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Showing content with the highest reputation on 2/16/2021 in all areas

  1. 4 points
    Fantastic article here. Grayson with a very detailed description of how his changeup works and how he developed it. Talk about pitch design! https://blogs.fangraphs.com/grayson-rodriguez-on-his-changeup-which-isnt-a-screwball-or-is-it/
  2. 3 points
    The player development folks evaluated Mountcastle immediately and decided he was not a shortstop. I was told Dan Duquette himself insisted that Mountcastle play shortstop because it would up his value. The problem of course with that idea is that if no other team thinks he's a shortstop, it doesn't help out his value at all. There were some people in the organization that wanted to move him to the outfield after his Delmarva season but were overruled. So the team kept playing him at SS and then moved him over to third where everyone knew his arm wouldn't work there either. So basically they lost out on several years of outfield defense development because Dan Duquette felt Mountcastle had more value playing SS even though I'm betting, he knew he really couldn't play there either. I try to call Duquette's moves and management as I see it, and in this case, his plan for developing Mountcastle defensively was poor.
  3. 3 points
    Longenhagen an McDaniel actually use him as the example of someone who shouldn't play infield. His arm is rated by McDaniel as a 45 on the 20-80 scale, but his arm utility is a 20. Arm utility is the assessment of whether or not your arm can make the plays needed in the infield. They hold him up as the perfect example of someone whose arm is passable in the outfield, but can't get the job done making all of the unique throws required in the infield.
  4. 2 points
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/grayson-rodriguez-on-his-changeup-which-isnt-a-screwball-or-is-it/ This quote alone shows the difference in the development of our pitching prospects Laurila: When and how did you begin developing it? Rodriguez: “I went home after finishing my first season — this was 2018, in the GCL after I got drafted — and I was at the workout facility I’ve been going to for a couple of years. Josh Tomlin, who was with Cleveland forever and is now is with the Braves, was there. I was talking to him about how the Orioles really wanted me to be working on a changeup, how they thought it would fit well in my arsenal. Josh is a very smart pitcher, and he kind of showed me, and told me, what a changeup is supposed to do — what the perfect changeup would be like. “I was working on that. How to move it — the pronation of your wrist — and then when I got to spring training for my first full season, Justin Ramsey, who was my pitching coach in low-A, along with Chris Holt, our big-league pitching coach who at the time was our pitching coordinator… we really got after it with the slow-motion cameras. We did a lot of crazy things, like draw stripes around the baseball, to see how it was moving. Once we figured out the wrist positioning and the wrist movement — once we refined all that — then it was just a matter of which grip would fit me the best. “We spent hours studying how the ball left my hand, and just how the ball was spinning. We were moving it around in bullpens, getting different feels in my hand with how the ball sits. Finally, we found the perfect grip. We just started rolling with it from there.”
  5. 2 points
    They hoped they could coach him up or maybe give him throwing drills that would help. And they figured that even if it didn’t work out, he had enough bat that they could move him to another spot.
  6. 2 points
    Nobody who even has the slightest delusion about using their god-given stuff to make the majors wants to try the knuckleball in a game. So the microscopic pool of knuckleball pitchers is a subset of guys with 4.88 ERAs in the Carolina League (sorry, AA Ball Southeast Division) at the age of 25. As many of you know I spend too much of my time thinking about alternate ways the world could have evolved. I sometimes wonder: a) What the world would be like if baseball hadn't all of a sudden decided (circa 1960) that knuckleball pitchers have to throw the knuckleball all the time. Prior to that lots of pitchers would mix in a knuckler like a slider or a change up. The Senators had a team in the 40s where pretty much everyone in the rotation threw a knuckler at least some of the time. b) What would happen if you took a group of reasonably good MLB prospects in 2021 and had them all spend six months learning to throw a knuckler. Nobody is ever going to risk their prospects doing this, but it would be very interesting. At least to me. b2) Maybe you could get some crazed independent Atlantic League GM to try this. If I get unexpectedly rich I'm buying the SoMd Blue Crabs and giving them an all-knuckleball staff.
