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2014 Top Prospect List


Tony-OH

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1. Dylan Bundy - RHP - Full Profile (Plus members): Bundy's original advanced schedule was obviously altered by the Tommy John surgery, but he remains the premium prospect in the organization.

2. Hunter Harvey - RHP - Full Profile (Plus members): The Orioles claim Harvey is feeling great and will be full go next spring. If that ends up being true, Harvey should start the year in Frederick and has the stuff and command to have immediate success at that level as a 20-year old.

3. Chance Sisco - C - Full Profile (Plus Member): Despite the defensive short comings, Sisco has the makings of becoming an everyday big league player due to his plus bat. Sisco will be one of the younger players in the Carolina League next season but the Orioles expect him to make the jump with little setbacks.

4. Zach Davies - RHP - Full Profile (Plus Members): He's never going to get a lot of publicity due to his size and lack of premium velocity, but if he's going to pitch in the major leagues in some role. We would not bet against him pitching as a 4th starter for years to come.

5. Dariel Alvarez - OF - Full Profile (Plus Members): Overall upside of Alvarez varies from scout to scout but most think he's going to end up a useful major league player. Most seem to think he'll end up a solid 4th outfielder, but with his excellent intangibles, ability to hit for average, and his plus defense and arm, he's got a chance to be a regular as well.

6. Jomar Reyes - 3B - Full Profile (Plus Members): Reyes has the most upside of any Orioles positional prospect but also is the rawest amongst anyone in the top 30 prospects.

7. Christian Walker - 1B - Full Profile (Plus Members): Not a scouts favorite, but it's hard to overlook the kind of season he put up last year at AA/AAA. Added the power last season that he was missing but questions linger over his bat speed.

8. Parker Bridwell - RHP - Full Profile (Plus Members): Although Bridwell will tease the organization with those double digit strikeout games on occasion, the organization would be smart to convert him into a reliever at this point in his career and see how his stuff plays in shorter stints more often.

9. Mike Yastrzemski - OF - Full profile (Plus Members): Most scouts feel Yastrzemski will end up a solid 4th outfielder on a 1st Division club, but could also end up a regular on a second Division team.

10. Brian Gonzalez - LHP - Full Profile (Plus Members): Few scouts go away from watching Gonzalez blown away since nothing in his stuff rates above average. Saying that, he's a three pitch command lefty that shows an advanced feel for pitching at a young age.

11. Steven Brault - LHP : Full Profile (Plus members): Some scouts feel a good comp for him is Troy Patton though others think he could stick at the back end of the rotation.

12. Tyler Wilson - RHP - Full Profile (Plus members):With the Orioles rotation filled for 2015, he'll need an injury to see much big league time in 2015 but in the meantime he will provide solid starting pitching depth in Norfolk.

13. Tim Berry - LHP Full Profile (Plus members): Although Berry could end up a back of the rotation starter, he could end up a real weapon out of the pen. If healthy, he'll start 2015 in Norfolk and could see major league action as well.

14. Stephen Tarpley - LHP Full Profile (Plus members): When it comes to pure stuff from a left-hander within the organization, no one can touch Tarpley's fastball curveball combination.

15. David Hess - RHP - Full Profile (Plus members):Some scouts feel he's best suited for a reliever role though the Orioles will run him out as as starter in 2015 and should have a better idea of what they got after next season.

16. Mike Wright - RHP - Full Profile (Plus members) Former Oriole Jason Johnson might be a decent comp for Wright though a move to the bullpen might allow his stuff to play up.

17. Pat Connaughton - RHP - Full Profile (Plus members) If you are looking for a guy with some upside at this point on the list, this two sport star from Notre Dame is your guy.

18. Mitch Horacek - LHP - Full Profile (Plus members) At worse Horacek's breaking ball should allow him to carve out a career getting left-handers out but if he can improve his changeup his ceiling could be higher.

19. Adrian Marin - SS - Full Profile (Plus members) He should repeat Frederick where the organization would like to see him take a step forward in his development.

20. Garabez Rosa - UTL - Full Profile (Plus members) He'll never walk much and his overall offensive ceiling is not very high, but his defensive versatility could allow him to one day carve out a utility career.

21. Ofelky Peralta - RHP - Full Profile - Reminds some scouts of Taijuan Walker while others see a young Daniel Cabrera. High ciling but high risk.

22. Drew Dosch - 3B - Full Profile - He'll need to continue to hit for a high average and add power to be anything more than an extra bat off the bench in the big leagues.

23. Henry Urrutia - OF - Full Profile - A sports hernia caused him to miss a bunch of time last year and when he returned he struggled to find his stroke.

24. Rey Navarro - SS/UTL - Full Profile - Navarro has enough defensive ability and decent enough stick to possibly compete for a utility job.

25. Mychal Givens - RHP - Full Profile - Must command his stuff better to have success at higher levels, but a mixture of getting ground balls and missing bats is a good start.

