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vs. ANGELS, 7/21


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BALTIMORE O RIOLES

Nick Markakis - RF

Steve Pearce - LF

Adam Jones - CF

Nelson Cruz - DH

Chris Davis - 1B

James Jerry Hardy - SS

Manny Machado - 3B

Nick Hundley - C

Jonathan Schoop - 2B

David Stefan Norris - RHP (7-6, 3.96 ERA)

CALIFORNIA ANGELS

Kole Calhoun - RF

Mike Trout - CF

Albert Pujols - 1B

Josh Hamilton - DH

Howie Kendrick - 2B

David Freese - 3B

Efren Navarro - LF

Hank Conger - C

John McDonald - SS

Matthew Shoemaker - RHP (7-2-3, 4.38 ERA)

http://www.baseballpress.com/lineups

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Sirvana

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    • Does Cowser win ROY with 9.9 rWAR?
    • Friendly reminder that even the quickest numbers to show significance like strikeout and FB rates take 60-100 at bats to become more signal than noise. And things like SLG and OBP take the better part of half a season before you can start trusting them. Batting average is well over the number of PAs anyone has ever gotten in a season. Drungo's First Rule (or at least some rule of mine): Never trust anything before Memorial Day. And don't get too comfortable until well after July 4th.
    • So, what's our total team WAR now and what does it project to? 
    • I don’t think Hays will cause locker room issues, but this was precisely the reason why I wanted to see Hays shopped this past offseason. I get it that Cowser/Kjerstad/Stowers aren’t proven, but you have to think one of them would break through this year. Now it’s entirely possible Elias tried to trade Hays and didn’t like any of the offers received. Hays ceiling as a hitter is only going to be so high with his free swinging approach. 
    • Yeah Hays is a team guy. I'm sure he's bummed and dealing with it internally, but I have no concerns about him effecting clubhouse chemistry. 
    • I'll be the pedantic one and point out that it's not really a projection to multiply 1/9th of the season by nine and come up with a full season's performance. Because 1/9th of the season is almost certainly not representative of the talent or expected performance of the players in question.  To get a true projection you should take a little less than 8/9ths of your preseason projection, add in what they've done since opening day, and then toss in the little bit of additional knowledge we've gotten from the past 18 games. If you thought Jordan Westburg was a 2.5-win player on opening day, it's probably reasonable to think he's a 2.7 win player today.
    • It hasn't impacted his best friend, Ced. I doubt it impacts anyone but Hays.
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