  7. 2 points
    Tampa’s % is a joke imo, especially compared to Boston.
  8. 1 point
    “Mickey Jannis will be competing for a spot in the Orioles rotation this spring, and that’s encouraging news for knuckleball fanatics. The 33-year-old right-hander is one of the few purveyors of that particular craft currently active in pro ball, and while the odds aren’t in his favor… well, you just never know. Hoyt Wilhelm turned 30 a few months into his rookie season, then went on to pitch for two decades and get inducted into the Hall of Fame. Those lofty heights are almost certainly beyond Jannis’s reach, but the opportunity to pitch in the big leagues isn’t.” “I’m really looking forward to seeing him in camp,” Baltimore GM Mike Elias said when I asked about Jannis’s chances. “Mike Snyder, our pro scouting director, has been a big fan of his. I think it will be great for the major league staff to get to see him, because we do think he’s interesting. As we saw last year with with César Valdez, there are guys with neat stories that figure out how to be successful in the major leagues, and we’re hopeful that [Jannis] can be one of them. He’s got a real shot.” “Valdez made nine relief appearances for the Orioles last year at age 35, throwing his changeup an almost-unfathomable 83.2% of this time. It’s by no means unreasonable to believe that Jannis — a veteran of 10 minor-league seasons — could do much the same with a knuckleball. There may not be any Hoyt Wilhelm in Jannis’s future, but if the butterfly is floating this spring, there could very well be some César Valdez.” https://blogs.fangraphs.com/sunday-notes-jonathan-schoop-needs-a-better-two-strike-approach-maybe/
  9. 1 point
    The O's start out hot behind a fresh and resurgent King Felix and Harvey. Hays, Santander, Mancini and Mountcastle carry the team offensively. The defense is stellar. They're within 5 games on July 28. They trade for a soon to be FA 2B. With they hype, they promote the next cavalry. Grayson, DL Hall, Baumann and Adley all get promoted a la Machado. Covid has calmed down. The Yard is packed. The ultimate surprise is they promote young Gunnar Henderson, who has flown up prospect lists in the first half of the season. To put them over the top, they need the ultimate DH. Enter Renato Nunez! He goes on a home run streak like no other. Their odds go up to 1%.
  10. 1 point
  11. 1 point
    fWAR says Ubaldo was worth 4.8 WAR as an Oriole. rWAR says 0.1. The guy posted an 80 ERA+ as an Oriole and had a 32-42 record, pitching mostly on good teams. F that.
  12. 1 point
    I seriously hope not. If he is, a lot of things went wrong.
  13. 1 point
    Saw him play a ton at Frederick. Loudest bat I ever heard there. Worst arm I ever saw there. I wanted them to try him at second base but that never happened.
  14. 1 point
    Saying all that, third base-ery should be term that is used more often! lol
  15. 1 point
    I'd actually be interested in seeing if a player with an accurate but exceeding weak infield arm would ever get called for an error when a hitter beats the throw to first. My guess is they wouldn't.
  16. 1 point
    I wish could help but not being around the major league team or minor league players for over a year now, it's made it hard to really know what's going on besides what we read. I would say that technological advances are being deployed that were not available back in the Astroball times so some of this is totally new so I don't think we can make just an apple to apples comparison. The Astro did find some hidden gems while Holt was there but you are right, some of there draft picks that were pitchers did not really pan out. Makes me wonder if that's why Elias has drafted so hitter heavy in his first two drafts. I wonder if he thinks he has more metrics on hitters or if hitters are a safer bet coming out of high school and college than pitchers. The first pitcher he gave a significant bonus to was Baumler and he's already on the shelf with TJ surgery.
  17. 1 point
    I get having a healthy skepticism that the folks in charge don't always have everything right. But this is a case where people are making pronouncements based on nothing more than tiny bit of casual observation and wondering why that doesn't trump the opinions of professional scouts and coaches who've watched and worked with the player for hundreds of hours. If you have the data, bring it. But nobody here has anything of substance suggesting Mountcastle is a passable major league third baseman.
