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Everything posted by Tryptamine

  1. That would be a haul and I honestly don't expect it to be that much. Allen by himself is a very nice piece top 100 guy(73 on most recent BA list) and MLB ready.
  2. Not really. Feldman had a 3.46ERA 3.93FIP 3.83xFIP when the Cubs traded him to the Orioles. Cashner has a 3.83ERA 4.25FIP 4.88xFIP.
  3. Frankly it's a really really bad idea as the hit rate on J2 talent is even worse than the rule 4 draft. When you're in talent acquisition phase you don't worry about where the talent comes from or what position they play.
  4. Definitely is. While I don't think he brings back a guy sniffing the top 100, he should at least bring back a somewhat intriguing guy.
  5. Moving prospects before you have an answer at that position in the majors is usually not a good idea. Just stock pile the heck out of the minors and if one of them comes up to MLB and then performs, then you consider dealing the depth.
  6. There's a pretty drastic difference in their peripherals. FIP: Means 3.93 Boyd 3.56 xFIP: Means 5.14 Boyd 3.33 SIERA Means 4.67 Boyd 3.17 K/9: Means 7.51 Boyd 11.94 BB/9 Means 2.40 Boyd 1.68 Boyd's peripherals make his performance look a lot more sustainable
  7. I think it's pretty silly to think that all of this sudden just now in 2019 did all these players collectively started taking PEDs. AAA is all the proof I need to know it's the ball.
  8. It's not just the stats that are the issue. The game is just boring to watch now. Homeruns were special things, but now you see 3 or 4 just about every game. If I remember right the Phillies/Mets had something crazy like 13 in a game earlier this year.
  9. I'm really not sure what the Cubs would do with Mancini. Sure the offense would improve but then they would have perhaps the single worst OF defensively in baseball. Schwarber is at best just average. Heyward is great in RF but below average in CF and Mancini is certainly lacking in RF. Lester would have an aneurysm.
  10. Verlander has been ridiculously lucky so far. A 90.7LOB% is more than 15% over his career average and his .181babip isn't even remotely sustainable, his career number is .281.
  11. Granted half a season of defensive metrics hasn't stabilized yet, but a -10 DRS through 394.2IP in RF is pretty awful. He's only -1 with 210.0IP at 1B which is tolerable.
  12. No, the balls are 100% juiced. The numbers in A,A+ and AA haven't changed, but the numbers in AAA have gone crazy. The only thing different in AAA this year is they switched to the same ball as MLB.
  13. Half a season of play has happened. Names emerge, players emerge, regress etc. There's a number of guys who a lot of other organizations would love to have (Miguel Amaya, Brailyn Marquez, Brennen Davis, Kohl Franklin, Aramis Ademan, Tyson Miller,Adbert Alzolay etc etc). Btw, They are ranked anywhere from 21 to 29 depending on where you look, but after this year I'd bet they're safely around the 20ish mark.
  14. Not top 15 for sure, but you're definitely underestimating it as far as "sucks".
  15. Nico most definitely wouldn't be on the table. In fact with Zobrist contract over and Descalso looking like he's going to be DFA'd, Nico might be the Cub 2B very early in 2020. All he does is rake.
  16. This isn't going to be near as in depth as it should be but these are the things I look at to see indications of a player's real performance and indicators of future success. Hitters: BB%- Ideally you want to see a guy around 10% but it's not set in stone as there are some rare players who can succeed at very low BB rates like Baez and Jones K%- Ideally you want to see 20% or less, but like BB% it's not 100% necessary as guys like Baez and Gallo succed despite them. wRC+- a real good way to measure hitters against the rest of the field where 100 is your average MLB hitter a
  17. The point of exit velocity is that it gives you an indication of the quality of contact a player makes so if you see a player with excellent exit velocity averages but very marginal numbers, there's a significant chance that his numbers will trend up.
  18. Not that I have any attachment to Giambrone or the perpetually hurt De La Cruz, but where would Villar play? The Cubs have Baez,Russell,Descalso,Bote and the newly promoted Robel Garcia who can all play a combination of 2b or SS. That also doesn't account for either Happ or Zobrist who is rumored to be coming back in August or September. If the Cubs need a bat a CFer would be great so Almora's no hitting ass can go somewhere else and Heyward can stick to RF where he's still good defensively.
  19. So, I'm not 100% sure, but a number of people are saying the international slot the Orioles traded to the Cubs is a 2019/20 slot and not a 2018/19. Considering the Cubs have already exceeded their budget by signing just 3 players, I'm starting to think that's likely true.
  20. Umm, Ivey hasn't pitched since May 17th and there has been zero news anywhere about what the situation is. I highly doubt anyone is trading for him right now. Also, the Astros have better options in the minors.
  21. K rate down 4%, BB% up slightly, Hard% up nearly 4%, Line Drive% up 5%, less pull happy and a juiced ball. All things that spell better results.
  22. About zero chance the Yanks would offer that. Yeah Frazier sucks in the field, but he's also 24 years old and putting up an .843 OPS with 4 more years of control. Bundy, on the other hand, put up a 5.17FIP last year and 4.99 this year while being only under contract for 2 more years.
  23. Why would the Orioles want to start his clock in a year where they have no way of being competitive? At earliest you're probably looking like 3 or 4 weeks into the 2021 season like the Cubs did with Kris Bryant so they gain the extra year of control. Then again I believe 2021 is when the new player/owner negotiations take place so who knows what new rules will be in pace or if there will be any games to play.
  24. Intentionally benching a player to keep him from an option or bonus is how you make sure that no one wants to sign with you in FA down the road.
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