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03-22-2012 12:06 PM #1
UPDATED: Current Preference List (3/27/2012)
As noted, I'll be covering the draft from the Orioles perspective for ESPN's Sweetspot Network Orioles Blog, Camden Depot. First piece is up (link), giving my current preference list:
1. Mark Appel, rhp, Stanford Univ.
2. Byron Buxton, of, Appling County HS (Baxley, Ga.)
3. Mike Zunino, c, Univ. of Florida
4. Deven Marrero, ss, Arizona St. Univ.
5. Kyle Zimmer, rhp, Univ. of San Francisco
6. Gavin Cecchini, ss, Barbe HS (Lake Charles, La.)
7. Kevin Gausman, rhp, Louisiana St. Univ.
8. Stryker Trahan, c, Acadiana HS (Lafayette, La.)
9. Albert Almora, of, Mater Acad. (Hialeah Gardens, Fla.)
10. David Dahl, of, Oak Mountain HS (Birmingham, Ala.)
11. Lucas Giolito, rhp, Harvard-Westlake HS (Studio City, Calif.)
12. Max Fried, lhp, Harvard-Westlake HS (Studio City, Calif.)
13. Carlos Correa, ss, Puerto Rico Baseball Acad. (Gurabo, P.R.)
14. Matt Smoral, lhp, Solon HS (Solon, Ohio)
15. Walker Weickel, rhp/1b, Olympia HS (Fla.)
The high school arms have lagged some this spring, but that's not uncommon early on. I'll see both Zimmer and Appel this weekend, and wouldn't be completely shocked if they flip-flop on this list come Tuesday.
Last edited by Stotle; 03-27-2012 at 12:57 PM.
03-22-2012 12:33 PM #2
03-22-2012 12:36 PM #3
- Join Date
- Sep 2003
- Sewickley, PA
I see #13 plays for a baseball academy in Puerto Rico.
To level in the US is that comparable?
03-22-2012 12:46 PM #4
03-22-2012 12:48 PM #5
03-22-2012 02:59 PM #6
Giolito at #11 because of the injury? If so, how much doesn that knock him down?
I know Marrero is plus plus defensively but what's with his offense? He it .300 last year and is around the same this year. His numbers show a lower than average walk rate (aggressive hitter?) with little power. He looks like a hitter but the results say otherwise.
BTW, thanks for the list. Look forward to more lists and more discussion from here on in.
Last edited by RZNJ; 03-22-2012 at 03:04 PM.
03-22-2012 03:03 PM #7
03-22-2012 05:08 PM #8Plus Member since 7/10 Major Leagues
- Join Date
- Jun 2007
Do you think the O's get a Stud at #4 either way?
thanks so much Stotle, for your effort.
Edit: Barring a Hobgoodian selection.
Last edited by WV O's; 03-22-2012 at 05:10 PM.
03-22-2012 05:23 PM #9
03-22-2012 05:23 PM #10
03-22-2012 05:33 PM #11
All that said, I'll feel better answering this in late April after I've had a chance to see more of a couple of the HS kids on my list (Smoral, Trahan, Cecchini, and maybe Fried). I think Almora can be an above-average centerfielder, but with much less risk than you get with Buxton. A kid with "stud" upside but who is too raw for me to consider at 1:4 is Lewis Brinson. Chance to be a plus defender in center with a plus hit tool and plus speed, but is very raw at the plate right now.
As far as the collegiate level, "stud" doesn't really describe any position player I've seen. I think Appel and Gausman, and potentially Zimmer from what I've heard, have the chance to be legit #1/#2 types. I'll see Zimmer and Appel on Saturday, so I'll have more thoughts on them early next week.
Three guys I know you like, Dahl, Stroman and Jankowski, could all end-up steals when they come off the board. Depending on how the rest of his spring shapes up, Dahl may end up the "Lorenzen" of this draft -- five tool potential but too uneven a spring to get teams to spend big on him. If that happens, he could come out of Auburn as an easy top 5 pick.
03-22-2012 06:02 PM #12
03-22-2012 08:49 PM #13
In his favor is the fact that he has great physical tools and has at least shown some capacity for quick adjustments in showcase settings.
03-22-2012 10:21 PM #14
Almora doesn't appear to be as physically strong as Buxton or Dahl. Watched a little video. Meh.
Buxton or Giolito could grow on me, because of the high ceilings. Zunino might be the safest high pick in the draft. One of those guys will be there at #4. If not, the O's have the pick of the 3 college pitchers which wouldn't be the worst thing.
03-22-2012 10:45 PM #15
True, Almora isn't going to hit you 35 homeruns. But he can give you plus defense with a strong arm, plus hit tool and average to above-average power (call it potentially 17-25 homeruns) if everything clicks. He may not look like a thumper, but he has no issue driving the ball -- even with wood.