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About FanSince88

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  1. FanSince88

    Do you support rules limiting defensive shifts?

    TL;DR BABIP has stayed the same despite the increased shifts. Overall balls in play are down but it that would seem to be a secondary outcome of the shifts if it even is related. Lower balls in play probably more dictated by more strikeout-oriented pitchers and less pitch-to-contact guys.
  2. FanSince88

    Matt Wieters

    Let me think. Ok, I've thought. No.
  3. FanSince88

    Schoop, Service Time, and a Lesson on our Young Guys

    😂 Look no further for proof that we kicked the brewers rear in that trade
  4. FanSince88

    Josh Donaldson or Mike Moustakas?

    This. I doubt we are or should be willing to outbid an actual contender one of these guys on the free agent market.
  5. FanSince88

    How long does your blank check for Elias last?

    Great post and i agree 100%
  6. FanSince88

    How long does your blank check for Elias last?

    Yeah i'm not putting a lot of stock in the name dropping as it relates to holding on or extending players. I think that was mostly just a hat tip, "vote of confidence" for those guys. Fully expect Elias to deal them if he thinks their trade value is high enough and it's worth the return.
  7. FanSince88

    How long does your blank check for Elias last?

    Thanks for the correction, although I would like to see a weighted average of across the board projections of these prospects (assuming the OH rank is not that). As I'm sure you're aware, there's no way Rodriguez makes the ML roster as a SP until 2022 at the earliest. Likewise, I'd be very surprised if DL Hall makes the ML roster until late 2020 at the very, very earliest. That's our top two right there -- still speculative and a long way off. Mountcastle is a nice hitter and all but a negative in the field by all accounts, unless we most him to first where CD is blocking him. Will be interesting to see if Kremer or Hays get a cup of coffee at the majors next year -- 2019 will be a make or break year for both of those guys. There's no way I would consider Hunter Harvey above a 50 at this point, the guy is totally snakebit by injuries even worse than Bundy was which I can't believe I'm saying but it's true. I'm a bit embarrassed but I've not heard of Lowther/Knight/Hanifee before, will have to check those guys out. Regardless, the word on the street seems to be that our minor league system is still in the bottom third even with all DD's midseason aquisitions. Don't see Elias realistically propelling it to the top ten -- unless a few guys come out of nowhere -- before 2021 at the earliest.
  8. FanSince88

    How long does your blank check for Elias last?

    I would say four too if Elias was over 40 or I thought anyone in our current minor league system had the potential to be an above-league-average MLB player. Diaz is our top rated prospect right now and everyone is pretty sure that league average is his ceiling. It's all downhill and more speculative after him. Elias' 2019 draft pick probably won't see AA until 2021 at the very earliest. Probably won't see the majors until 2022 at the very earliest. Same for most of the international guys he picks up over the next year or two. And he's probably going to learn on the job to some extent and make some "rookie" mistakes. Put all those factors together, and it's hard for me to imagine us even having a strong minor league system before 2021 or 2022, and that could easily be set back by injuries or underperformance that is always a risk no matter who is running things. That's to say nothing of the mothership, of course. If we end up with some elite prospects on ML roster as September 2022 callups, that will probably be reasonably on schedule. TL;DR current organization is a dumpster fire and Elias is very young. Demanding he be fired anytime before 2023 is irrational.
  9. For me, it's five years. I'm going to refrain from wondering if he's the right man for the Orioles until the end of 2023. If by then we still aren't over .500 AND our minor league system isn't better than mediocre AND it's clear that Elias has actually been the one calling the shots, then I will start to be worried that he might not be suited for the GM role in Baltimore. But by 2023 if he is able to get the team winning again or we aren't winning yet but our minors are elite or the ownership is breaking their promise and keeps meddling in baseball decisions, then I will be fine with Elias continuing in his role indefinitely. Just hope he isn't poached by another organization before the Orioles start to see success at the majors.
  10. FanSince88

    Offseason Trade Candidate - Dylan Bundy

    Use 2019 as a showcase year for cobb and bundy. I think cobb will be much better next year and hopefully bundy will too. Then flip em both in December 2019 after they’ve rebuilt their value. If either of them have a subpar year again next year, then we should hang on to them for 2020 because they will probably have more value to us as innings eaters than as a #5 starter on a contender who you wouldnt to hand the ball in the postseason. I dont see so many young starters beating down the door between now and September 2020 that cobb and bundy would be blocking anyone.
  11. FanSince88

    Sandy Gaston (Orioles miss out)

    The Orioles front office are a bunch of LARPers, with Brady Anderson the biggest LARPer of them all. Don't need to look much further than this utter disgrace with the international slot money.
  12. FanSince88

    Sandy Gaston (Orioles miss out)

    Pretty clear in hindsight the international slot money was nothing but performative posturing for gullible fans that the team was “doing something”, which provided cover for the real reason for the trade—the gaus and oday salary dumps.
  13. They should have given Gausman more of a chance to build his value before trading him. He's a second half pitcher. Let him play out 2018 and have his typical good 2nd half to boost his stats. And then flip him at the winter meetings this December. Guarantee you we get way more return in that scenario.
  14. Buck insisted on batting the man who had the worst season in MLB history -- and was just a hair over replacement level last year -- fifth or higher in over half of this team's games this year. Sorry, that is not a professional attitude or tactic. Yes, I know, the saber edgelords will tell me until they're blue in the face how "batting order doesn't matter," apparently, but the psychological effect alone on Davis and the rest of the team couldn't have been good. Not everything can be quantified.
  15. FanSince88

    Good Riddance

    This song basically sums up the season for me...lyrics fit the Orioles of the past 3 decades fairly well, to be honest