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SteveA

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SteveA last won the day on September 21 2023

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About SteveA

  • Birthday 02/20/1964

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  • Location
    Elkridge MD
  • Interests
    Gambling, strat-o-matic baseball, Virginia Tech sports
  • Occupation
    Computer analyst
  • Favorite Current Oriole
    Adam Jones
  • Favorite All Time Oriole
    Rick Dempsey

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  1. So have we made all the official moves to have a 26 man roster yet? I know we pretty much know what it is going to be, but is the official 26 man roster published somewhere?
  2. Last year the decision was made by 2pm the day before. We are already 3 hours beyond that point.
  3. If you read some of the text, that is not really what they are projecting. The win projection for each team is it's 50th percentile projection of wins. So those will tend to be towards the middle. But by definition, 3 of the 30 teams in MLB should hit their 90th percent projection, and there are quite a few teams whose 90th percent projection is > 95 wins. And 6 of the 30 teams should hit their 80% projection, and so forth. (And on the other end, 3 of the 30 teams should only meet their 10% projection, etc). So those projections are kind of the average of what each team will produce according to their system, so they tend to bunch towards the middle. But it's a given that some teams will significantly exceed their projection, and some will significantly fall short, which will "un-bunch" the numbers. So they aren't saying that no one will win more than 95, or that no one will win more than 91 in the AL. But they aren't going to pick which teams will over- or under- perform their own projected #s. But the bottom line is the Orioles have the highest 50% projection in the AL, which is pretty astonishing. I think that even here, an Oriole fan site, the majority of the fans don't believe we are the most talented team in the league right now. But Fangraphs basically does!
  4. Yep, I got it too. It was even personally addressed ("Dear Stephen")... Rubenstein even knew to spell it the correct way instead of the incorrect Steven. Sharp guy.
  5. 9/9, 90, 7 Orioles Surprised that the one guy hit 46%.
  6. To me the main reason I expect him to spend more, though not necessarily pump spending through the roof, is the degree to which John Angelos underspent. Extremely low payroll, nickel-and-dime running of MASN, allegedly changing coaches to save money, etc. Even if Rubinstein were just to increase the payroll to what would be average for the Orioles' market size and revenue, it would be a significant increase. I believe Angelos knew for the last bunch of years that a sale was going to happen, and didn't see the point of making long term payroll investments because they would be obligations a new owner would have to be saddled with and might not want; nor did he want to spend on short term payroll because they wouldn't add value for a future owner. So what did he spend on? Farm system, international spending, infrastructure... things that didn't cost nearly as much as one mid-level free agent starting pitcher, but DID increase the long term value of the team which could translate into a bigger sale price for him and his family. So Angelos was keeping the team payroll artificially low for his own reasons, and it's reasonable to expect ANY new owner who is in it for the long haul to at least spend commensurate with our market size and potential revenue. And I think Rubenstein is smart enough to see that. So I expect payroll to increase significantly just because if was artificially low, regardless of Rubenstein's net worth or well known philanthropy. [And I have already gotten tired of typing Rubenstein repeatedly, and then going back to make sure I spelled it right, or at least the same way every time. Sometimes Peter Angelos was referred to as PGA, I wonder if we could use DMR to refer to our new owner. Think it will catch on?]
  7. 7/9, 237. Messed up on New York CFs that I thought had 100 runs but both topped out in the 90s. Mickey Rivers and Mookie Wilson. Four Orioles used.
  8. The second acquisition is just a standard business deal, right? No need for another round of MLB approval?
  9. Current forecast for Thursday is 55 degrees high (38 low that night), 80% chance of rain Thursday, half an inch expected. Friday is mostly sunny, 59. Still time for the forecast to change, but a postponement to Friday certainly seems to be at least a possibility for those making plans. [Recall last year, the home opener was on a Thursday with a similar forecast. In fact, the rain was supposed to be even heavier. They announced on Wednesday at 2pm that the game was postponed until Friday. As it turned out, there was actually very little rain in the 3-6 pm window, though it was cloudy and damp, and there was heavy rain after 6pm. So perhaps they might have gotten the game in if they hadn't postponed it 24 hours in advance].
  10. MLB.com had it back to about 2006. I thought I couldn't go back any further but then a web search found this: https://www.springtrainingmagazine.com/history5.html
  11. Just out of college I had a roommate who was an electrical engineer. We lived in Linthicum (just south of Baltimore, near the airport). He was from Philly and a big Eagles fan. So he got up on the roof and pointed the roof antenna in the direction of Philadelphia. I don't remember the #s for sure now but for example let's say that Channel 12 in Philly carried the Eagles game. He set up pass band filters that would block out the signals of Baltimore channels 11 and 13, which would normally bleed over into channel 12 and make it impossible to get the farther (and thus much much weaker) Channel 12 signal from Philly. And then he put some sort of amplifier on the line to amplify the Channel 12 signal. It was fuzzy, but we were able to watch the Eagles game. I don't think he told his employer that he borrowed some of the equipment from work but he returned it all when we were done using it.
  12. Obviously spring training record means nothing, but I was wondering how rare it was that a team has this good a record in spring training. The Orioles are now 22-6, and win or lose tomorrow, will finish with a winning percentage over .750. In the last 40 stpring trainings, dating back to 1983, there have been 9 teams to finish with a .750 win% or better in spring training, including this year's Orioles. And two of those came in strike shortened years where spring training started late and 15 or fewer spring training games were played. So the Orioles are just the 7th team in the last 40 years to have a >.750 win percentage in a full length spring training. The only 3 such teams ahead of us on the list all won 90+ games and 2 won the World Series. (The Dodgers could finish at 15-5, .750, and join the bottom of this list if they sweep their two game freeway series from the Angels tomorrow and Monday) Here are those teams, plus this year's Orioles, and how each team did in the regular season:. 1991 Padres 12-2 .857 84-78 1997 Marlins 26-5 .839 92-70, World Champions 2016 Nationals 19-4 .826 95-67, Division Champs 2015 Royals 25-7 .787 95-67, World Champions 2024 Orioles 22-6 .786 ????? 2012 Blue Jays 24-7 .774 73-89 1995 Mets 10-3 .769 69-75 2009 Angels 26-8 .765 97-65, Division Champs 2016 Diamondbacks 24-8 .750 69-93
  13. Hays left the game after the hit by pitch. Right shoulder contusion.
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