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Showing content with the highest reputation on 1/10/2008 in all areas

  1. No to belabor, but this is exactly why the concept of regression to the mean is so important. link
    2 points
  2. Last year, before the 2007 MLB Draft, I had made a comment roughly to the effect that it was my belief that regarding first-round picks, and especially high first-round picks, Hitters seemed to be the most likely choice to be successful ML'ers, in comparison to Pitchers. I also felt that H.S. Hitters were perhaps the best choice overall. The choices were: 1] High School Hitters 2] High School Pitchers 3] College Hitters 4] College Pitchers I decided that I had better do some research to determine if my recollection of past drafts were accurate, and did so. To conclude a pick's success o
    1 point
  3. I prefer to think of it as a "fascinating mystery" ;-) However, I completely agree that the apparent-facts just don't add up. You can have any theory you want, but one thing we know for sure is that it just doesn't add up.
    1 point
  4. I'll assume you don't mean this in any sexual kind of way!
    1 point
  5. Nice. Saw Ian in London in October (first time I'd seen him since 1981 @ the Bayou)...Opening the London concert with "Ballad Of Mott The Hoople" almost brought a tear to my eye.....Mick Ralphs & Verden Allen came out and played for a couple of songs...I've enjoyed the album as well. Nice to see Jeff Tweedy from Wilco involved....
    1 point
  6. If you're ok with Juan Uribe, you should be fine with Luis Hernandez. They're equally offensive in slightly different ways. Uribe has more power, but Hernandez is here, is free, and is probably better defensively. Of course both go through outs like John Candy went through butter mashed potatoes at the Country Buffet. But if someone's decided to punt on a shortstop in '08 you might as well go with the cheap one you can discard on a moment's notice without anyone caring.
    1 point
  7. Are we ACTUALLY going to discect which typo it was? Yep, we sure are. I suggest that the lynch mob based on one guess about the typo should please form to the left, while the lynch mob based on the other guess about the typo should please form to the right. That way, no matter what we decide about the typo, we'll have the appropriate lynch mob ready to move out in a hurry. Well, there you go again, dissing this entire board and everybody on it. Clearly, you're not one of "us". I can believe that Tony or Scottie or somebody hasn't reamed you a new one, or at least given you a vacation
    1 point
  8. Exactly. Phillips did almost nothing prior to 2007, and a lot of his semi-impressive counting stats come from getting 700 plate appearances. In rate stats he's no better than Roberts - similar OPS, but Phillips is heavier in the less-important slugging. Roberts simply makes outs less often. Translated to a neutral context Phillips' career year is .283/.330/.496. Roberts run-of-the-mill 2007 was .295/.388/.460. A 58 point OBP advantage smashes a 36 point SLG advantage, especially since Roberts has had this year before.
    1 point
  9. Well, since everybody is having REALLY STRONG OPINIONS BASED ON ABSOLUTELY NOTHING, I think I will too ;-) I have no idea what AM and PA say to each other when they talk, but my bet is that the general tone of the conversation is much like what you've portrayed here. I bet they talk frequently, and I bet the conversation has the tone of 2 partners discussing what's best, with AM fully comfortable with the fact the PA is the owner. All the knee-jerk reaction about how this is somehow the Last Straw, that PA has somehow stabbed AM in the back, and that AM is (or should be) on his way out th
    1 point
  10. He's only the 2nd piece if you rank the other players incorrectly.
    1 point
  11. Goldstein did an update today 1. Matt Wieters, C 2. Chorye Spoone, RHP 3. Radhames Liz, RHP 4. Jake Arrieta, RHP 5. Troy Patton, LHP 6. Nolan Reimold, OF 7. Billy Rowell, 3B 8. Brandon Erbe, RHP 9. Garrett Olson, LHP 10. Pedro Beato, RHP 11. Mike Costanzo, 3B The Orioles made their one big deal by finding a taker for Tejada, but compared to the hauls some other teams have received this winter for big players, this one seems kind of light. Patton has very good command of average stuff, but his inability to miss bats at the upper levels is a major concern. Costanzo has plenty of powe
    1 point
  12. I don't think he was saying something by using the term "Diehard." Most people here are diehard, as opposed to casual, fans of baseball and, to an extent, the O's. Please, no more stirring the argument pot. If you have an issue with what Dipper said, please take it up via PM.
    1 point
  13. AM is working on getting the franchise to consistently produce young talent, not just one immediate wave of youth. So he will be likely to shoot for a couple guys to contribute now, and another wave to come through in 2010-11. 17-19 year olds with a lot of potential are exactly what he is looking for. Mark my words now, in the draft they will be looking at the highest ceiling HS prospect VERY closely now that they are going full rebuilding mode. (Although I really hope they end up with that Alvarez kid)
    1 point
  14. Why? There's nothing else going on. If I didn't guess what was going on, I'd have to go do work. And, we can't have that...
