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Showing content with the highest reputation on 1/26/2021 in all areas

  1. 3 points
    There is an interesting article up about a new visualization tool in baseball savant around spin axis. https://www.mlb.com/news/new-statcast-tool-measures-pitch-spin-direction I'm still trying to take it all in, but they do mention Cesar Valdez's "dead fish" pitch that is unlike any other. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/spin-direction-pitches?year=2020&min=75&sort=8&sortDir=desc&pitch_type=ALL&throws=R&playerName=valdez, c&team=
  2. 2 points
    "He's got a modest two game hitting streak"
  3. 2 points
    I'll really miss Gary Thorne, but the others honestly not much. I know Gary made some blatant miscues, but his voice and his personality made up for it. I'm glad McDonald is back, I enjoy his commentary. I think Garceau and Palmer will be a good combo. I'm giving the new announcers more time before I can really say, it was such a weird year last year. Glad Dempsey and Brob will still be around though. Dempsey was a homer and I get that, but some of his takes were outrageous at times. I also noticed the last few years Tom Davis became super condescending on the post game radio shows, saying things like "What the fans don't get" and "what I wish the fans would understand" about things that he was obviously wrong about. My co-workers and I would talk about it all the time. Dave Johnson always sounded like he had 3 Lifesavers in his mouth. Mike Bordick was a great guy, but his forced enthusiasm got old quickly. To me Jim Hunter was insufferable. I just felt like he suffered from the Dunning-Kruger effect. Google it, you'll see his picture. As an aside, one of my favorite memories was when Pat Sajak was doing the post game show on the radio with Dave Johnson and Tom Davis. They got to the portion where they would look through the Mars circular. I was laughing so hard in my car as Pat Sajak was slowly wondering what the hell he was doing there as they made him select his top 3 favorite items on sale that week, followed by Dave Johnson telling stories about dropping ice cream off at his mom's house and Tom Davis talking about how great a deal it was for all these different types of chips/snacks.
  4. 2 points
    The Eight Players Who Debuted Between May 8 and June 8, 2013 As explained, the Super Two date is not known until the end of the season two years after a player’s debut. But based on experience in other years, in 2013 the likely cutoff date would have been in the May 8 – June 8 window. Generally speaking, the later the debut date in this window, the more reason to think the team was probably trying to game the Super Two date. But in each case you have to look at the circumstances. Derek Dietrich, May 8: A second round pick by Tampa in 2010, Dietrich split 2012 between Hi A and AA and posted an .811 and .753 OPS at those stops. He had never been ranked in the BA top 100. He got off to a hot start in 2013, posting a .913 OPS in 28 AA games, and got his call-up. He had a .679 OPS in the majors in 56 games before being returned to AA, where he finished out the MiL season with an .869 OPS the rest of the way and did not get a September call-up. He’s bounced between the majors and minors a few times. He actually became a Super Two after the 2016 season, as the result of the accumulation of a couple partial seasons worth of service time. Verdict: No manipulation. Kevin Gausman, May 23: I won’t belabor this one because you are all familiar with him. The no. 4 overall pick in 2012, he was ranked no. 26 by BA going into 2013. He made his major league debut after making 8 AA starts in which he posted a 3.11 ERA. From there, he bounced back and forth between the majors and minors numerous times in 2013-15. He eventually became a full time major leaguer in 2016 and was a Super Two after that season, like Dietrich, based on the accumulation of a few partial seasons. After being traded to Atlanta in his Arb-2 season, he was released in his Arb-3 season. Verdict: No manipulation Cesar Hernandez, May 29: An international signee unranked by BA, Hernandez spent most if 2012 in AA and spent the last 30 games in AAA, OPSing .781 and .567. He had an .811 OPS in 50 AAA games in 2013 before his call-up. He only spent 10 days with the Phillies before going back to the minors, and then returned to the majors during September call-ups. Spent a good bit of 2014 in the minors as well and ended up as a Super Two after the 2016 season based on several partial seasons. Got released before his Arb 4 season after making $7.75 mm in Arb 3, and signed with Cleveland for $6.25 mm this season and had a great year, winning a Gold Glove and being worth 1.8 rWAR in the short season. He’s a free agent now. Verdict: No manipulation. Alex Wood, May 30: A second round pick in 2012, Wood got no higher than low A that summer and was not ranked by BA going into 2013. In hindsight, he should have been. He skipped high A, made 10 AA starts with a 1.26 ERA, got promoted to the majors, where he was used in relief. Though he was highly effective in his first 