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CSB Jack

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CSB Jack last won the day on August 5 2010

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About CSB Jack

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    Plus Member Since 10/12
  • Birthday 10/8/1957
  1. According to Steve Malewski Hammel threw 57 pitches in his start against Lowell. It sounds encouraging. http://www.masnsports.com/steve_melewski/2013/09/jason-hammel-id-say-im-ready.html
  2. The problem is with the interpretation of the graph. It represents the aggregate of all players in each category. It says nothing at all about any individual player. Using the data for all players to project the performance of a single player is a gross misuse of statistical data.
  3. My math might be a little shaky but if he walked the leadoff hitter in three innings, how did he end up with only two walks for the game? I'm also thinking he didn't throw 682 strikes in this one game, but I can figure out that one by pretending the 2 isn't there after the 68. I'm not so sure about the walk total if it should be 2, 3, or some other number. Still, all in all not that bad an outing.
  4. If the price was right I might be interested. Except Ibanez is a lefty hitter, doesn't match the RH bat that Reynolds is.
  5. And yet.... in each of those games the team won, and they were ahead when he left the game, so his mediocre (or worse) performance did not prevent his team from winning. He gave up fewer runs than his team scored while he was pitching. Granted, you can't have a guy who consistently does not pitch deep in games or you will burn out the bullpen and that will negatively impact the team's overall won-loss record. But picking out examples where starting pitchers gave up lots of runs and hits but still got a win doesn't mean they didn't still contribute to the win. I'm not saying that Tillman's 14-3 record indicates he's a better pitcher or has pitched better than Wei-Yin Chen with his 6-4 record. But I am saying that those 14 wins have value. They are a reflection of his taking the mound consistently and pitching consistently well enough for the Orioles to win 82.4% of his decisions and 63.6% of his starts. I don't want a guy that pitches just well enough to lose. I want a guy that pitches well enough to win, regardless of what else is going on in the game.
  6. I agree that comparing two starting pitchers solely on wins is meaningless, but in order for a starting pitcher to get a win they have to have contributed significantly to the team getting a win. It's the converse that is more often true - that a solid effort by a starter results in no decision or a loss because the rest of the team let him down defensively or by not scoring runs to support his effort. But even if the starter pitched a mediocre game, to get the win he has to complete at least five innings and leave with his team ahead. That means he did at least a significant part of his job, which is to put his team in position to win. And I am pretty sure I heard a football coach say once that you PLAY to WIN the GAME!!! A pitcher that does enough to be the winning pitcher has real value to his team even if he doesn't blow you away with advanced metrics.
  7. Oh, yeah, right. There's that also. I'd rather roll with Pearce than pick up Reynolds.
  8. Yes, I have, though you were also good enough to post them in your post. And they show that even when including that brutal 0-19 stretch covering ten games from mid-June through the end of July he still is outslugging Reynolds over the full season and has a higher OPS vs LHP, .756 to .745. Valencia looks to me to be a better RH option than Reynolds at this point.
  9. Flaherty has already out hit Reynolds since the beginning of May, with slash line of .257/.303/.419/.723 vs. .187/.287/.282/.569. I recognize that those numbers aren't exactly in the same context since the PA numbers don't match up but when I reduce the number of PA to roughly the same level for Reynolds they look even worse by comparison. Using OPS as a single measure, Reynolds had a scorching April (1.019), a mediocre May (.696), a horrible June (.541) and a totally abysmal July (.331). That's not a trend I want to jump on with the expectation that it's going to turn around just from a change of scenery. And I apologize if all these points have already been made by others since I did not read all of the first twenty pages of the thread.
  10. "IF he goes on one of his legendary hot streaks...." "IF we catch lightning in a bottle..." Yeah, but what IF he continues to hit like he has for the past three months instead? For those arguing in favor of picking him up, what would your thoughts be on keeping him in the lineup if he had put up his numbers thus far this year for the Orioles? You know, the .187/.287/.282/.569 over 289 PA since May 1? Or the .166/.272/.212/.484 over 173 PA since June 1? Would you be saying, "We need to keep him in the lineup! I just KNOW that sooner or later he's going to get hot!"? Or would you say, "Thanks, Mark, we appreciate that awesome month of April, and the fact that you have been a Yankee-killer in the past. But it's time to move on. Best of luck wherever your career takes you next."
  11. You lost me there. It's still the same pitchers to study for any game or series, whether a guy hits RH, LH, or SH, so the same amount of film study. Now, if you were talking about more time in the batting cage or hitting on the field, that I could understand.
  12. I read the original comment the other way around - the absence of humidity now will hurt Garcia.
  13. I think there's an iPhone app they could use for that. :scratchchinhmm:
  14. This is the best description I have seen of how I believe the rule should be interpreted. Although the point at which the umpire made the call was well before within 15 feet of second base. From what I have seen of pictures and replay there isn't an angle I've seen that would allow me to say that Longoria looks to me to have passed Zobrist. However, it is clear from the reaction of the players on both teams that it was certainly close enough to raise the possibility. On the TB feed the announcers even commented on it as the play was developing, though once it was called they did not think it should have been called because they did not think it was clear that the passing had taken place.
  15. Absolutely it was a break, and a big one. Even bigger is that the hit stayed in the ballpark. But even if it had been a HR, the Orioles still would have had a one run lead. To be sure, it's much better for the Orioles to have Longoria called out on what was a play that was far from certain than any other option that could have happened on that play.
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