    1 point
  15. What's not true? You stated that Tony did not backpedal from his original story, that some other places would have removed the headline. Well, Tony did exactly that. The headline is different than it was yesterday morning, and the whole article is worded differently. The fact that the front page story has been updated this morning in no way negates what I said! The original headline with a foot note ran all day yesterday and Tony I'm sure spent the day trying to get to the bottom of things. Again, read what I was referring to in your post. And as far as Tony's diligence to get to the botto
    1 point
  16. If a deal was taken to Angelos for approval, then MacPhail must have believed that it was worth doing. If Angelos nixed the deal, then AM is not the man driving the boat, he's merely a guy giving suggestions on how to drive the boat. If Peter Angelos looks at a trade and says, "That's not good enough for me", then nothing has changed.
    1 point
  17. What is the root of all of this? I mean are people complaining because they got their hopes up that a trade was finalized and then something fell apart and it's not now? I mean, I'm sorry if you are hurt and upset that this has to drag on a little longer, and I'm sure Tony, BB, Belkast, Peace and all of our actual insiders are also sorry, but the fact is none of us know what changed yesterday, but something did. In the end, it's going to change, and we will have a bigger trade on our hands and be MORE excited than if the original trade were done. So lets all take a deep breath, and be just a l
    1 point
  18. I think you are misreading his post again Tony. He's not saying you did anything wrong in posting the report you got from the sources, but that the national and local media outlets that reported the story as being done basing it on the OH were being a tad irresponsible.
    1 point
  19. If he doesn't trust AM to make the right judgments, then he hired the wrong guy. If he nixes the deal seemingly this late in the negotiations, then he's a meddling schmuck IMO. The discussion should be ongoing during the dealing. AM should be doing the legwork, and he should report back to PA. If PA has objections, they should be voiced LONG before there is an offer for him to approve or reject. If it gets that far, and he rejects it...there is a horrible communication problem along the way.
    1 point
  20. Talk about getting your knickers in a wad! Look I know you've had a rough 24 but that is no reason to go off half cocked when YOU misread something. I saw reports on ESPN and Chicago news sites yesterday morning stating the trade as fact and siting OH as the source. THIS IS NOT A NEWS SOURCE IS IT? That is why I said the NEWS AGENCIES that ran with the story were being irresponsible! Not you or the HO.Go back and read your own darn board! I have said nothing but positive and supportive things about you and the HO in this and all threads. You sir are the one who needs to get your darn facts s
    1 point
  21. I appreciate Tony informing us exactly the way he did. He had reliable sources who told him this trade was done.If the same thing happens tomorrow with Roberts or another player, I would hope Tony would do the exact same thing. If I wanted to wait until the trade got confirmed by Major League Baseball, I'd read the Sun, or another major news outlet. I really appreciate any information I can get here on the Orioles, and I am capable of understanding that until an appropriate official confirms it, anything can happen. Tony and our other insiders, keep up the good work! No matter what happen
    1 point
  22. No it's not, this is baeball, not congressional hearings into a president. Get a grip. we had two good sources that gave me the same information and after repeatedly being asked "are you 100 percent sure" I was assurred they were. I'm running a site dedicated to the Baltimore Orioles, not trying to get a pulitizer prive for investigative journalism.
    1 point
  23. One thing I really like about OH is that you take time to respond. There is one aspect I wasn't clear on in my original post: I don't know who your sources are and I don't claim to. Furthermore, in a later post I posited that they were not necessarily the "insiders", but you did not reveal, as many journalists do not also, who those sources were. However, the timing and manner of the report led me, as I'm sure many others, due to the fact that those sources were not specified, to believe that it was based on the "insiders". It is clear that your sources were not AM, or the warehouse. Old media
    1 point
  24. Maybe Cindy prevailed on AM to cancel the trade?
    1 point
  25. I think you could use BRAA on Fangraphs, which is LWTS by the 24 base/out states, for runs. Or you could use WPA/LI, which is LWTS (in Wins) by the Game State (inning, score, base, outs), with the Leverage depressed.
    1 point
  26. Could a 2nd team (Cleveland? Colorado?) have stepped in with a strong offer making AM to go back to the Cubs for more...? Am I way out in left field here (if so, I'll say 'hey' to Luke Scott).....
    1 point
  27. I guess I just don't get annoyed as easily as others? It's not like she's doing the evening news. And for the city dropping lol. I'm sure if people in Baltimore had just moved to another city they would mention Baltimore now and then. She's doing a show where she has to talk for near 4 hours. She's familiar with Miami so she references Miami. Personally I moved to Harford county after living in Baltimore County for 18 years. When talking to new friends I mentioned my times in Baltimore County quite often my first couple years and still occasionally do. And I don't have a talk show to
    1 point
  28. No bashing intended, but there are several opinions in this thread where Tony specified to post comments in: You'll see quite a few answers to your question here.
    1 point
  29. Well, if we start talking about what buffoons they are, you think they'll issue a retraction? ;-) ps: I dunno if they're buffoons or not, I know nothing about them. But why let the facts get in the way?
    1 point
  30. 1. She can sleep on my couch during the Super Bowl, or any bowl for that matter. 2. I'd accompany her anywhere she wanted. 3. I would surgically repair her ACL.
