View Poll Results: As of 4/30, I think the odds that the O's make the playoffs are:

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  • 25% or higher

    4 4.17%

  • 10-24%

    19 19.79%

  • 5-9%

    37 38.54%

  • 2-4%

    22 22.92%

  • 1% or lower

    14 14.58%
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  1. 04-30-2012 06:43 PM #1
    Frobby
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    As of April 30, what do you believe are the odds the Orioles make the playoffs?

    Just want to see whether 22 games have materially changed anyone's mind about the team's playoffs chances.
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  2. 04-30-2012 06:45 PM #2
    El Gordo's Avatar
    El Gordo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Frobby View Post
    Just want to see whether 22 games have materially changed anyone's mind about the team's playoffs chances.
    I'll be able to answer this question after May 15. Right now I think the odds of their reaching .500 have gone up.
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  3. 04-30-2012 06:46 PM #3
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    crissfan172
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    Greater than they were before the season started....lower than I want them to be.

    I don't think I could form a real opinion until after these next 4 series, though.
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  4. 04-30-2012 06:47 PM #4
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    I think our odd's of just getting to .500 for the first time in 14 years is a lot better than even thinking about playoffs at this point.
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  5. 04-30-2012 06:54 PM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by El Gordo View Post
    I'll be able to answer this question after May 15. Right now I think the odds of their reaching .500 have gone up.
    This. After 15 years a good dose of pragmatism has tempered my optimism. I want to see what they do with the bully's on the block.
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  6. 04-30-2012 06:55 PM #6
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    I was going to say 5% before seeing the choices. I feel more comfortable with 2-4 then 5-9.
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  7. 04-30-2012 06:57 PM #7
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    6.2% up from 2.8%.

    Or something like that.
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  8. 04-30-2012 07:09 PM #8
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    I can't say any more than 5 percent. They simply haven't played enough good teams yet. They played the Yankees tough in the first series, and the pitching matchups look favorable for this series. I am more interested to see how they look on May 30th than May 15th, if they do play around .500 ball (or slightly worse) for the next 5 series I am curious whether they can return to taking care of business against lesser competition.
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  9. 04-30-2012 07:22 PM #9
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    Icterus galbula
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    I think a team playing like us with this kind of start could reasonably expect a berth 1/20 times, even in our slaughterhouse division.
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  10. 04-30-2012 08:11 PM #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by OsStormers View Post
    I think our odd's of just getting to .500 for the first time in 14 years is a lot better than even thinking about playoffs at this point.
    Isn't this always going to be the case? (Or is there a precedent for under .500 teams making the playoffs)?
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  11. 04-30-2012 08:19 PM #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lucky Jim View Post
    Isn't this always going to be the case? (Or is there a precedent for under .500 teams making the playoffs)?
    1981 Kansas City Royals

    Strike year.
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  12. 04-30-2012 09:39 PM #12
    zero1
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    1% or lower
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  13. 05-01-2012 07:25 AM #13
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    I predicted 82 wins before the season, and this good start has me feeling good about that, but in no way do I assume a playoff run. I voted 5-9% on this poll.
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  14. 05-01-2012 07:29 AM #14
    ScottP
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    Slim and None (and Slim just left town). Do think they may top 75.
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  15. 05-01-2012 09:19 AM #15
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    2-4 %.....only because I think random luck chances are better than 1 or lower
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