Depends on the return. Yes, if they were really close, I think (I THINK ) it would sway his decision... but if the return was right he'd pull the trigger.
IF we were that close to the top it would be just like 2012. A team NOT yet ready for contention that is overachieving. IMO they screwed the pooch in 2012 and shouldn't do it again this year.
Still this is all moot... our chances of being in contention at the deadline are about 2.8%. 😛
IMO If the O's were ahead in the standings at the trade deadline Adley would be in the majors, Galvis and Matt Harvey would stay if they were doing well. Elias is all about the future but he is not about to give up on a first place team.
I think if the O's are within 3 games of the division lead in late July they will hold with what they have and promote Adley. If they are more than 3 back they will be sellers. At 7 back already they are very likely sellers.
Just a small caveat to your post... I think our record has NOTHING to do with it. Even if we were one game back (or ahead) at the trade deadline, Elias would trade his mother if he thought it helped the organization long term.
No Angelos/Duquette trading prospects for short-term chances for Elias. I'm looking at YOU EdRod!