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Spy Fox

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346 Triple-A

About Spy Fox

  • Rank
    Plus Member Since 01/11
  • Birthday 7/20/1992

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  • Location
    New York, NY
  • Favorite Current Oriole
    Jones, Gausman, Schoop
  • Favorite All Time Oriole
    Mora, Markakis, Bedard

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  1. Spy Fox

    Week 15 vs. Tampa Bay

    They've allowed the least yards/game and points/game in the NFL. Which team's defense do you think has been better?
  2. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/catch_probability_leaderboard Statcast has him at -10 Outs Above Average in 2018. That was 81st out of 87th qualified outfielders. Catch probability numbers may not be perfect but I'm curious to hear a critique of them that could excuse Mancini all the way up to average.
  3. Spy Fox

    Week 15 vs. Tampa Bay

    Tebow had a sub-50% completion rate for an entire season and left Denver when they hired a guy named Peyton Manning. RGIII suffered a career-changing injury after playing on a bad knee, then gradually developed melodramatic relationships with his coach and the press. I think almost any new coach would prefer to build a team around Jackson than Flacco going forward.
  4. Spy Fox

    Harold Baines.....Lee Smith in Hall of Fame

    I agree on all three. And none of them are ideal comps for Baines, since they're more the power-first sluggers, whereas Baines was more balanced (and played for much longer). But, according to several measures these guys are in the same ballpark of career achievement and nobody is talking about them as possible HOFers.
  5. Spy Fox

    Harold Baines.....Lee Smith in Hall of Fame

    Not right, but good guesses! Braun is too good a player for this group, while Kemp and Bruce are a bit less accomplished. I see from your later post that you've identified them! I think Player B also from this group. And, like Baines, he's a former Oriole...
  6. Spy Fox

    Harold Baines.....Lee Smith in Hall of Fame

    Baines: .289/.356/.465/.820. 384 HR. 38.7 WAR. 2830 G. Player A: .247/.361/.475/.836. 344 HR. 35.6 WAR. 1798 G. Player B: .274/.342/.518.860. 360 HR. 33.4 WAR. 1569 G. Player C: .264/.353/.497/.850. 380 HR. 32.2 WAR. 1807 G. Who's the best player here? Players A, B, and C are all currently active players in their 30s whose best years are behind them but could add some more to their totals.
  7. Spy Fox

    Week 14 @ Kansas City

    I had been thinking the Ravens were pretty much in if they went 2-2 the rest of the way, but just noticed it's a bit more complicated than that. Both Denver and Tennessee have easy remaining schedules, where it's easy to envision them at 9 wins and conceivable that either could win out to 10. That would put the Ravens at risk of missing the playoffs unless they can beat either KC or SD. (There's also an outside chance that Pitt could miss the playoffs if they can't beat the Saints/Patriots and the Ravens can beat one of KC or SD...)
  8. Spy Fox

    Week 14 @ Kansas City

    I think the Chiefs win. Mahomes will get his multiple touchdowns. But the Ravens have a shot if they have long drives and get a turnover or two.
  9. Didn't they teach you to "squish the bug"??
  10. Fun thread even though most people are probably the most interested in their own stories! High school/American Legion ball in Montgomery County. Was a pretty good 2b/Outfielder and contact/doubles hitter, but no attention-grabbing skills. Knew I wasn't Div I material and was also focused on school so I never put much planning into trying to play in college. As an adult I've been a solid player in MSBL/MABL leagues in North Carolina and now New York. Hope to keep playing for a while!
  11. Spy Fox

    Week 13 @ ATL

    If they can just beat TB and Cleveland at home, they will likely be getting the #6 seed and a divisional game at a Houston team who's not as good as their record.
  12. Spy Fox

    Winter Trade Value

    No one is untouchable and I'm sure Elias will ask around. That said, I think everyone listed in the OP except Cashner is more likely to see their value increase than decrease between now and July. Whether we take whatever we can get now or wait for a possible better return likely depends on a) what offers we're getting, and b) which guys Elias and crew think they can fix up themselves.
  13. Spy Fox

    Ex-Orioles in the postseason

    Correlation ≠ causation. Take Manny off the April-July roster and they do even worse. Add Manny to the August-September roster and they probably do a couple games better.
  14. It worked for a few years. The elite power is what allowed them to have a respectable offense in 2012-2016 despite the bad OBP. But then the fly ball revolution happened and the rest of the league caught up to us in the power department, all while we were trotting out the most of the same sluggers, just older. I think in a way we were a few years ahead of the curve on this one. But we didn't adapt or move on when things changed.
  15. Spy Fox

    How Long is the Road to Contention?

    We know the next few years are out, so that's basically a 20-year span. Just for curiosity, in the last 20 years the AL has sent these teams to the World Series: 6x: NYY 3x: BOS 2x: DET, KC, TEX 1x: CHW, CLE, HOU, LAA, TB So ten of the 15 teams have gone in 20 years. It's become harder for one team to dominate for years on end— five of the six NYY appearances were in the first six years of the above sample, and there have been eight different AL champs in the last 10 years. Big money is obviously still an advantage but several teams with similar or lesser payrolls than us have broken through. If they expand the league to 32 that might make it a little harder to make the playoffs but I don't think it'd be a huge effect. (Winding up in a four team division with the Jays, Sox, and Yanks would certainly not be helpful though...) If they're serious about building a real modern scouting and development program, they can make it better than a coin flip.
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