Well, if you ask ESPN......here are the AL teams listed in order of decreasing probability.

Rangers - 92.9 % chance
Rays - 64.1
Tigers - 54.7
Yankees - 52.9
Orioles - 39.2
White Sox - 37.1
Blue Jays - 36.8
Red Sox - 30.6
Angels - 29.6
Indians - 26.9
Athletics - 14.0
Royals - 12.5
Mariners - 6.9
Twins - 1.7

Keep in mind that the top 5 teams should make it...........

/not that this means anything of course. I fully expect the orioles to get stomped immediately, as early as this weekend of course. I am sure of this.