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This is spot on. If Rubenstein means what he says, (Eilas/Sigbot will run the show) the question is what will Elias do with more resourses? How is Elias going to meld free agencey with a bigger budget and team needs going forward. I do not see Sigbot buying into long term high dollar deals for pitching. Particularly for 30 plus year old pitching. I feel any long term deals will be calculated around mutual advantage for team and player with as little risk as possible. I sure don't see Sigbot paying out eight years for three to four years potential benefit. -
By Sports Guy · Posted
Well first of all, how are you defining an impact starter? I would guess you didn’t think Bradish would make an impact. I think out of Povich or McDermott that one of them can give us good enough starter innings. How much of an impact? Who knows. Ceiling is definitely higher with them than Kremer though. Is Kremer an impact guy. Did you think he would be 2-3 years ago? Now, a guy like Luis DeLeon? High impact potential there. And we will see with guys like Baumeister, who we have seen so little of so far. You don’t have to spend 9 figures to invest in pitching. You can trade for it. That’s an investment. You can make more sensible FA signings. -
If I’m writing the checks, I test out Gunnar, Holliday, Cowser, and Adley in that order. IMO Gunnar is the obvious choice. Not because others aren’t deserving, but because Gunnar has the potential to get MUCH more expensive than he would be to extend today. Hes a realistic MVP candidate, plays great defense at a premium position, and will hit FA at 27. The Witt contract at 11/288 ($26mm aav) as a starting point is actually a great DEAL relative to the average of the top 5 3B / SS contracts, which all orbit $30-$35mm AAV, and before any natural inflation over the next years of team control. Said differently, we would likely save $5-10mm per year by extending Gunnar now, which seems like a no brainer to me. I don’t think the value of Burnes / Adley (finished products, too close to FA), or Holliday (generationally wealthy family) will change much between now and the decision point. Gunnar’s will only go up . Cowser wasn’t mentioned, and it’s probably not realistic for chemistry reasons until at least Santander has hit FA, but we may be looking at a 35 HR type of bat with solid defense. I’d like to lock that up. -
Agree with this. The number one priority should be locking up Henderson, Holliday, and to a lesser extent, Adley. Not that I don't want Adley around...I'm just not sure how many years you want to invest in a catcher. Making a deal for a guy like Burnes this year could be an annual/semi-annual kind of thing. Maybe you splurge one year and trade for a guy with two years left before FA where you may have to give up a bigger prospect. I don't think it's smart to have long-term money in pitching. -
By Matt Bennett · Posted
Based on the current state of the organization, I'm curious to see what this homegrown rotation looks like. What are the odds there's an impact SP in Seth Johnson, Chayce McDermott, and Cade Povich? Pretty low. What are the odds all 3 are busts? Pretty low. A likely median scenario is you have 1 serviceable SP, a reliever, and a bust. Or something along those lines. I for one am much happier Burnes is in the rotation rather than Bassit, Eovaldi, or someone of that caliber. My preference would have been both once we learned about the Bradish + Means injuries. This time, we paid for the Burnes type front of the rotation pitcher in years of prospect control. I don't think that will always be a luxury we can afford. Almost an entirely homegrown lineup and a GM who has shown the ability to piece together a productive bullpen. The rotation is where you strike. But it takes investments. No reason the Nationals can sign Scherzer and go win themselves a World Series and that avenue of success building is cut off to our collection of billionaire owners running a bottom 5 payroll currently. -
By Aristotelian · Posted
I would go for older but still elite/above average guys in areas of need who will sign short term deals even if they are high AAV, like some of those Verlander and Nelson Cruz contracts. Sonny Gray would have been good this year. Not sure who the equivalent guys will be next year but I don't see us being in the market for 10+/$300+ type deals. At least I hope we aren't. -
I do not think the Orioles will spend >$200m on annual payroll anytime soon, but they have room to sign. Burnes Ace type every 3-6 years. I would offer $150 over 5 years with incentives and options that could exceed $200m, to hedge a sunk cost for injuries.
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