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Hallas

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About Hallas

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    Somewhere in the LA area
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    software engineer

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  1. It's still insulting to vote Baines in without knowing the HOF status of Martinez. And I'll also reiterate my previous point that you can't just be an above-average hitter (which is what Baines was) if you're never playing the field. You have to be one of the best hitters in the league. Like Martinez was. And like David Ortiz was. Like Mike Trout would be if he DHed 100% of the time.
  2. 1: I wouldn't have voted in Bud Selig, 2: he's a friggin executive, you know that's not an equivalent example. There isn't a (realistic) limit to the production of WAR a DH can get. If Mike Trout were a DH he'd still be a HOFer. Harold Baines is not (and never was) Mike Trout. Lastly, Harold Baines isn't even the most productive DH in his own time period. That award goes to Edgar Martinez by any measure, modern or otherwise. You won't be able to convince me that Baines deserves to go in before Martinez.
  3. Hallas

    TheRinger article on trading for prospects

    Sure, but the teams are still pulling the trigger on the trades, which would imply that they're at least semi satisfied with their return. And the article does address the general shift toward acquiring and keeping prospects, almost to the point where trading for MLB talent may be the better call.
  4. https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2018/12/10/18133919/baseball-trades-prospect-rankings-top-50-busts There's a couple things here: Obviously the 2018 O's should be trading anything and everything, which they did. I've always felt that the O's had the right idea trading prospects for deadline talent in 2012-2016. The O's either did a bad job in terms of getting real value back for their talent, or their player development sucks so bad that a change of scenery was beneficial for a large number of players traded. The desire for publications to downgrade a prospect because they were traded to the Orioles isn't just limited to the Orioles because they're bad; many publications at least consider this, regardless of what team they end up on. If your team is close, I increasingly believe that you should follow the Duquette strategy of trying to reload every year. The payoff for trying to develop your own talent, combined with your ability to game the system due to the the information mismatch that exists between your own prospects and other team's prospects, makes this a winning proposition IF you can identify tradeable talent. Of course, this strategy is predicated on having a real player development pipeline, which is Elias's primary job. Given that, you can largely reload for MLB caliber talent based on the quality of your prospects and make out ahead once your initial pipeline starts producing MLB results.
  5. I'm not sure I follow - asking someone to make a layup with Mutumbo in the paint is more like trying to hit into the shift and beat it anyway. You beat players like Shaq/Mutumbo by chucking 3s, which is why true centers aren't as valued in today's game as stretch 4s and three point sharpshooters, and why Dirk Nowitzki still might have a job at age 40. When a team has to defend 4 guys that can hit a 3, having Shaq (the 370 lb version that couldn't outrun Grandma) is a liability. The same applies for hitters hitting it the other way. I don't believe pitchers have a ton of directional control regarding balls in play - that's mostly on the hitter. Otherwise shifts wouldn't occur on a hitter-to-hitter basis. I'm fully aware that some current players may be screwed in the transition, but that's the way things shake sometimes. The NBA took a long time to come up with a new scheme to counteract the influence of big men. I'm almost certain that baseball will take less time than that. Baseball has always found a way to adapt, either through new talent or through player adjustments,
  6. Now that you mention it, I wonder if there are stipulations if he, say, gets a PED suspension or retires with money on the table.
  7. Aside from Schoop playing badly enough to get non-tendered, this investment was also totally screwed by major league teams suddenly deciding to stop spending money on FAs. The past 3 years the FA value of a win has largely stayed stagnant after a period of like 10 years where it went up by around 5-10% every year. He probably would have made around $10m in arb if he went there, so it's not like that's a huge loss, but he's likely not going to to get any sort of big deal that will cover the price of the investment. I suppose he could sign a 3/30 deal next year if he plays well, and after that it's going to be a series of 1 year deals for close to the veteran minimum until he's ready to retire. If he plays really well next year he might be able to get a 4/45 deal, which is probably the best case scenario. Either way he's barely going to cover the upfront fee, and will likely not net the investors a good rate of return if he even covers the upfront cost.
  8. There's a (pretty convincing, in my opinion) argument to be made that choking up doesn't really do anything that changing your bat couldn't do. Given the ease of acquiring new equipment at the pro level, I would imagine that most players would opt for getting a new bat. If you need to choke up on a 29 or 30 ounce bat, either you've got arms longer than an NBA center, or maybe you just need to hit the weight room, or maybe you don't belong in MLB. Also, I'd probably argue that when the players themselves have honed their skills to play a particular way over thousands of hours of practice, it's kind of hard for them (especially for players over 25-28) to suddenly change their hitting mechanics without having some negative effects on their performance. Sure, given enough time it's possible, but baseball at the Major League level isn't exactly a sport/league that gives players a lot of time to figure things out. (okay, maybe unless you signed a 7 year 150+ million dollar contract despite being a TTO first baseman with terrible aging comparables...) edit to add: I am against changing the rules to ban shifts. Even if that screws players in the current era over, players will adapt. The "meta" will force incoming players to adapt and adjust, or be left behind. We will likely see younger batters being taught how to use the whole field (a skill that was scoffed at during 90s and early 2000s era Moneyball) which will neutralize the shift. And this will likely bring down HR and SO numbers as well. Let the game evolve on its own. I don't think the NFL's constant tinkering with the rules is a service to the sport, and I don't think that MLB should follow their example for quick fixes to a problem that doesn't involve player safety, and will solve itself given enough time.
  9. Hallas