16 appearances, he was sent to AAA where he made one start and then returned to the majors as a starter. He finished the year with 123 days of service which ended up being one week short of what he would have needed to qualify as a Super Two. Verdict: Certainly no manipulation to delay free agency. You can argue that the Braves could have called him up sooner but waited for May 30 for Super Two reasons. But honestly, he was a second round pick who made it to the majors less than a year after he was drafted – are you really going to argue his debut was delayed for service time reasons? Michael Wacha, May 30: Drafted no. 19 in 2012 and ranked no. 76 by BA going into 2013, like Wood and Gausman from that class he made it to the majors in less than a year. In 2012 he only pitched 8 innings but the Cardinals tested him in rookie league, high A and AA in those innings. He went straight to AAA to begin 2013, and was called up after making nine starts to a 2.05 ERA in the hitter-friendly PCL. He made three starts, with two very good starts sandwiching one poor outing, and got sent back to the minors for a month before returning to the majors for the rest of the season. He ended up accruing 62 days of service time that year, nowhere close to on track for Super Two. Verdict: Like Wood, you could argue that he could have been called up a week or two earlier, but it’s really hard to argue that his debut was delayed artificially and the Cards didn’t keep him in the majors all year anyway. I’d say no manipulation. Alex Colome, May 30: An international signee, Colome had been ranked no. 68 by BA before the 2010 season but was unranked the next four years. In 2012 he spent most of the year as a starter in AA and started 3 games at AAA at the end of the year. He made ten AAA starts in 2013, to a 2.60 ERA, and got his call-up, but only for one start. He had an excellent game (5.2 IP, 5 H, 0 ER) but was sent back to the minors for five more starts, returning on June 22. He got hurt after two starts and missed the rest of the year. He began 2014 on the DL, and ended up pitching only five major league games in 2014. Verdict: More of a borderline case than some of the others. It could have been possible to start Colome in the majors after three AAA starts the year before, but the case wasn’t compelling. The fact that, once he got called up on May 30, they sent him right back for five more starts, suggests that his debut had not been timed with Super Two in mind. But, I can’t say for sure. Yasiel Puig, June 3: Puig already had signed a major league contract in 2012 with salaries that extended all the way through 2018. After signing on June 29, he played a month of minor league ball in 2012 getting as high as A+. He played AA in 2013 for 40 games before his call-up. Verdict: This is a unique case. The Dodgers already had Puig signed for 2012-2018. Would they really have delayed his call-up to gain an extra year of service? If so, his Super Two status would be completely irrelevant since he was under contract for all but his Arb 4 season. So, if they thought he was ready for the majors, they could have called him up in late April and gotten the extra year, but they chose to wait until early June to call him up. I can only conclude that service time issues were not a factor in when Puig got called up. Scooter Gennett, June 3: A 16th round pick in 2009, Gennett played 2012 in AA and posted a .714 OPS. He was unranked by BA. He posted a .719 OPS in the PCL in 50 games before his call-up. He spent three weeks in the majors, posted a .607 OPS in that time and was returned to the minors. He was called up again at the end of July and spent the rest of the year in the majors. He stayed in the majors throughout 2014 but bounced back and forth a bit in 2015. Verdict: No manipulation. That concludes the players who debuted during the period where Super Two status was uncertain. Only Cesar Hernandez and Alex Colome had played any AAA ball going into 2013, and each case they had spent less than a month there. In the end, only Alex Wood came close to attaining Super Two status, falling a week short, and it’s a bit hard to say his debut was deferred for that reason given his little MiL experience and unranked status going into 2013. In my opinion, while it is possible that service time issues played some role in decisions for a couple of these players, there is no obvious case of service time manipulation in any of these. I will have one more long post looking at the 7 players who were called up from June 9-30, which would have been considered “safe” from a Super Two perspective. I probably won’t get to that before the weekend, because it takes some time to put these together. But I’ll tease it by saying I do think there’s at least one pretty clear case of service time manipulation in that group, and maybe more.
  5. 2 points
    I don't understand the point of the app if you can't subscribe separately. Is the idea that cord cutters are supposed to reach out to their friends and neighbors to get their login info and mooch? I couldn't imagine using it if I was already paying for MASN through a cable subscription.
