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Spy Fox

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Everything posted by Spy Fox

  1. The check swing rule has always seemed like one of the most vague and inconsistently applied rules. Similar to balks, but it should be more objective than balks. The rule should be clarified and also made reviewable.
  2. ROY Check In (stats before today) Ryan Mountcastle — .258/.312/.490/.802, 30 HR/83 RBI/73 R, 0.9 rWAR/1.5 fWAR Randy Arozarena — .271/.350/.457/.807, 19 HR/65 RBI/89 R, 3.6 rWAR/2.6 fWAR Adolis Garcia — .243/.288/.461/.749, 30 HR/83 RBI/73 R, 3.4 rWAR/2.7 fWAR Wander Franco —.285/.347/.463/.810, 7 HR/36 RBI/49 R, 3.1 rWAR/2.2 fWAR Luis Garcia — 150.1 IP, 11-7, 3.23 ERA/1.15 WHIP, 161/48 K/BB, 2.8 rWAR/3.3 fWAR I think this will be a close race. Mountcastle's WAR lags behind because of the defense, and I don't expect he'll win the award. But if he winds up l
  3. They do care— Vlad didn’t debut til April 26. Wander Franco didn’t debut til June 22.
  4. I feel like Stewart's dream season would resemble Pedro Alvarez's 2016 with us. 22 HRs in 109 games and a .249/.322/.504/.826 line. Solid hitting, but from a DH that was still only about 1 WAR and he struggled to get playing time the next two seasons.
  5. A fixed Mazara would still just be an ok player-- and we already have a bunch of ok players at LF/RF/DH.
  6. I won’t be that surprised if Grayson is also in the Top 50. I remember seeing at least one Fangraphs writer say that he’s debatably the #1 pitching prospect. And would you trade Means or Mullins for a Grayson-like prospect? I think many would.
  7. This counts as grasping at straws, but Pedro Strop pitched a few more innings and had slightly better results than Sherrill, outside the saves. 101 IP, 7-5, 3.30 ERA, 128 ERA+, 2.4 rWAR
  8. I hope a coach talked to him after that at-bat to walk through it. If you're thinking about the game situation it's pretty clear that Greinke is going to throw junk to get Mountastle to roll over instead of advance the runner. So what does Mountcastle do? Swing way out in front at three breaking balls in a row culminating in a weak roller to third. Need to wait back in that situation.
  9. I'd call it a lock unless he gets hurt. Mullins deserves to be a starter but will probably be a reserve and the only Orioles rep. Means and Mancini are our only other players that deserve consideration. Means is probably out because of his missed time, and Mancini has to compete with Vlad, Matt Olson, & a couple other pretty good 1b candidates.
  10. I know several people who say they have more fun at minor league games than major league ones, for reasons similar to what's mentioned in the article. There's just more lightness and humor, and more attempts to appeal to fans who don't follow the team daily and aren't that invested in the W/L outcome. I actually think the Orioles are a bit better than average in the fun department for MLB (aside from the fun that comes from winning). They have a pretty good variety of between inning entertainment and at some other MLB stadiums it seems there is barely an effort. I was at a Nationals
  11. Hyde and/or Elias are still daydreaming about Severino's 3 HR game from 2019.
  12. They're now 2-30 in their last 32 and just lost arguably their best player this year to a broken wrist. And they have to face the Dodgers, Padres, and Giants (who somehow have the best record in MLB?) about 40 more times. It will be tough to "catch" them for #1.
  13. The Mets announcers certainly felt that way after Mountcastle was called safe yesterday: https://streamable.com/72tgw2
  14. Looks like we have the 7th toughest strength of schedule this year so far. 9 of the top 10 toughest schedules have been in the AL, including all AL East teams except Boston. Last year they have us ranked 16th in SOS but the #s are weird when you only play intra-division games, since East/Central/West were each forced to a .500 overall winning percentage.
  15. Tough outing, but if Valdez was on another team we'd probably be complaining other teams finding diamonds in the rough when we can't.
  16. I was skeptical when Franco was first mentioned as a target because it seemed to me that Franco was just a more expensive version of Renato Nunez, who they let go. Maybe Franco is cheaper than I thought, or maybe they expect Franco's defense is not quite as bad as Nunez.
  17. I don't think they'd be interested in Franco considering they cut Renato Nunez. Franco is an older, worse, and probably more expensive version of Nunez.
  18. The World Series is happening, with fans, in the midst of one of the more serious surges of the pandemic. (Non New York category.) So yeah, with that as a precedent + a whole winter to prepare, I think the most likely outcome is a full season and even some amount of fan attendance from day 1.
  19. It's surprising Manny only has 2 GGs. Though he had to contend with one of the steadiest 3b ever in Beltre, and he didn't do himself any favors moving the same league as Arenado.
  20. Over. Yes the team's record deteriorated down the stretch, but the second half performances of Mountcastle/Akin/Kremer, and a few others to a lesser extent, make me think that next year's team will be overall more talented than this year's. My personal over/under would be more like 70.5 or 71.5.
  21. Who needs all this research when we all know the answer is Robert Andino vs the 2011 Red Sox.
  22. Home games for the top seeds in round 1. Neutral sites in Houston and Dallas for the NLDS and NLCS. Neutral sites in LA and SD for the ALDS and ALCS. World Series is in Dallas.
  23. AL RAYS over Blue Jays, WHITE SOX over Athletics, TWINS over Astros, INDIANS over Yankees RAYS over Indians, TWINS over White Sox TWINS over Rays NL DODGERS over Brewers, REDS over Braves, CUBS over Marlins, PADRES over Cubs DODGERS over Padres, REDS over Cubs DODGERS over Reds World Series DODGERS over Twins in 6
  24. Mountcastle will retain his rookie eligibility next year, having finished the season with 140 PAs but 126 ABs, leaving him four ABs shy of the 130 AB rookie threshold. Also, Austin Hays finished with 134 PAs but 122 ABs, leaving him eight ABs shy of 130— I'm not sure, will he still be a rookie next year as well? Or was he technically on the MLB roster for 45 days pre-September? (I'm not sure how this works with the IL and the shortened season.)
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