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DrungoHazewood

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DrungoHazewood last won the day on March 16

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About DrungoHazewood

  • Rank
    Hangout Contributor
  • Birthday 6/19/1971

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  • Location
    SoMd
  • Homepage
    http://
  • Interests
    Nate, Sam, Baseball, Soccer, Virginia Tech sports, Hiking, Cooking, Photography, Mad treks to the far corners of the globe
  • Occupation
    Electronics Engineer/Program Manager
  • Favorite Current Oriole
    Manny Machado
  • Favorite All Time Oriole
    Doug DeCinces

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  1. I saw this clip on Youtube, and very poor quality, but I figure you would get a kick out of it

     

  2. DrungoHazewood

    Grade the Gausman Deal

    So it does appear he's throwing more splitters. But his GB% has only gone up a tiny amount. The primary driver for his better ERA is that .252 BABIP. Low BABIP coupled with low K rate sounds a lot like the bet the O's took on Cashner.
  3. DrungoHazewood

    How Long is the Road to Contention?

    I think it's possible it'll be 4-5 years until they're a good team again. But then again we thought the same thing in '88, and '11. Does Gordo remember what the consensus was in '54? That's was pretty comparable. Baseline of 50-some wins a year and no farm system to speak of. Got to .500 in '57, slid back the next few years, 89 and 95 wins in '60 and '61, World Series in '66.
  4. DrungoHazewood

    Grade the Gausman Deal

    According to Fangraphs he threw 22% splitters with the O's, 19% with the Braves. How does getting more runs make up for the fact you allow a #3-4 starter level of runs (4.14) per game?
  5. DrungoHazewood

    Grade the Gausman Deal

    113 National League pitchers have made five or more starts this year. Gausman is 107th in K/9, at 5.8. He has a 3.88 FIP, and a 4.38 xFIP. His walk rate is higher than it was in Baltimore. And his BABIP is 58 points lower than his career mark. All of that points to an nice little 8-start run where he's seen a lot of balls hit at his fielders and that's making up for a disconcertingly low strikeout rate. But if you want to dabble in the dark arts and assume the ghost of Leo Mazzone has enabled some pitching to contact wizardry that's fine, too.
  6. DrungoHazewood

    30-3 Alert

    This is like no hitter probabilities. The 50/50 point for a no hitter is probably somewhere in or after the 8th inning. So if you see a guy has a no hitter going in the 6th, he probably has a 5% or 10% chance at it. An average team gets roughly a hit an inning, so they get 2, 3, 4 hits on average in the 7th-9th. An average team scores a run every other inning. In an early blowout that might go up a bit for the rest of the game, with poor reliever and/or position players pitching. But even at that, a game that's 15-0 after three is likely to end with the winning team scoring 18 or 19 runs. Since 1900 there have been something like 175,000 MLB games, and one of them saw 30 runs by one team. The surest way to see at team break the Rangers/O's record would be for them to score 26 or 27 runs in the first three frames.
  7. DrungoHazewood

    Do the O's even name a MVO this year?

    The 1899 Cleveland Spiders had one pitcher who finished with positive rWAR: Harry Lochhead. Who was actually their starting shortstop. He pitched one game of mopup relief where he allowed two unearned runs in 3 and 2/3rds innings, good for 0.1 rWAR. The 14 other pitchers who appeared in the Spiders' uniform in '99 were all below replacement. The team's MVP was a virtual dead heat between catcher/utilty guy Ossee Schrecongost, who was transferred in mid-season to their sister team in St. Louis because he was playing well, and 38-year-old backup catcher Chief Zimmer (.342 in 20 games). Both notched 1.0 rWAR.
  8. DrungoHazewood

    Do the O's even name a MVO this year?

    By bb-ref's rWAR the team's best player who is still on the team (sort of) is Richard Bleier, at 1.6 WAR. Among players on the active roster it's Villar at 1.6. by fWAR, Fangraphs' flavor, the most valuable player who is still an Oriole is Mychal Givens, at 1.6. I wonder, what is the modern record for lowest team-leading WAR total, among players still on the team at season's end? The 43-win 2003 Tigers had Dmitri Young, worth 3.4 wins. The '62 Mets had Roger Craig and Al Jackson at 3.0 rWAR, and Richie Ashburn and the other Frank Thomas over 2.0. The 43-win 1915 A's had four players over 2.0 wins. The 42-win '52 Pirates had a five and a four-win player. The 1951 Browns didn't have a single position player over 1.2 WAR (Sherm Lollar) but had 5.6 win Ned Garver pitching. He won 20 games for a 52-win team with absolutely no hitting. Dave Bancroft was the only 1924 Brave to clear 1.0 win as a position player, but Jesse Barnes had a 5.3-win season on the mound. Ah... here we go. The 1915 Baltimore Terrapins, who went 47-107 in the Federal League before folding and ending up in a Supreme Court case. Their best position player (by rWAR) was backup catcher Fred Jacklitsch at 1.3, and their best pitcher was one Rankin Johnson at 1.5. They did have Jack Quinn (31 but would pitch about 15 more years in the majors and somebody should write a book about) who went 9-22, 3.45 but clocked in at just over 1.0 WAR. So that's our goal: to try to have someone on the 2018 Orioles better than Rankin Johnson, a journeyman with 450 career innings mostly in a marginal third major league 113 years ago. Mychal Givens will give it the ol' college try.
  9. DrungoHazewood

