Frobby

The O’s absolutely scalded the baseball in this game. 12 batted balls hit at least 100 mph. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/gamefeed?gamePk=747053

After 16 games, pretty much exactly 10% of the season, the O’s are on pace to go…101-61.

Was that 2014? Statcast didn’t exist then.

I wouldn’t say utterly irrelevant. Just incomplete information.

2000 x 81 is 162,000 which would get them to almost exactly 2.1 mm. i do think however that the March 30-31 games were impacted by spring break and Easter Sunday. So I do think an 8.1% increase so far probably understates by a good bit the increase we’ll see going forward.

No it doesn’t. xBA is a function of exit velocity and launch angle and takes no account for the direction in which the baseball is hit. A ball hit directly at a fielder is treated exactly the same as a ball that perfectly dissects the position of two fielders.

They’ve stolen 11 bases and have yet to be thrown out. Also, both BB-ref and Fangraphs have the O’s at no. 2 in baserunning runs. I’m fine with what they’re doing.

Yes they do. Basically catch probability is a function of distance needed and hang time, with some extra credit thrown in for catches made going back and on plays near the wall.

Couldn’t agree more about scoreboard watching. We just need to worry about winning 90+ games and not worry about what other teams are doing until the all-star break or so. Look at how Tampa played at the start of last year.

Tonight’s exchange was a complete nothing burger in my opinion. It came up because the pitcher on the mound had a wedding at some fancy ski resort and the wedding was covered by Vogue. It’s not like Brown just brought up fancy ski resort weddings for no reason.

100% agreed. By the way, one of those losses was a game where Kremer allowed 1 unearned run in 7 innings.

Through 10 games, the O’s have drawn 233,811, compared to 216,213 last year, an 8.1% increase. If that held all year, you’d expect attendance to fall just short of 2.1 mm this year. That would be quite disappointing.

My eyes tell me the same thing yours do. But let’s assume you have a faster CF. Maybe he doesn’t need to dive to catch that. Mullins ranks 26th of 34 qualitied CF in sprint speed this year.

Melanie said Statcast had that at 65% catch probability (3-star catch).

OK, rhetorical point is out of the way. Now to whether Adley is being overused by current standards. I say no. He caught 104 games last year, and is on pace for 102 this year. That’s a pretty light catching workload for a starting catcher. Yes he DH’s most other days, but that’s not that heavy a lift, and Hyde bumped up the number of monthly full days off in the summer months last year. I’m sure he’ll do that again. By the way, the O’s are now 9-1 when Adley catches, 1-5 when he doesn’t. Going into tonight, the staff had a 2.73 ERA with Adley catching, 5.43 when he didn’t. (Admittedly, 6 of the 9 wins were with Burnes or GRod on the mound, while McCann only caught Burnes once and hasn’t caught GRod.)