  18. 1 point
    Mountcastle does not have the arm strength or throwing motion to adequately play third base at any professional level. It's not "lore" or hearsay, but the absolute truth confirmed by scouting, the naked eye of the casual observer, and I'm sure trackmaster. His defense would be so poor there that it would offset his bat and take away the value he brings to the club. By the way, Ruiz is a literally an average defensive third baseman (0 OAA and 0% success added). His bat is what's below average (.286 WOBA in 812 career PAs and .298 last year) and the reason why he's a place holder until Westburg or Henderson arrives.
  19. 1 point
    I think this an extremely incomplete look at things. It's curious you didn't mention Keuchel who was 14-5 with a 2.90 ERA during their championship year and was a development marvel as he was a 7th round pick with not much prospect pedigree. Brad Peacock is someone they were able to maximize value out of after they took him from WAS. He was a 41st round pick. You mentioned McCullers. Collin McHugh was a non prospect they took and immediately developed into an elite pitcher. Cole and Verlander did immediately improve after going to Houston as well. Building an elite rotation through the draft alone is practically impossible. The volatility involved is much greater than drafting position players. That explains his draft strategy. Aiken and Appel were bad looks for that FO but Houston definitely still had/has an elite player development system. Pitching included. Look at their rotation last year. Most of those guys were signed/developed under the Elias regime.
  20. 1 point
    I recall Mountcastle spent a whole winter doing arm-strengthening exercises a few years back, and it just didn’t do much good. Bottom line, they tried for a long time to make it work, and it didn’t. Time to move on and let the guy concentrate on raking.
  21. 1 point
    Have you seen the reports of the last two FA pitchers we've signed?
  22. 1 point
    Because it challenges my preconceived notions of course. AND I WILL NOT STAND FOR PEOPLE THAT ARE HIRED AND PAID TO EVALUATE MLB PLAYERS TELLING ME THAT WHAT I SEE FROM MY COUCH IS A LIE.
  23. 1 point
    Why is it such a challenging concept that the Orioles staff has had years to look at Mountcastle and decided that he is not a major league third baseman?
  24. 1 point
    Elias's conservative comments on Baumann a couple Thursdays ago, and the mid-minors Opening Day calendar for Hall and Rodriguez take a little of the juice off the first week of Grapefruit games pitching wise, but we should get to see Gunnar play some. There's almost an opening presents Christmas Eve or Christmas Morning push/pull there - if they don't pitch in April, maybe they will in September. The BP Annual showed up on the porch yesterday (it hasn't added anything that isn't already here better in awhile), and the player comments swept Lowther/Smith/Wells/Zimmermann all up with the same brush, but any four young pitchers who seemed the same 18 months ago could have diverged a fair amount in that time. Guys will jog and play catch today and it will be glorious.
  25. 1 point
    One thing that I will be interested to see is how much does all this info and technology help the pitchers. I wonder what @Tony-OH has heard in terms of the wealth of knowledge and things like that at the hands of these guys now back what was around before? Part of the reason I ask this is because it’s fair to ask how much good it did in Houston. For all the AstroBall stuff and whatnot, the team really didn’t produce/develop much pitching. This has been discussed on here before but that’s the reality. Most of the pitching that they have used to be successful has been FAs and guys they traded for. It really hasn’t been guys they developed outside of McCullers. We have been waiting on Whitley for years and of course Aiken never signed and Appel wasn’t developed. Its interesting that we put so much stock in Holt and his teachings and yet we can question how much it has actually worked.
  26. 1 point
    I want to see what kind of arm and range Valiaka has at 3rd this spring. He can compete with Ruiz, Sanchez, Mejias-Brean and Wilkerson. Elias will be watching the waiver wire for more competition. I think Bannon needs some more time at AAA. He needs to show he can hit for a long period and improve his defense to be a regular IMO.
  27. 1 point
    Anything is better than strikeout, walk, home run!
  28. 1 point
    Harvey sounds like a longer shot than Felix.
  29. 1 point
    I'll give them points for creativity. If Felix and Harvey aren't awful in ST, I am fine starting the season with Means, Kremer, Aiken, Hernandez, and Harvey.
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