I'm a big fan of signing Dickey. I think he will be a steal and the O's could get him for something like 1 year/$8 mill. I'm not sold on Mikolas unless he's a 6th starter. Kim was an MVP in KBO. Who knows how his numbers will translate.
I would like to see the O's sign one of Cobb/Chatwood, Dickey, and one of Gonzalez/Tillman.
You have the right to your opinion. I'd say the stats don't back it up. He had a .654 OPS (about 20% worse than league average) in his second year in AA. Let's assume he can produce just as well at the MLB level, which is quite the generous assumption. If he could put up that line, it'd be 32nd of 35 second basemen with 400 or more ABs. Even if you assume he's an above average fielder (my time watching him says more average) and he steals over 20 bases(only stole 8 last year), he'd still be nothing more than replacement level.
There is a reason he wasn't on the top 30 prospects list. He wasn't even in my top 45 or so I considered. His ceiling is utility infielder, and to reach that ceiling he'll need a major uptake in power or he'll need to cut his strikeout rate in half (19% is extremely high for someone who doesn't hit for any power).
Marin is a good player in my opinion and would be an asset. A career .265 hitter and a guy who can play three positions with a .966 career fielding percentage. And he can add some speed as his 25 SBs in 2015 would attest.
I'm glad you're not the GM. You have 45-50M per year tied up for the next 2 years, at least, if not more by overpaying for mediocre pitching, two (Chatwood and Cobb) who have never come close to pitching 200 innings in any one season, and all three who have undergone major surgery at least once and twice for Chatwood. You are gambling on two fronts. Peformance which there are red flags for all three pitchers and durability which there again red flags for all three pitchers. My options give you limited liability, just as much durability, and in the grand scheme a good chance of similar performance for this year.
Dickey put up a 2.2 WAR this year.
Chatwood put up a 2.2 WAR in 2017
Vargas put up a 3.8 WAR this year
Cobb put up a 2.3 WAR this year.
You know who has the greatest probability of those three pitchers, staying on the field, making 30 starts and putting up 2 WAR or better? Dickey would be in the top 2 if not number 1.
Do you think the Orioles have a realistic chance of signing Cobb? If you do, you haven't been following the same team I have. My signings are in line with what the Orioles would/could actually do while providing significant improvement over last year's staff.
Yes (20 million). Correct me if I'm wrong, but the Orioles have never stated that they are adverse to paying a posting fee, and I believe have placed non-winning posting bids (under the old system where the highest bidder gets to negotiate). They didn't bother with Tanaka, because he'd require a big contract in addition to the posting fee. Ohtani is restricted from getting a big contract.
So your first offseason move is to sign a broken down pitcher with a 5.00 ERA and your okay with it? LOL. I take you as someone who is more intelligent than that. You should read your own website more closely.