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Ryan Mountcastle 2019

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11 hours ago, jabba72 said:

Saw that. Also had a walk two games ago. Hopefully someone told him his "never walk" approach was not going to be successful going forward at the next level. 

He’s had that speech before.    He’s never going to walk much.   Sometimes the pitches are nowhere near the strike zone and he’ll fall into one.     But not often.   

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Does the SO/BB ratio really matter with all the current factors?  Small Stadium. Juiced baseballs. All the good SP is condensed onto one team. Our division is the weakest I can remember in terms of SP. In the AL, where are these SP that are going to baffle him?  On HOU, the NL, or retired.

With all that being said, I think Mountcastle’s power alone would carry him to an .800 OPS, and I’m worried about the lack of BB. I just don’t think it’s as big a factor as it was before this season. 

Edited by sportsfan8703

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The purpose of walks is to get a good OBP.  His OBP at present would be second on the Orioles if he did the same in the majors.  Beyond that I have twice asked and never received an answer: Is Mountcastle expanding the strikezone and swinging at bad pitches, and thus pitchers know they don't have to throw strikes? Or is he swinging at every strike he sees and thus should be a bit more judicious about what he is likely to hit hard?  The former will cause a huge problem; the latter only against pitchers like Wells.  Or can he not catch up to fastballs or not hit sliders?  In those cases, I don't see how his average could be as high as it is because pitchers would know what to throw at him. I'd like to see some analysis of why he doesn't walk much.  If he knows the strikezone, I'm not worried.

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1 hour ago, Pheasants said:

The purpose of walks is to get a good OBP.  His OBP at present would be second on the Orioles if he did the same in the majors.  Beyond that I have twice asked and never received an answer: Is Mountcastle expanding the strikezone and swinging at bad pitches, and thus pitchers know they don't have to throw strikes? Or is he swinging at every strike he sees and thus should be a bit more judicious about what he is likely to hit hard?  The former will cause a huge problem; the latter only against pitchers like Wells.  Or can he not catch up to fastballs or not hit sliders?  In those cases, I don't see how his average could be as high as it is because pitchers would know what to throw at him. I'd like to see some analysis of why he doesn't walk much.  If he knows the strikezone, I'm not worried.

My guess is this is what he's doing. Swinging, and likely making contact, at a lot of pitches that aren't perfectly in his hot zone. I think that's what a lot of people mean by patience. It's true that they also don't want guys swinging at balls in the dirt, but more than that it's about being selective. Swinging at the pitches you want to hit, not just anything that can be called a strike (which includes many pitcher's pitches).

It's hard to imagine that changes unless/until he starts to fail because the pitching is just too good, his LD%, BABIP and like stats decline, and his overall numbers decline. AAA certainly doesn't seem to be an over match for his current approach.

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1 hour ago, Pheasants said:

The purpose of walks is to get a good OBP.  His OBP at present would be second on the Orioles if he did the same in the majors.  Beyond that I have twice asked and never received an answer: Is Mountcastle expanding the strikezone and swinging at bad pitches, and thus pitchers know they don't have to throw strikes? Or is he swinging at every strike he sees and thus should be a bit more judicious about what he is likely to hit hard?  The former will cause a huge problem; the latter only against pitchers like Wells.  Or can he not catch up to fastballs or not hit sliders?  In those cases, I don't see how his average could be as high as it is because pitchers would know what to throw at him. I'd like to see some analysis of why he doesn't walk much.  If he knows the strikezone, I'm not worried.

I think I've posted about this before, but it's an aggressive approach and just ok zone judgement. It's not poor zone judgement, but he's often behind in counts after fouling off the first two pitches and he's stuck behind in the count protecting. He doesn't take the close pitch like DJ Stewart, so he just battles and fouls off competitive pitches. He'll be fine, he'll walk more in the majors than he does now.

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3 hours ago, Pheasants said:

The purpose of walks is to get a good OBP.  His OBP at present would be second on the Orioles if he did the same in the majors.  Beyond that I have twice asked and never received an answer: Is Mountcastle expanding the strikezone and swinging at bad pitches, and thus pitchers know they don't have to throw strikes? Or is he swinging at every strike he sees and thus should be a bit more judicious about what he is likely to hit hard?  The former will cause a huge problem; the latter only against pitchers like Wells.  Or can he not catch up to fastballs or not hit sliders?  In those cases, I don't see how his average could be as high as it is because pitchers would know what to throw at him. I'd like to see some analysis of why he doesn't walk much.  If he knows the strikezone, I'm not worried.

If Mountcastle were in the majors, we’d have the data to answer that question.  But we don’t.   I don’t know if anyone who’s watched Mountcastle play a lot has any insight as to your question.   

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1 hour ago, Frobby said:

If Mountcastle were in the majors, we’d have the data to answer that question.  But we don’t.   I don’t know if anyone who’s watched Mountcastle play a lot has any insight as to your question.   

At this point I'd have to see him maintain a real hot streak through April or May of next year, and at Bowie, before I consider his profile changed.

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2 minutes ago, LookinUp said:

At this point I'd have to see him maintain a real hot streak through April or May of next year, and at Bowie, before I consider his profile changed.

You want to demote Mountcastle?

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3 minutes ago, LookinUp said:

At this point I'd have to see him maintain a real hot streak through April or May of next year, and at Bowie, before I consider his profile changed.

He's in Norfolk right now.

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3 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Send him down to Aberdeen until he learns to take a walk!

Nah. Gotta send him to the Dominican Summer league. That'll show him to take a walk or 5

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10 minutes ago, LookinUp said:

At this point I'd have to see him maintain a real hot streak through April or May of next year, and at Bowie, before I consider his profile changed.

What do you consider a “real hot streak?”    He’s had an OPS over .800 every month this season and was just named our MiL player of the month for July after OPSing .895.

I also don’t understand how a “hot streak” is going to change his profile.   

Or are you in the wrong thread, talking about Reyes?   

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I wasn't clear. I was talking about Reyes, not Mountcastle. I've been on Mountcastle's side in this discussion!

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4 hours ago, LookinUp said:

I wasn't clear. I was talking about Reyes, not Mountcastle. I've been on Mountcastle's side in this discussion!

I think you meant to post in the player of the month thread, where there was a discussion of Reyes’ performance in July even though Mountcastle won the award.    This is the Mountcastle thread, which explains why folks were confused by your post.  

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