  6. 1 point
    Its pretty telling that I am more upset about the Orioles and MASN getting rid of our favorite announcers than I am about the piss poor teams they have put together over the last 5 years, but alas, this is where we are. I would always have the pre-game show on while I was cleaning up dinner, so now I guess its just MLBN all the time except when our game is actually on. I've always liked Dempsey and Tom Davis and their over the top homerism. I'm not sure why they get criticized, as I have no problems with local guys supporting the team that we all love. Gary Thorne is the biggest blow here. Yes, he would make occasional mistakes with names or pitch locations, but unless you are visually impaired, I sure don't need a TV play by play guy to tell me what's happening on my screen. Gary was an entertainer, pure and simple. He made even the worst Orioles blowouts entertaining to watch, his his stories, humor, and whiskey laugh. I used to love the 7th inning Jack Daniels break, where he would proudly spout out..."Drink................................................five minutes later........responsibly!" Made me laugh every time. On a personal note, 7 years ago when my wife and I went to our first (and thus far only) Spring Training trip, my wife ran into Gary at FanFest and was asking him for advice since he lives in the Sarasota area. He took a good 10-15 minutes of his time to address her questions, make suggestions on where to stay, eat, what to do, etc. He is a great guy, and I know he doesn't need this job, but I for one will sure miss him. As for the Orioles. Their on field product stinks. They are cutting the shows on MASN. They've been holding my season ticket money for 2 years without me having any positive to it. I'd say this might just be the final straw to make me use my season ticket money after 2021 on more "entertaining" products.
  7. 1 point
    Tell them that they aren’t paying them. I’m sure plenty of people would love the exposure and would volunteer for it. Isn't that what they are doing with the group of broadcaster's they brought in last year? Think of the exposure you'd get doing big league games. Get a free sub, chips, and a coke at Weiss. No criticism, or no sub and you're out of here by sundown.
  8. 1 point
  9. 1 point
    We often debate how frequently teams defer a player’s debut in order to manipulate service time. I decided to drill down on 2013 to see if I could see how many players were gamed or not, and what kind of difference it made, if any. Why 2013? Because it’s the most recent year in which anyone who debuted that year who has played straight through has reached free agent eligibility and the signing period was completed. (The 2014 class has graduated but many FA’s from that class remain unsigned.) A few basics: 230 major leaguers debuted in 2013, a fairly typical number in recent years. Of those, 160 weren’t on a major league roster in 2020. 34 debuted in 2013 but never played in a game after that year; 29 were done in 2014; 23 in 2015; 23 in 2016; 19 in 2017; 11 in 2018; and 21 in 2019. The number for 2019 is probably a bit aberrant, relating to the pandemic, contract issues, etc. – I wouldn’t assume all of those 21 players are done. But in any event, you get the idea. For the majority of players, an extra year of service time before free agency is irrelevant; they’re gone from the game before 6 calendar years have elapsed. Then there’s the question of who is worth gaming, even if they survive 6+ years in the majors. From the 2013 class, through 2020 nine player have been worth 20+ rWAR, 8 have been worth 15-19.9 rWAR, 15 have been worth 10-14.9 rWAR and 18 have been worth 5-9.9 rWAR. That’s a total of 50 players worth 5+ rWAR – draw your own line as to where having an extra year of service might be worthwhile. I looked at all 50 of these players to see if their service time had been gamed. Needless to say, there could be players under 5 rWAR who were considered studs as prospects and had their service time gamed, but who never panned out as major players due to injury, poor performance or whatever. But my time isn’t infinite, so I didn’t look for those. Of the 50, I count 21 cases worthy of investigation to determine if service time was manipulated. They all were called up between April 12, 2013 and June 30, 2013. The ones called up before April 12 would have accrued a full year of service time if they played all of 2013. The ones called up after June 30 were well beyond any possible deadline for who would have qualified as a Super Two, which is another reason for service time manipulation. The exact Super-2 deadline is never known as the year is being played. It so happens that by the end of 2015, it was determined that any player with 2.130 years of service would be a Super Two. And that means that players who debuted before May 24, 2013, and stayed major leaguers full time thereafter, qualified for arbitration as Super Twos after the 2015 season. But the cutoff could have been as early as May 8, or as late as June 8, based on experience in other years. So, I used June 30 as a very safe date to assume no service time manipulation was involved in the player’s call-up date. The 21 players break down this way: Six players were called up between April 11 and May 7; gaining an extra year of service may have been a motivation for these eight, but Super Two considerations clearly were ignored. Eight players were called up between May 8 and June 3; teams may have been rolling the dice on Super Two status with these players, since they were in the window where the cutoff date usually falls. Seven players were called up between June 11 and June 30; teams undoubtedly were confident by then that the Super Two cutoff had passed, and may have been waiting just long enough. I am going to drill down on these 22 players, but not in this post, which has gotten long enough. Details will be forthcoming. For what it’s worth, of the other 28 players, nine debuted before April 11 (and would have earned a full year of service time if they spent the rest of the year in the majors), four debuted in July, six debuted in August, and nine debuted in September.
  10. 1 point
    Well, now we know why Jim Hunter became redundant.