    1 point
  31. I came on this morning and saw the front page saying that Brob was traded....but he wasn't. If the title was CLOSE to being traded or NEAR being traded would have been fine. But it actually said he was traded. Anybody wanna clue me in on why the information given was the wrong information. The front office and Orioles officials said it was completely inaccurate, so why was the Hangout reporting this as true? Sometimes I get tired of hearing all the conjecture and "predictions" from our "insiders" when often the only thing that comes true is them calling the trade an hour before it happe
    0 points
  32. Yeah, OH has seriously deteriorated today. We're really in need of some news to change the subject. In it's absence, I think I need to logoff. Note: This isn't a knock on our insiders...just on many of the posters.
    0 points
  33. Geez Shack, I said I was sorrying for peeing in your Cornflakes this morning.:002_sbiggrin: And, I think Hoosiers already did call me out for my poor taste in cynical commentary. Now I'm putting you on my ignore list and refusing to acknowledge your existence for all time. By the way, I never once expected Tony to rip me. If anything, he's been a victim of the mob mentality here, as much as anyone. I was only commenting on how we all - myself included, judging by my lack of productivity for the last two days - get so caught up in news, near news, and rumors of news.
    0 points
  34. I see absolutely zero reason why the trades should be linked. The team needs to look to the future. If they can deal one now for some nice pieces, then do it. You continue looking to deal the other now, or at the deadline. One trade is hard enough to pull off at the ML level. To wait and try to do both at the same time seems absurd to me.
    0 points
  35. Gotta disagree here Mack. Angelos is well within his rights as owner to declare Roberts offlimits. But if he's agreed to make him available, then at that point he needs to step back and entrust his FO to do their jobs. Angelos is an attorney, not a baseball talent evaluator. MacPhail and his staff are the talent evaluators. Just think for a second about what it implies about Angelos' view of MacPhail's competency if MacPhail comes to Angelos with a deal, only for Angelos to tell him, "sorry that's not good enough." It implies Angelos knows better about what MacPhail's been hired to do th
    0 points
  36. Please get you facts straight sir. We are not a HO... we are OH, the Orioles Hangout. Not someone who has indiscreet relations with many unknown people... :002_sbiggrin:
    0 points
  37. Can someone please comment on this assertion by BB? I need to know whether or not to light my torch.
    0 points
  38. You know what's getting old.. Crap like this! I DID NOT TAKE RUMORS FROM THIS BOARD AND RUN WITH IT AS NEWS!!!! I have no idea why some people can't get this through their heads. I had two sources privately convey the information was 100 percent true and accurate. I did not just grab some stuff off this board and run with it. You want to bash me go ahead, but get your darn facts straight!!
    0 points
  39. Most of the posters responding to your post here completely misunderstood you. This has nothing to do with patience or trusting insiders. It has to do with professional journalism. Tony posted the trade as fact, not conjecture. RShack missed that point. The trade has not been verified as fact by any other media outlet or by the FO. It is only a scoop if it is true. It may be true, but it hasn't been verified. The professional thing to do is to remove the article or rewrite it completely. The OH took a leap and crossed a boundary that should not have been crossed: conjecture from "insiders" (wh
    -1 points
  40. That is not true. If you read the headline this morning, it said that the Roberts trade was 100% done. When a report came from Roch and the Baltimore Sun that Andy MacPhail called the trade rumor highly inaccurate, Tony did not change the original message, but just added a line underneath his claim from his sources that this was a done deal. Now if you read that headline, it doesn't read anything like it did this morning. This is the current post: Roberts Trade Denied by Orioles (completely different from Roberts trade a done deal) By: Tony Pente 1/9/2008 Several sources have indicated
    -1 points
  41. You are way off base here. This, along with the other posts of yours in this thread reveal characteristics you yourself have admonished others against. Tony did not state who his sources were, and from what other baseball circles they were from. Furthermore, that article was written in a way that led all who read this to believe that they were the "insiders" here. Apparently, it isn't good enough for any paper in the world, because no paper published that Roberts had been traded. Perhaps you should get your facts straight. Think about why it is that no paper published it, and how the rest of t
    -1 points
  42. What's not true? The fact that the front page story has been updated this morning in no way negates what I said! The original headline with a foot note ran all day yesterday and Tony I'm sure spent the day trying to get to the bottom of things. Today's cover story is an explanation of why and how things have played out thus far. This site is not the ESPN site, or the Baltimore Sun site, or any other news gathering agency! It is a fan site where Orioles fans gather to discuss and debate everything Orioles. If you popped in here looking for the latest headlines your in the wrong place. If you
    -1 points
  43. I always wondered how mass hysteria works. Hitler hickups and millions of Germans march off to war. Jim Jones says have a drink, Billick says "take a leap of faith... Bigbird drops a stinkbomb on the board and we spend two hours crapping all over ourselves over an opinion with almost no facts whatsoever to back it up. Amazing.
    -1 points
  44. I wish people wouldn't ask this type of question,nobody knows the answer and it's a waste of time asking.
    -1 points
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