Say O!

A key variable is how (in)expensive each theoretical player and future years of control. i think the Os prefer to have mixture of player types, and hope that strategic deployment can have either A, B, or C in exceed their production norms.

While I would not go as far to say the system is “balanced,” there does seem to be more quantity of interesting arms to follow this year. For instance, 2-3 years ago it was just Grayson & Hall then utter nothingness, and last year it was really just Povich McDermott and unknowns….whereas this year we can dream on guys like DeLeon, Baumeister, Bright, Chace, Forret and still hope for injury bounce backs from Johnson and Baumler. And then interesting wild card reliever types like Gilles, Sharkey, Lord. Inevitably there will be attrition because TINSTAPP, but I’m excited to follow the development journey these young fellas make in 2024.

Yeah we will find out quite a bit over the next several weeks, whether the injured guys can come back and then how the BP shakes out. Would Elias ever consider an early strike of the trade market in June — Norby + Johnson for Hunter Harvey reunion? I kinda like that route because with expanded playoffs more teams will try for WC, so there may not be much available quality out there among the bottom feeders (OAK, MIA, WAS, COL). And OAK is not trading Mason Miller.

LOL at Verducci trying to pigeon hole a “type” preference when (at least for the talked about guys) there seems to be variance in selections. The not drafting HS arms high in draft is not unique. Gunnar, Holliday = HS athletes Adley = catcher unicorn Cowser, Kjerstad, Westburg, Norby = bat first college guys (at time of draft) Beavers, Fabian = college athlete with known swing holes Bradfield = speed and defense college guy Mayo = bat first HS Im struggling to see any pattern there. Now where Os do seem to have biases come later in draft with college bat profiles and college arm profiles but those guys are lower in system and prospect lists for now.

Agree with all of this.

Yeah the stuff plays at this level and with swing + miss (he got 16 tonight). Whether as 5 and dive starter or leverage reliever, Suarez will have key role going forward.

He’s actually at 56 PAs (with 51 ABs, given 4 walks and 1 sac fly)

I’m equally as encouraged that both of these guys are plus in the field and have shown to be above average as well on the base paths too. While they may each always have some swing and miss to their game, both are impressing as all around “complete” baseball players. And from a fans standpoint, they just exude enjoyment in their everyday demeanor.

Well Cano 1H23 might have been the most dominant reliever in the sport (possibly ever). So far in 24, he’s been a bit unlucky given ground ball rates and xFIP. His statcast output numbers for sinker and changeup are as good (if not better) than 23, but slider and limited 4 seamers have been tattooed above 1.000 SLG.

I was curious about that as well. Webbs last outing his velo was down 3-4mph and stuff looked terrible.

Indeed. And he hit everything hard too, single at 96.1 EV, single at 106.7 EV, line out at 99.5 EV, grand slam at 103.4 EV.

I dunno kinda feels Davey Johnson-esque batting Reboulet against Big Unit.

Is that your preference OR what you think Elias will do?

Completely agree. Not sure what the analytics would say, but to me (from TV vantage point), Kremer’s best stuff comes by two pairings: (A) 4 seam 95mph at top of zone and curveball, and (B) splitter and 2 seamer at bottom of the zone. Both probably tunnel in the same way to the batters. And his cutter should be reserved only for jamming lefties on their hands, bc he hangs far too many meatballs against righties.

My opinion in principle depends on the duration of the FA contract. For the Orioles as currently constructed, the roster will be inexpensive over next 3 years with most premium guys either pre-arb or early arb years. That would make me lean toward FA signing of elite SP this upcoming offseason. Now last winter we saw only Nola receive long duration contract at 7yrs (I’m putting Yamamoto & Ohtani in separate category given the JP marketing angle). The industry seemed reticent to give $$$ and length to the other premium SPs (Snell, Montgomery) but was this Boras driven? Would the premium SPs be willing to sign 3-4 yr deals at higher AAVs or instead play out essentially one year deals? Example — would a guy like Burnes go for 4/175M? the market dynamics will be interesting this upcoming offseason with demand (which big market clubs pursuing — Cubs, LAA, SFG, NYY?) and supply (Burnes, Fried as FAs and Montgomery, Snell, Cole as potential opt outs). As well as Boras negotiating factor.