  11. 1 point
    Sorry, forgot the colored font.
  12. 1 point
    This is all definitely a positive. They need to partner with a streaming service now unless Roku is the answer.
  13. 1 point
    I’m excited to be able to watch when I can’t be in front of the TV. 🤷
  14. 1 point
    I will miss Gary. But I missed Chuck, Jon, Joe and others when they left too. The game goes on. Just don’t give me someone awful.
  15. 1 point
    I am not getting my hopes up. Seems you have to still have a cable sub plus how much is the app? Why would I want and app if I can just watch the games on tv, who is really sitting there watching games on your phone? Not to mention knowing the Orioles I am sure the app will look like something from 2010 and not work and be missing features
  16. 1 point
    People are going away from cable and want to “cut the cord”. Give them the option to do it. It’s stupid not to. You bitch and complain that your game isnt marketed well and that you need a younger fan base yet you don’t do common sense things like this to make it more accessible to those younger fans.
  17. 1 point
    You are definitely missing something because I explained in every single case why I didn’t think the player had been held back to get an extra year of service. And the reason every player I listed debuted on April 12 or later is because that was the cutoff to spend less than 172 days in the majors that year. That was my whole point.
  18. 1 point
    Yea, that’s total bs. How can they be so far behind something so simple? They are really run by a bunch of morons.
  19. 1 point
    I guess using my Grandpa's Xfinity login to stream games is easier than using a VPN. I still would prefer if the Orioles would just take my money to let me watch the games.
  20. 1 point
  21. 1 point
    I'll wait to get excited until I see what it will cost and if they intend to stream all their games. All they need to do is drop the local blackouts and we could use the MLB app and get all games. If they want to use this for additional content like pre and post game show or maybe a weekly summary show that includes minor league video , interviews and information then great. I will remain skeptical until I see what it will include.
  22. 1 point
    I don’t think they want Nunez back at all. He’s too limited and they are hoping for the same production in a more versatile player. Shaw is probably his analogue, and they don’t need another.
  23. 1 point
    Bummed about Thorne, he and Palmer were the best. And to a lesser extent, Tom Davis and Dempsey. Dempsey is an unabashed homer. Wouldn't want him in the booth for an entire game but on pre and post game shows he's fine. And Tom Davis is Balmer, hun. At least McDonald is staying, he's good.
  24. 1 point
    It’s very enjoyable to watch the post-game highlights with commentary. Especially after a win. There were no shows like that when I was growing up, and now every team has them. Why? Because fans like them. I do enjoy the radio post-game if I’m driving home from a game, but otherwise I wouldn’t dream of listening to that as opposed to watching the TV postgame.
  25. 1 point
    Sure but if you are paying for MASN don't you expect that coverage?
  26. 1 point
    Gary Thorne is the best play-by-play announcer the Orioles have had since Jon Miller left. I don’t like this one bit.
  27. 1 point
  28. 1 point
    Wow. I just finished reading this article. Really sad to see Thorne go. I know some people had problems with him, but I really enjoyed listening to him call a game. He’d miss a detail here and there, but I was always entertained. I’ll miss the other guys to varying extents as well. I had issues at times with guys like Bordick, Johnson and Dempsey, but it’s going to be weird for them not to be there. And I never thought I’d see the day that Tom Davis was let go. I just assumed he’d always be somewhere in or around Camden Yards.
  29. 1 point
    If nothing changes, Orioles pitchers and catchers are due to report February 16 and with things being as they are with the Orioles, it's doubtful they add any significant pieces before opening day. Obviously that could change with potential waiver wire transactions, signing of a minor league free agent or the Orioles trading away someone like Santander, Cobb or Mancini before the season starts. Either way, without much to discuss, why not run an exercise where we will try and predict the Orioles opening day 26-man roster (Note: It hasn't even been announced yet whether that number will be 26 or not this year yet). I'll do it by position by who I think will be starters. (13) 1B: Trey Mancini 2B: Ramon Urias SS: Yolmer Sanchez 3B: Rio Ruiz LF: Ryan Mountcastle CF: Austin Hays RF: Anthony Santander C : Pedro Severino DH: DJ Stewart UTL: Pat Valaika OF: Cedric Mullins C : Chance Sisco Bench: Chris Davis (though I think they will try to DL him after it steps into the Ubaldo pothole) (13) SP: Means SP: Cobb: SP: Akins SP: Kremer SP: Zimmermann RP: Cesar Valdez RP: Hunter Harvey (assuming he doesn't spontaneously combust) RP: Armstrong RP: Scott RP: Lopez RP: Max Sceroler RP: Lakins RP: Fry
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