    Jacob deGrom (Breaks 108-Year-Old MLB Record)

    The record may be true, but the context matters quite a bit. DeGrom has allowed three run in seven or fewer innings four times, and has been pulled from a game after six innings 10 times. Cole appears to have had 18 complete games during his run, although he was also pulled in a start where he allowed two runs in two innings. Of course DeGrom also has the (dis)advantage of not facing lineups comprised mostly of undernourished 5' 9" guys with an .080 ISO slowly swinging 40-ounce hickory.
  10. DrungoHazewood

    This is one of the worst teams ever

    They're probably the worst Major League team since WWII. But they're certainly not the worst baseball team ever, and not the worst MLB team ever. The 1872 Washington Nationals played in the National Association, which is sometimes called the first major league. It was probably about the quality of the Dominican Summer League today (and that's being charitable), and the Nats went 0-11 before dropping out of the league in late June. If they played the 2018 Aberdeen Ironbirds they'd probably call the thing off in the 3rd inning with Aberdeen up 28-0. They might be the worst MLB team ever.
  11. DrungoHazewood

    This is one of the worst teams ever

    When I see something like this my first thought is always "why did they pick 1943?" Probably because if you start in 1943 and count backwards there was a sub-50 win team more than half the time going back into the 1920s. From 1935-43 the Browns and the two Philadelphia teams were under 50 wins almost as often as not. From '33-45 the Phillies' best record was 64-89. From '38-42 their best was 50-103.
  12. DrungoHazewood

    This is one of the worst teams ever

    I appreciate that. The 1899 Spiders should probably have a pretty big asterisk. They existed in the era of big monopolies, and baseball was no exception - the 12 team National League was the only major league for about eight years. The 1890s saw the rise of syndicate baseball, which not only led to a 20-134 team, but also the dissolution of the National League Orioles. The same people owned both the Spiders and the St. Louis Cardinals. They saw St. Louis as the bigger market and transferred all of the best players there. Almost like if the Orioles and the Norfolk Tides played in the same league. It was an unholy arrangement, with one team always fearing the smallest bit of success would lead to the transfer of anyone good to the stronger team. The Orioles (with the full consent of HOF manager Ned Hanlon) got into bed with the Brooklyn Superbas/Trollydodgers, and most of the Orioles HOFers were transferred to Brooklyn. Hanlon included. John McGraw and Wilbert Robinson begged out of the deal, citing their ownership in a local bar/bowling alley called The Diamond. McGraw also somehow acquired Iron Man McGinnity and by the sheer force of his will managed the mostly decimated team into 4th place in '99. Louisville and Pittsburgh had a similar arrangement, and because Pittsburgh drew a little better in the 1890s they still have a MLB team and Louisville doesn't. But in the winter of ''99-1900 the NL came to their senses, banned ownership in more than one team, and contracted the Orioles, the Spiders, Washington and Louisville.
  13. DrungoHazewood

    Chris Davis

    AB/SO, all time, qualified for batting title. Includes only years where batter strikeouts available, although that doesn't matter because the years they weren't were a long time ago when nobody struck out nearly as much as they do today. Rk Player AB/SO SO Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos 1 Joey Gallo 2.2908 196 2017 23 TEX AL 145 532 449 85 94 18 3 41 80 75 1 8 0 0 3 7 2 .209 .333 .537 .869 537/HD 2 Chris Davis 2.3385 195 2017 31 BAL AL 128 524 456 65 98 15 1 26 61 61 4 3 0 4 7 1 1 .215 .309 .423 .732 *3/D5 3 Mark Reynolds 2.3649 211 2010 26 ARI NL 145 596 499 79 99 17 2 32 85 83 7 9 0 5 8 7 4 .198 .320 .433 .753 *5/3H 4 Chris Carter 2.3868 212 2013 26 HOU AL 148 585 506 64 113 24 2 29 82 70 1 4 0 5 8 2 0 .223 .320 .451 .770 37D/H9 5 Jack Cust 2.4085 164 2007 28 OAK AL 124 507 395 61 101 18 1 26 82 105 2 1 0 6 6 0 2 .256 .408 .504 .912 D97/H 6 Adam Dunn 2.4279 222 2012 32 CHW AL 151 649 539 87 110 19 0 41 96 105 3 1 0 4 8 2 1 .204 .333 .468 .800 *D3/7H 7 Jack Cust 2.4416 197 2008 29 OAK AL 148 598 481 77 111 19 0 33 77 111 3 2 0 4 7 0 0 .231 .375 .476 .851 *7D/H9 8 Chris Davis 2.4438 160 2018 32 BAL AL 107 436 391 35 66 10 0 16 44 35 2 6 0 4 5 2 0 .169 .245 .317 .563 *3/DH 9 Joey Gallo 2.4793 169 2018 24 TEX AL 122 488 419 72 89 20 1 34 78 66 4 3 0 0 3 3 4 .212 .324 .508 .832 *739/H8D 10 Rob Deer 2.5484 186 1987 26 MIL AL 134 566 474 71 113 15 2 28 80 86 6 5 0 1 4 12 4 .238 .360 .456 .816 *793/DH
  14. DrungoHazewood