    Elias' Brady comments (Connolly article)

    Yeah, the franchise was already ruined. 😅
  10. Hallas

    Brian Graham Out

    He's due $92 million. I'm not going to get into the details of deferred money, but if you want to make it a nice round 80 (this is being really generous to the deferral) that's fine with me. That means you're okay walking away from $24 million. And it's not like that's $24 million that would otherwise go to a homeless shelter. That's a bold statement, to say the least.
  11. Hallas

    Brian Graham Out

    Teams tend to also be a little nicer to former high-profile players that transition to coaching/FO. Though, there's been a fair amount of negative publicity regarding Brady's role with the team, so I'm not sure how much further this goodwill extends. Plus, since Brady wouldn't get that kind of autonomy/reporting structure anywhere else (unless he snagged a GM role somewhere) it would behoove him to make the most of his opportunity with Elias, especially since I believe he has GM aspirations. That said, we're also only 5 weeks into the offseason and 2 out of 3 are gone. It's a long way to February and Spring Training.
  12. Hallas

    Maryland vs Virginia

    This is a really good showing by the Terps, and if they had a couple of other games against top-25 teams, I would totally give them a pass. But it's really hard to grade them when their only quality win at this point is Marshall (outside top-25 but decent team) and they kept it close vs UVa. Plus the fact that they haven't really had a great history of closing out wins vs top-25 teams in the past, it's hard to give them the benefit of the doubt. Honestly there aren't many teams that are going to beat UVa. on a night when they go 40%+ from beyond the arc (and it looked like the Terps were defending pretty well) so it's definitely a plus that the Terps are able to keep it this close.
  13. Hallas

    Dumping a Bad Contract. Is the Bar About to be Set?

    Part of being able to draw a walk is being able to command enough respect from pitchers to make them throw non strikes at you. If he can't hit then pitchers will have no reason to throw him balls out of the strike zone, and his past history indicates that he isn't the type to manufacture his own OBP. That said, Cano is probably still a good player and the proposed trade makes zero sense.
  14. Hallas

    Britt Ghiroli Appreciation Thread

    I was honestly skeptical of her, given that she was a fresh grad, and graduated from MSU, with few ties to the area. But she has pleasantly surprised.
  15. Hallas

    2019 Terps

    Wait, what? The Terps have been to the big dance the last 3 years, including a S16 appearance the year Stone was with us. I agree that being one-and-done like last year isn't exactly heartwarming, but during GW's first 4 playoff appearances, he was one-and-done twice.
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