26. Alex Murphy - C - Full Profile - He should be the every day catcher in Delmarva next season. Murphy is an offense first catcher who will need his bat to continue to produce.

27. Jonah Heim - C - Full Profile - Strong defensive catcher who some scouts believe just needs to get stronger so he'll remain on the prospect scene until his bats convinces us else wise.

28. Mike Ohlman - C - Full Profile - His bat will determine his future but it's doubtful he'll ever be good enough defensively to more than a backup behind the plate.

29. Oliver Drake - RHP - Full Profile - His split finger is his out pitch but he must be able to throw it for strikes in order to get upper level hitters to chase it out of the zone.

30. Tanner Scott - LHP - Full Profile - A left-hander who can throw into the triple digits but who has to learn how to harness his heat.

2012 Prospect list

2013 Prospect list

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  • 6 months later...

As with always at this time of year, it would be nice to see posters' opinions of our updated list, likely after today's rounds of the draft. I'm guessing yesterday's picks slot in somewhere between 6 and 12. Of course, it's really hard to objectively compare a 2nd round guy like Hughes (raw HS pitcher) to a guy like Wright, Wilson or Davies, but that's the fun of looking at these lists.

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  • 1 year later...

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  • Posts

    • And what is the data on Cy Young award winning pitchers in their age 30 and up seasons? Side Note: Last season's best Orioles starting pitcher, Kyle Bradish, is only 2 years younger than Burnes. I don't think you can assume Grayson will remain healthy either based on how violent his velocity is and the injury history that he has from the minor leagues. With all that said, I agree that it is crucial to ask these questions and think hard about these things and try to make a healthy rational decision. Pros and Cons. Cost benefit analysis. We're lucky to see a Cy Young award winner playing for the Orioles even once in a generation, and considering how rare that is, we should consider the value in it and balance the upside with the downside. Some pitchers are built sturdier than others. Look at former Orioles pitcher Jamie Moyer (he was almost 50 years old before he retired). Look at Nolan Ryan. Could Burnes be one of those enduring pitchers? He's had a very good career track record of health.
    • That is the big question. I had assumed it would be pretty long, especially with him wearing Cal Ripken Sr's old number and him being the consensus top prospect in Baseball. But if there's been no progress in all that playing time, and it's starting to cost us games, I don't know how the team can take the brunt of that for too long. Especially in a chase for a championship inside the toughest division in baseball.  The Front Office has surprised me before by looking like they were being patient with a guy only to suddenly option him one day without warning they would.  If we're being perfectly honest Jackson looks like a boy playing amongst men out their right now and he looks like he belongs in the minor leagues with a reset for now until he gathers up experience like Westburg and Norby, or at least as much as Henderson did. So, we will probably watch Jackson ride the bench vs Ragans tomorrow. What happens after that is something we will just have to wait and see. I'm willing to cut him some slack, but if it continues to cost us runs and games, then there's not much room for patience.
    • Hicks was a big blessing to the team--we're very lucky we got him when we did. There's no way the Cowser we saw last year could have matched what Hicks provided, even on defense and on the basepaths. You cite BABIP, but drawing 35 walks in 236 plate appearances was a huge self-earned positive.
    • I had to think about it because Adley has always been a high priority for me. He's the franchise Catcher we never had. And in my opinion, the Catcher position is the Quarterback of a Baseball team. It's that impactful of a position and you need a good one to compete for championships. But with that said, Burnes is the Ace we've been waiting for since Mussina turned coat, and his contract is up at the end of the season. He's also one of the most reliable and durable pitchers in baseball. I think we should do what we can to keep him happy and make a business deal with him to keep him an Orioles pitcher.   If you're assuming that Rodriguez or Bradish will take over the Ace role, I think you've seen enough pitching injuries this year to tell you that you can't assume that will happen. You need to make sure any one of your top 3 starters can assume the #1 spot if pressed. Timing dictates Burnes as our biggest priority to work on. With Gunnar, he might be a future MVP and I've been one of his biggest fans since the moment he was called up. But his agent is Scott Boras, so good luck getting him to agree to an extension before free agency. And on that note, you'll have Scott Boras with a conflict of interest when you're trying to sign both Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holiday long term and they both want to play shortstop.
    • People keep talking about Norby's flawed defense, meanwhile Holliday is looking pretty bad out there. Small sample size, I guess! But how long is the leash?
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    • I know this isn’t the question that you asked, but my recollection is that you worked on the business side for the Orioles at some point, so I think you might be able to weigh in on this idea: do you think there are business reasons to extend a Gunnar or an Adley? I know you’re view is generally that extensions are overrated by the fanbase, but that largely seems related to the idea that you are paying for past-peak years (if I’m off base here, it wasn’t intentional—just my recollection). I tend to think that from a business standpoint, an extension for a young player would not make a material difference concerning the amount of tickets sold, revenue generated, etc. and would really just make some people on X happy, but I don’t really have anything to support that opinion.
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