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AZRon

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AZRon last won the day on October 10

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About AZRon

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  1. How about instant replay?

    Upon Further Review: I thought it would be instructive to replay this 8 year old discussion -- I think it was a good one and I miss some of the contributors It occurred just after the introduction of "instant" replay review in the MLB. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant_replay_in_Major_League_Baseball "Instant replay review was first implemented during the 2008 season. Under that system, only the umpire crew chief could initiate a review, and one or more members of the umpiring crew would review the video at the stadium and render the decision to uphold or overturn the call. Only boundary home run calls could be reviewed, either if the initial call was a home run but might not have been (e.g., spectator interference or a foul ball near the foul pole) or if the initial call was not a home run but might have been (e.g., the ball hit an object such as a railing beyond the outfield wall and then bounced back onto the field)." I still favor replay/review of: any play resulting in an out or would have resulted in an out any play that would have resulted in a batter/runner reaching 1 base further than the umpire's unchallenged call allowed And, I now favor automated determination on the calling of all balls and strikes
  2. Cafardo: Showalter losing the clubhouse

    How about keeping runners from reaching base in the first place? See if you notice a correlation between a team 's finish in the standings and the starting pitcher WHIP -- Courtesy of ESPN RK TEAM SB CS CS% WHIP 1 LA Dodgers 37 18 32.73 1.15 2 Cleveland 31 33 51.56 1.17 3 Arizona 40 25 38.46 1.26 4 Washington 54 21 28.00 1.20 5 NY Yankees 30 16 34.78 1.24 6 Houston 46 11 19.30 1.26 7 Chicago Cubs 83 27 24.55 1.27 8 Boston 38 18 32.14 1.29 30 Baltimore 47 18 27.69 1.52 MLB Average 50 21 30.75 1.36
  3. Projected contracts for FA starters

