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01-09-2012 01:37 PM #121
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01-09-2012 01:37 PM #122
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01-09-2012 01:38 PM #123
Eh, maybe there's truth to that. But in this case I think the speculation the way it was posted is a valid possibility. I agree with you, RZNJ, that Wada will be given a chance to start. That doesn't mean he automatically comes out of spring training as the #3-#5. Right now I'd say he's anywhere from their #4 to #8. Is Hunter given "every chance" to start? Eveland? Arrieta? Britton?
On a separate note, where does this put our interest level in Jackson? Have we inched wider on packages we'd accept in return for Guthrie?
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01-09-2012 01:39 PM #124
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01-09-2012 01:39 PM #125
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I think Guthrie, Britton, and Chen pretty much have spots locked up. The other 2 will be up for grabs. I would guess Hunter, Arietta, and Wada have the inside track on 2 of those 3 spots. Eveland and Matusz could steal one spot away with impressive springs.
I also think as long as Eveland doesn't blow up in ST he will have a BP spot and if Hunter or Wada doesn't win a rotation spot they also will have a BP spot.
I guess to make a prediction I'll go with
Guthrie
Britton
Chen
Hunter
Wada
BP:
Johnson
Gregg
Stroop
Eveland
Patton
O Day
Simon
That would mean Arrieta, Matusz, Bergy, Berken, Rapada all miss the cut and I think that is far from a given. I think all of these guys will have a legit chance to win a spot. 3 or 4 spots on the staff are probably up for grabs. Vandenhurk, Phillips, Tillman, or anyone else I can't think of off the top of my head all seem like extreme longshots to make it out of ST.Last edited by ccbird; 01-09-2012 at 01:44 PM.
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01-09-2012 01:41 PM #126
Good point.
Not saying he won't have to earn it. I just think he has an "all things being equal" advantage over guys like Hunter and Matusz. Hunter pitched a great deal out of the pen last year and Matusz can easily go to AAA. Also, I'm not 100% certain of Arrieta's elbow health or even Chen's knee. However, according to KLaw - the part that Mweb posted - his velocity was ticking back up toward the end of last season. His decline in K's is concerning but I imagine, or I hope anyway, that it is a correlation to his ailing knee.
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01-09-2012 01:43 PM #127
I was going to post the same thing. Koji was considered a lock as the #2 or even #1 pitcher when he joined this team because of the lack of depth behind him. The rotation constructed now is way different then it was at the time Koji was signed.
Speaking of Koji, how much do you think he would love to come back to Baltimore and pitch with his old friends plus Wada and Chen?
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01-09-2012 01:43 PM #128
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01-09-2012 01:43 PM #129
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01-09-2012 01:44 PM #130
Dan Connolly @danconnollysun
The #Orioles signing of Chen Wei-yin is for three guaranteed years
Initially heard Chen's value was $4 to $5M per year -- makes sense (w Wada getting just over $8M for 2) but dont know yet if that's deal
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01-09-2012 01:44 PM #131
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01-09-2012 01:45 PM #132
I am not sure Wada and Koji can be compared. Sounds like Koji throws a little harder and he has that out pitch..the splitter.
Wada does seem like a good control/command guy like Koji was though.
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01-09-2012 01:45 PM #133
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01-09-2012 01:46 PM #134
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01-09-2012 01:49 PM #135
Definitely not the same. For one, Wada is a lefty. Second, Kojii had the splitter. There's a difference, to be sure. I think, however, that Wada's size may hinder him in the same way that Koji's stamina hindered him. After all, Wada is all of 5'10 and 170 pounds. I also think that this is the most likely (but not only possible) outcome:
But most importantly, the number — $8.15 million over two years — means that there are all sorts of ways that Wada can be productive for the Orioles.
Even if he ends up a reliever, he has a chance to return more than a win and a half over the next two years. 63 relievers have managed that feat, including some relievers that are somewhere between spot starter, long reliever and LOOGY status like Phil Coke. In a market place that awarded 32-year-old two-pitch reliever Jeremy Affeldt with a $5 million contract for the next season, Wada’s deal can’t be seen as terrible. And Koji Uehara shows that a Japanese reliever with a sub-90 MPH fastball and some durability issues has an even higher ceiling (2.7 WAR since 2010) than that.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index...tsuyoshi-wada/



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