    Chris Davis

    Lowest OBP, modern Oriole history, min 300 PA: Rk Player OBP PA Year Age Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA SLG OPS Pos 1 Mark Belanger .236 313 1972 28 BAL AL 113 285 36 53 9 1 2 16 18 1 53 2 4 4 3 6 3 .186 .246 .482 *6H 2 Jonathan Schoop .244 481 2014 22 BAL AL 137 455 48 95 18 0 16 45 13 0 122 8 5 0 12 2 0 .209 .354 .598 *45/H 3 Chris Davis .245 436 2018 32 BAL AL 107 391 35 66 10 0 16 44 35 2 160 6 0 4 5 2 0 .169 .317 .563 *3/DH 4 Paul Blair .245 413 1976 32 BAL AL 145 375 29 74 16 0 3 16 22 2 49 2 13 1 14 15 6 .197 .264 .509 *8H 5 Dave Duncan .245 326 1975 29 BAL AL 96 307 30 63 7 0 12 41 16 0 82 1 0 2 8 0 0 .205 .345 .591 *2/H 6 Jerry Adair .246 401 1963 26 BAL AL 109 382 34 87 21 3 6 30 9 2 51 2 3 5 17 3 3 .228 .346 .592 *4/H 7 John Shelby .248 415 1984 26 BAL AL 128 383 44 80 12 5 6 30 20 0 71 0 12 0 4 12 4 .209 .313 .561 *8H/9 8 Willy Miranda .249 349 1957 31 BAL AL 115 314 29 61 3 0 0 20 24 2 42 0 8 3 5 2 1 .194 .204 .453 *6/H 9 Dick Williams .251 340 1961 32 BAL AL 103 310 37 64 15 2 8 24 20 0 38 0 5 5 7 0 4 .206 .345 .596 *7H3/859 10 J.J. Hardy .253 437 2015 32 BAL AL 114 411 45 90 14 0 8 37 20 0 88 0 2 4 11 0 0 .219 .311 .564 *6
  15. DrungoHazewood

    Chris Davis

    Lowest OPS+, played at least 75% of games at 1B, qualified for batting title, since pitching distance moved to 60' 6": Rk Player OPS+ Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos 1 Ivy Griffin 47 1920 23 PHA AL 129 507 467 46 111 15 1 0 20 17 49 11 13 3 3 .238 .281 .274 .555 *3/4H 2 John Ganzel 53 1901 27 NYG NL 138 562 526 42 113 13 3 2 66 20 32 9 7 6 .215 .256 .262 .518 *3 3 Chris Davis 54 2018 32 BAL AL 107 436 391 35 66 10 0 16 44 35 2 160 6 0 4 5 2 0 .169 .245 .317 .563 *3/DH 4 Johnny Walker 54 1921 24 PHA AL 113 442 423 41 109 14 5 2 46 9 29 3 8 5 0 .258 .278 .329 .607 *3/2H 5 Hughie Miller 54 1914 27 SLM FL 132 533 490 51 109 20 5 0 46 27 57 1 15 4 .222 .264 .284 .548 *3/H 6 Jack Boyle 55 1895 29 PHI NL 133 625 565 90 143 17 4 0 67 35 23 5 20 13 .253 .302 .297 .600 *3 7 Howie Schultz 57 1947 24 TOT NL 116 430 404 30 90 19 1 6 35 21 70 1 4 11 0 .223 .263 .319 .582 *3/H 8 Johnny Sturm 58 1941 25 NYY AL 124 568 524 58 125 17 3 3 36 37 50 3 4 10 3 5 .239 .293 .300 .592 *3 9 Bud Sharpe 58 1910 28 TOT NL 119 490 455 32 108 14 4 0 30 14 33 1 20 4 .237 .262 .286 .547 *3/H5 10 Charlie Grimm 59 1920 21 PIT NL 148 580 533 38 121 13 7 2 54 30 40 4 14 7 8 .227 .273 .289 .562 *3[/quote]
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