    Let me think about this for a second: Yu Darvish on a Ubaldo Jimenez contract? OK -- I thought about it -- sign me up
  4. The Orioles played all of their pennant winning, playoff and World Series baseball with one or more of these players. Context much? OK -- you win editing points; Machado was on each of the playoff teams in 2012, 2014, and 2016; the O's have not won a pennant or appeared in a World Series since 1983. As to the different "situation" today -- and not to be flip -- so what? Are you suggesting that the "situation" remained unchanged from 1966 through 1997 or from 1998 until the present? What is different, today versus yesteryear, about the likely success rate of an organization demonstrating good drafting, effective player development, accurate player evaluation and judicious acquisitions? It all comes down to expert, adaptive management. Of course, that is both the Orioles' challenge and their predicament.
  5. Since returning to MLB in 1954, the Orioles have had 3 Hall of Fame (HOF) players who spent their entire professional careers with the organization: Brooks Robinson, Jim Palmer, and Cal Ripken, Jr. They had 1 HOF player, Eddie Murray, who started with the Oriole organization and was traded away, (while still productive) after 12 years with the team. They have had 1 potential HOF player, Mike Mussina, who started with the Oriole organization and was lost to free agency (while still productive) after 10 years with the team. The Orioles played all of their pennant winning, playoff and World Series baseball with one or more of these players. With good drafting, effective player development and judicious acquisitions, they managed to pay for these HOF players and still field winning teams. I'd like to see them do that again with Machado. Wouldn't you?
  6. These were and are reflected in my chart in my opening post
  7. Whatever your overall appraisal of Dan Duquette's performance may be, with regard to spending on the O's opening day payroll (ODP), his tenure has been coincident with a remarkable destruction of the justification supporting the characterization of Peter Angelos as a "tightwad". Since Duquette came on board in November, 2011, O's ODP: has increased by 87% versus the AL East mark of 38% deficit versus the Yankees has steadily decreased from $119M to $32M deficit versus the Red Sox has steadily decreased from $78M to $33M So, you may be able mount an argument as to the effectiveness or efficiency of the spending, but you can no longer reasonably argue that Angelos refuses to spend competitively on ODP.
  8. What is your point? I am not attempting to determine the "real" (whatever that is) payroll Quoting from my post: "I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA)." I welcome all additions and corrections to my post -- and I assert my right to define my terms and to document my justification for those terms. Thanks
  9. Please review the text of my post I'm dealing with the: Opening day payroll -- Active Roster
  10. I'm assuming that Dan Duquette will be "all in" for 2018. According to my projected 2018 opening day payroll, the O's have about $35M left to match the 2017 opening day payroll. However, does anyone really believe that the O's will break with their history and sign a free agent Yarvish or Arrieta to a $200M+ long term deal? I'd be willing to bet that, if Duquette acquires any pitcher who is currently and generally thought to be a "difference maker", it will be via trade of one or more of our "top" prospects.
  11. Opening Day Payroll Verified @ Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website
  12. In terms of opening day payrolls, what has the AL East done during the Dan Duquette regime? (Information from the Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website) Opening Day Payrolls in $M Year Orioles % Delta Yankees % Delta Red Sox % Delta Blue Jays % Delta Rays % Delta AL East % Delta 2017 164 10.8% 196 -13.8% 197 -0.5% 163 19.5% 70 5.1% 791 1.8% 2016 148 24.6% 228 4.6% 198 9.5% 137 8.6% 67 -13.7% 778 7.9% 2015 119 10.2% 218 9.7% 181 10.6% 126 -8.2% 77 0.6% 721 5.4% 2014 108 17.4% 199 -13.5% 163 8.5% 137 7.4% 77 24.1% 684 3.4% 2013 92 8.2% 229 7.6% 151 -14.0% 128 52.6% 62 -2.7% 662 6.6% 2012 85 -3.4% 213 2.7% 175 5.7% 84 19.1% 64 51.8% 621 8.2% 2011 88 207 166 70 42 574 Since 2011 86.7% -5.3% 18.8% 132.4% 67.3% 38.0%
  13. Based on my current projected payroll, here's a look at how much the O's have left to spend under various scenarios: Scenario Projected $ $ Left to Spend (M) No Change 164.3 35.5 MLB Average Increase 172.4 43.5 O's Average Increase 188.1 59.3 Same Delta as 2017 182.0 53.2 10% Delta 180.7 51.9 20% Delta 197.2 68.3 30% Delta 213.6 84.8
  14. Corrected -- thanks
  15. For those who want to play GM, I am presenting the current projected opening day team payroll for the start of the next season. I'm dealing only with the "active" roster, but the O's will have pay obligations for all players on the 40 man roster. I'll try to keep this up to date through opening day (all help appreciated). To be on this list, the player must be: on the 40 man roster and under contract or under team control The players listed on this active roster are my guesses as of now. All of the latest transactions are included. Salaries are displayed as rounded to the nearest $10k, but the total is accurate to 2 decimal places. Projections for those under contract are from the Cots Baseball Prospectus Compensation Website. The arbitration salaries are those projected by Matt Swartz of MLB Trade Rumors.com. The MLB minimum salary is $545,000 in 2018. Dylan Bundy's salary is my guess. I provide this information so that we can make accurate and useful comparisons to the opening day payrolls of the Orioles in previous years, other MLB teams and the totals for Major League Baseball. As with virtually all team opening day payroll tabulations on the web, my total payroll figure does not reflect any deductions for deferred salaries or additions for set-asides for deferrals from previous years (as required by Article XVI of the CBA). So, please, let's dispense with the squabbling over the "accounting" for salary deferrals. I have noted the 2018 contract deferrals in the right-most column of the below chart. PLAYER POS 2018 SALARY DEFERRED ($ Million) ($ Million) **Caleb Joseph C $1.40 *Chance Sisco C $0.55 ***Chris Davis 1B $23.00 $6.00 **Jonathan Schoop 2B $9.10 **Tim Beckham SS $3.10 **Manny Machado 3B $17.30 ***Adam Jones OF $17.33 *Trey Mancini OF $0.55 *Austin Hays OF $0.55 *Anthony Santander OF $0.55 *Joey Rickard OF $0.55 ***Mark Trumbo DH/OF $12.50 $1.50 *Steve Wilkerson UT $0.55 **Kevin Gausman SP $6.80 *Dylan Bundy SP $2.30 **Miguel Castro SP $0.55 *Gabriel Ynoa SP $0.55 *Chris Lee SP $0.55 **Zach Britton RP $12.20 **Brad Brach RP $5.20 ***Darren O'Day RP $9.00 $1.00 *Mychal Givens RP $0.55 *Richard Bleier RP $0.55 *Jimmy Yacabonis RP $0.55 *Tanner Scott RP $0.55 Option Buyout - J.J. Hardy $2.00 Option Buyout - Wade Miley $0.50 Total $128.82 $8.50 * Pre-Arbitration ** Arbitration ***Contract
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