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Everything posted by Tryptamine

  1. The last thing the MiLB kids need is another way for the owners to screw them over. It's bad enough the NA kids have to deal with this slot stupidity in the current draft.
  2. Among qualifed starters: 4.60FIP(66th) 5.08xFIP(74th) 5.15SIERA(72nd) Even if the Orioles ate money you'd be lucky to get a lottery ticket back. He's not the kind of guy anyone would throw in a play off game.
  3. FIP isn't supposed to be predictive. FIP merely demonstrates how the pitcher has done in the things that they can control. Also, in reference to the post you quoted suggesting xFIP is better than FIP, xFIP is very flawed in that it assumes that all pitchers will give up a 10.5 HR/FB%. While certain pitchers due to both ability, pitch types and pitching style will consistently put up lower or higher HR/FB%. Personally I prefer SIERA, but FIP is a very nice tool to get a better idea than ERA of how a pitcher actually has pitched. With that said, FIP is also flawed in that it doesn't account fo
  4. Not to be a wet blanket, but the peripherals are still pretty worrisome. Even if we include just those last 8 starts we're still looking at a 4.24FIP and 4.55xFIP. He's been getting propped up by a .226babip and 79.2LOB%. That's not to say there haven't been some good signs. His Hard% is down to 27.1% from 34.6% last year and his Soft% is slightly up. As is usually the case, the reality is some where between the 4.24FIP and 3.02ERA he has posted in that 8 game stretch.
  5. Tryptamine

    WAR is a JOKE

    Career wOBA: Trout .418 Alomar .359 Career wRC+ Trout 172 Alomar 118 They aren't even in the same universe offensively. Trout also plays a more demanding defensive position and while Alomar had a period of very high level defense at 2B, Trout is well above average in CF
  6. You realize that the vast majority of people are unable to react in time to a 90mph baseball coming at them when they know it's going to be coming at them let alone not expecting it? In fact a ball released from a pitcher's hand at 95mph reaches the plate in .395 seconds. The average person takes .4 seconds to blink.
  7. That would cost players a ton of money. There's no reason to let the owners make even more.
  8. Although it's not a hard cap, there is essentially a hard cap that no team is going to cross. I believe it's $248M where you incur the max penalty.
  9. Because showing a battered 4 year old or frantic parent sprinting up the stairs with their child in their arms wouldn't exactly be a classy move. Most places did well not to show it.
  10. Not sure I understand why Abrams is ok, but not Vaughn. Yeah, Abrams has crazy speed and very good defense but the bat is a big question mark. Vaughn is a much safer pick with elite offensive potential. Yeah he doesn't play a premium position but it doesn't matter how good your defense is if you can't hit.
  11. I really don't think Vaughn at #1 is that bad if it let's you grab a talent like Leiter with the 2nd pick.
  12. Their agent has been brilliant playing the team that almost has to win to save face(Orioles) against the team with new ownership who needs to make a move to make up for gutting their MLB squad(MIA). I can't believe Mesa is going to end up getting top 5 draft pick money.That's pretty crazy.
  13. I really doubt they change the pitching. I do believe they bring back Hamels for his 2019 option tough. That means they've got Lester,Hendricks,Quintana,Darvish,Hamels,Montgomery,Smyly,Chatwood. That's more than enough to get it done.
  14. Tryptamine

    2018 Chicago Cubs

    I'm just curious to why you don't think it will work out. Obviously this year wasn't great as his shoulder injury held him back a great deal, but he still put up 2.3fWAR after 3 years of 6.1, 7.9 and 6.7.
  15. Tryptamine

    2018 Chicago Cubs

    Why? He's extremely good.
  16. Tryptamine

    2018 Chicago Cubs

    Kris Bryant turned down an offer of apparently 200+M, though the years were not mentioned.
  17. Although landing both would be hilarious, they wont be doing that. My guess is they go hard after Harper, pick up Hamels' $20M option, pick up a reliever or two and then they'll find themselves well above the $206M threshold for 2019. I also expect them to package someone like Almora with Chatwood in order to get someone to take his deal.
  18. There's no need to put even more money in the owner's pockets and that's all a draft does. It's 'a league wide system to control player costs. These international kids already lose 20/30% of their signing bonus to their "handlers",
  19. if it wasn't for the fact that basically all the other talent is gone other than Mesa/Gaston, I don' think missing out on Mesa would be a bad thing at all. The more reports come out the more he sounds like a good, not great prospect. I don't think anyone is going to look back in two years and lament not landing him.
  20. Based on needs, I tink Kim Ng as President and Jason McLeod as GM would do the organization a world of good. They both have their own niches where they've independently very strong and McLeod already has experience in doing exactly what it is Baltimore is wanting to do. Up until this year I would have said he wasn't available, as he has turned down every promotion offered since coming to the Cubs, but I think the mystique is wearing off after this disappointing season.
  21. Probably going to catch a lot of flack for this, but the Orioles really aren't the organization that should be signing a guy like Gaston unless they're doing it strictly with intent to move him to another team.Right now the kid is a one trick pony. He's a fastball that hits triple digits at 16 years old, but outside of that he has basically nothing. No offspeed pitches that approach average, no command that approaches average, subpar mechanics, etc etc. Gaston is going to have to be built from the ground up and quite frankly an organization like the Orioles hasn't really shown that they're sui
  22. This is precisely such a big deal because it was Acuna and no one wants to see a young star injured. With that said, you need to let the comissioner's office handle the punishment. You do not hurl a hard ball at great velocity with intent to hit a man who had nothing to do with the situation. These pitchers are human and they miss their spots, you could end up shattering the batter's wrist and ending his career or hitting him in the head and killing him all because of some macho meatball nonsense that he never had anything to do with.
  23. Advocating to injure a player, perhaps in a career altering fashion, who had nothing to do with the previous beaning is nothing more than assault and should be legally treated as such.
  24. I keep thinking back to what may have been if Kris Bryant doesn't retweak his shoulder and have to go to the DL for an extended time. Davide Bote was being dangled to a numbers of teams, but when Bryant went down the Cubs had to keep him to fill in. Not sure what it would have looked like, but I don't think it's unrealistic that Bote would have been an Oriole as the Cubs were interested in Gausman.
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