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vs. YANKEES, 5/03


Sessh

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Baltimore Orioles (15-10, 2nd -0.5) vs. New York Yankees (8-15, 5th -5.5)

Streak / L10

BAL: -2, Lost 2 of 3 / L10: 4-6

NYY: -5, Lost 6 of 7 / L10: 3-7

Game 1 (7:05)

(QS=2)Chris Tillman (2-1) 3.24 (1.08/.211), 24/8 (1HR)

vs.

(QS=1)Luis Severino (0-3) 6.86 (1.78/.372), 12/3 (2HR)

Chris Tillman: Tillman comes into this game having thrown 11.2 consecutive scoreless innings on two quality starts in a row after allowing seven runs in the previous 10.1 IP with 13 hits and three walks allowed. Tillman has walked five in the last two starts, though. His numbers against the Yankees are atrocious in 16 starts with Teixeira, A-Rod and Gregorius having gotten the better of him in the past. A-Rod got off to a slow start, but is 7-for-16 over the last five games with three doubles, three home runs and seven RBI with only one strikeout.

Splits & Sits

45 vs. left: .238/.289/.378

54 vs. right: .188/.278/.241, HR

Bases Empty: .222

RISP: .250

RISP w/2 outs: .250

Men on w/2 outs: .182

Man on 3rd, < 2 outs: .667

2016 Home (3 starts)

(1-0) 2.08 (1.00/.182), HR

Career vs. NYY (16 starts)

(6-6) 4.96 (1.62/.302), 11HR

vs. Batter

Jacoby Ellsbury (37 AB) .243, 2 2B, S-HR

Brett Gardner (33 AB) .242, 2 2B, 4RBI, 5BB

Mark Teixeira (23 AB) .391, 2 2B, 3RBI, 3BB

Dustin Ackley (16 AB) .188, 3B, RBI

Brian McCann (15 AB) .200

Alex Rodriguez (13 AB) .462, 4HR, 9RBI

Chase Headley (12 AB) .167

Carlos Beltran (10 AB) .200, 2BB

Didi Gregorius 4/7, 2 2B, 3B, RBI, 2BB

Luis Severino: Severino has mostly struggled this season, but does have one quality start of six innings and two runs. He has allowed 35 base runners in 19.2 innings, but only three were from walks. He is almost split down the middle slightly favoring ground balls (38/36) and is coming off the worst of his four starts. He allowed six runs on seven hits and two walks in three innings at Texas. Severino has faced the Orioles once and it was at Camden Yards. It went pretty well for him, but it's just one start.

Splits & Sits

51 vs. left: .306/.333/.333

38 vs. right: .459/.474/.658, 2HR

Bases Empty: .395

RISP: .429

RISP w/2 outs: .571

Men on w/2 outs: .385

Man on 3rd, < 2 outs: .500

Career @ Camden Yards (1 start)

7 IP, 5H, 3ER, 2HR, 6/0

Career vs Baltimore (1 start)

(same as above)

vs. Batter

Nolan Reimold 1/3, S-HR, K

Manny Machado 1/3, S-HR, 2K

Caleb Joseph 0/3

Ryan Flaherty 0/3, 2K

Chris Davis 0/2

Well, Jimenez allowed only one run on a solo shot to Lawrie, but struggled in the fifth with two hit batters and more than a few bloop base hits and when the top of the fifth finally ended, the Orioles were down 6-0 with Sale still on the mound. Sale threw 5.1 innings, but it took 112 pitches to do it and it wasn't helped by the horrible game being called behind the plate by Gerry Davis and Petricka allowed his inherited runner to score. Lawrie also screwed up another double play in that sixth inning which turned out to be the runner that scored.

Severino and Tillman. Well, Tillman has been very bad against the Yankees in 16 career starts and Severino has been mostly bad in 2016 with only one start against the Orioles which was good. The Yankees have lost five in a row and have been outscored by their opponents 32-12 over that span. However, the Yankees put up seven runs in their last game which might be a sign that they are starting to come out of it and it more runs than they put up in the previous four games combined.

The Orioles have lost first place to the Red Sox who are now a half game in the lead having won three in a row and eight of 10, but the gap between second and third place is still three games. The Orioles have lost two straight and are 4-6 over the last 10 games. Thankfully, the Yankees have been worse, but are they ready to come out of it against the Orioles?

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The Yankees are presently in last place in the AL East, running the second-worst run differential in the American League, and on pace for 106 losses.

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on-baseball/25576102/yankees-gm-brian-cashman-is-sick-of-losing-thinking-about-changes

In terms of the forecast going forward, there's not much solace to be found. The SportsLine Projection Model expects the Yankees to play .446 baseball the rest of the season, which is an improvement, but they're given just a 0.4 percent chance of making the playoffs. As such, Cashman's sense of unease likely isn't going away anytime soon.
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