off quality of pitching faced. Remember, minor leaguer "prospects" are having success against minor league pitchers. That success gives us an indication that he should have success in the majors, but until he starts to face major league stuff, we won't totally know if they can make the adjustments. With minor league statcast information, we'd be able to see how they hit against certain pitches and velocity, which could give us more indications of future success. For me, statcast information for the minor leagues is the holy grail of information needed for better prospect evaluations.I'm keeping my fingers crossed it will be made available to the public soon.
  17. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    Honestly, I've put enough stats out there that I'm not going to respond once again. If you wanna cherry pick some stats and say "see, he's just like Mike Trout" be my guest. Enjoy the board.
  18. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    One, I didn't completely write him off and say he should be released. Two, I just pointed to the facts (stats) to back up my assessment. His stats up to AA mean nothing at this point. You can write a very long book on players who maxed out at AA. Considering the options, I'd see if Sisco is able to make some kind of adjustment or see if the new data he will have access to will help him, but the fact that he was so dominated (like historically bad through his first 150 major league PAs) by major league pitching does not bode well, especially since he's not a plus defender at an important defensive position.
  19. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    I wouldn't say it's a character problem, but reports of him not being too active in hunting out information to help himself and his pitchers have come from multiple sources. Not a big "want to" guy who is more "Californian cool" than a baseball rat who searches for ways to better himself and his pitchers. Some of it could be immaturity, but did you ever ask yourself why Buck buried him when the team was going nowhere?
  20. Tony-OH

    Who are the 25 O's on the Opening Day Roster

    What do you like about Sisco? Is it his below average defense across the board? Is it high strikeout rate above AA? Is it his falling BB rate above AA? Is it his astronomically high K rate in the majors and WHIFF rate? 35.9% WHIFF vs 24% MLB avg Is it his lack of power? xSLG .308 vs .399 MLB avg Is it his lack of leadership? Is it his lack of in zone contact? 70.5% vs 83.2% MLB avg Is it his horrid chase contact? 36.4% vs 60.2 % MLB avg Is it his inability to not any pitch effectively last year? .204 xBA vs fastballs, .122 xBa vs breaking balls, and .185 xBA vs offspeed? What part of his game do you expect to get better and why? I'm not saying he can't improve, but the numbers are pretty scary. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/chance-sisco-642082?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb The only thing he has going for him in all of the numbers is an average exit velocity but his misses contact so much it doesn't play. I'm only pointing this out because I'm not sure that people really understand how bad the numbers looks for Sisco. We're not talking about guy who struggled a bit, we're talking about guy who was dominated and doesn't have the statcast numbers to suggest major improvement. He will need to seriously defy the odds to become a good major league player at this point.
  21. It boggles my mind that any shade can be thrown at Elias and company 2-3 months into his tenure. Just because you have money to spend doesn't mean you overspend for talent. That's a great way to get a bad rap. If a guy is rated as a 2nd or 3rd round talent, then giving him $2.5 million seems like an overpay. Next year when you are negotiating with prospects, they will be like, "You gave Sanchez $2.5 million and they are similar talents." There's nothing wrong with discussion the on-goings of course, but I just don't see how you do anything but give them the benefits of the doubt at this point. As the old saying goes, "Rome wasn't built in a day." And Elias and company are starting with Atlantis to build from.
  22. I think his answer spoke volumes though.