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JTrea81

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Everything posted by JTrea81

  1. Arrieta's problem was that he overthought things, and having 4 pitches to try to throw for strikes didn't help. Take away two of his pitches - the curve and change, have him just focus on his fastball and slider, and he could dominate IMO.
  2. Arrieta had dominant stuff early and fell apart the second time through the order. Career wise, pitches 1-25 he had a .236/.294/.368/.662 line against.
  3. Right. I think Jorge Julio would qualify though. 21.1 IP in 2001 and took over closing in 2002. He got 3rd place for RoY and then it was all downhill from there...
  4. Chris Ray? Or did he lose rookie status the year before?
  5. It's not running him out of town because he's terrible, it's about allocating 10% of your payroll to a guy that has been worth 1 win over replacement this season when you can get that 1 WAR a heck of a lot cheaper.
  6. A couple of other names to think about for the closer role - Steve Johnson and Miguel Gonzalez. Johnson would get a ton of K's and I think Gonzalez could be a lights out type of guy as he's shown when he's on. His problem has always been stamina.
  7. George Sherrill was a matchup guy too that we converted into a closer. Had we kept Jake Arrieta, that is the role I thought he was perfect for.
  8. Bingo. The Orioles would lose versatility off the bench if they bring back Roberts. Better to sign somebody like Michael Young and have Flaherty on the bench in Roberts' place.
  9. Keeping Johnson and tying up that much money in a closer makes no sense unless you are going to raise payroll significantly. I am pretty confident somebody like Darren O'Day could step in to the role and do just as good for less.
  10. Plenty of teams still overvalue catchers, so Wieters would have plenty of suitors. Wieters would be cheaper than McCann, so the Braves could be interested.
  11. I think Duquette targeted Clevenger. And I'd platoon him with a veteran backup anyway but Buck wouldn't have many other options so he'd be forced to play him.
  12. The Orioles went to the ALCS twice with probably the worst defensive catchers in baseball. The catcher position is valuable, but Wieters is not irreplaceable.
  13. The drop off wouldn't be as large as you would think as other teams with catchers not named Matt Wieters are in the playoffs. You make up the value elsewhere.
  14. You don't bring back much salary as you look for pre-arb guys with upside that have options. And if we can't find a dance partner for the relievers, I just non-tender them. I'm sure we can find a taker for Wieters without eating salary.
  15. Keep in mind we are getting rid of Roberts, Betemit, McLouth as well so there are savings there I'm not sure you accounted for. As for Butler, Ed Rodriguez is a price I'm more than willing to pay. And maybe they'd want somebody like Hunter or Matusz.
  16. Minor leaguers with upside, some bullpen help perhaps maybe even a draft pick in the case of Wieters. The point is to clear salary to spend on more important areas.
  17. What was gutted exactly? Who is not replaceable that performed well?
  18. Keep in mind I'm working under a budget and the talent dropped may seem like names but go look at the value of that talent. 4 relievers combined for 2.5 fWAR and we spent close to 10 million on them. Wieters was worth 2.4 fWAR and Markakis was at 0.2. That value is replaceable and you gain it back with Choo, Butler and SP. Now if I could increase payroll a bit, I'd keep Wieters and maybe Matusz, but on a budget with the additions in pitching and OBP, that's not where I would spend the money.
  19. Ugh, instead of DFA it should be NT for non-tender. That's what I get for doing this after waking up and feeding my son...
  20. I would be looking to do the following: Replace hitting coach Jim Presley Let all our impending FAs walk. Look to jettison the following: Nick Markakis (trade - eat all but $4 million) ($4 million) Matt Wieters (trade) ($7 million) Jim Johnson (trade/DFA) ($7 million) Tommy Hunter (trade/DFA) ($2 million) Troy Patton (trade/DFA) ($1 million) Brian Matusz (trade/DFA) ($2 million) Nolan Reimold (DFA) ($1 million) That saves $24 million right there and all of those guys aren't worth that money for the production they give and can be replaced internally. Urrutia replaces Markakis Clevenger is part of a platoon that replaces Wieters O'Day replaces Johnson as closer Steve Johnson replaces Patton Britton/McFarland replaces Matusz Miguel Gonzalez replaces Hunter Next you go out and go after Choo, making him a 5 year $80 million offer with an expiration date of the end of the Winter Meetings. He's the big splash if you can land him. A backup plan for LF would be a trade for Norichika Aoki from the Brewers. You lure Burnett back to Baltimore with a 2 year 26 million dollar contract. He is your ace. If I can't get Burnett, Arroyo would be a second choice for around the same $. The Orioles need to find a guy that will definitely give them close 200 innings and 15-20 quality starts. I also sign Colby Lewis to a 1 year deal for $4 million with incentives for IP to take it to $10 because if healthy he could be one of those guys. There are plenty of SPs out there as well that will be available so I look to sign 1 or 2 of them to a minor league deal like we've done with Garcia and Jurrjens. For the bullpen, I'd do some minor league signings - Erik Bedard being a prime candidate if he doesn't want to retire. For DH, I'm looking to trade for Billy Butler first, as with the money owed on his contract KC may be looking to dump him and the Orioles can afford him. Second choice would be a trade for Josh Willingham from the Twins. I'd sign one of the many catchers out there to platoon with Clevenger. Suzuki/Soto - somebody like that. I'd bring back Dickerson on a minor league deal and I'd look to bring in another Conor Jackson type - Grady Sizemore would be worth taking a flyer on. But I would also look for a strong UTI type like maybe a Michael Young. Now I'd also approach Davis with an extension, after I've made all these moves. ST or just before is probably when that happens. I'm looking at a 5/80-85 type of deal. Schoop becomes my 2B man by default. Time to see what he's got. I think I can get some bullpen arms back in some of those trades so I'll put one of those in the bullpen. Josh Stinson seems to be a decent MR guy so I'll keep him in there for now. Lineup: LF Choo/Aoki 3B Machado DH Butler 1B Davis CF Jones RF Urrutia SS Hardy C Clevenger/platoon 2B Schoop Bench: UTI Young UTI Flaherty OF Dickerson Backup C Rotation Burnett/Arroyo Tillman Norris Lewis Chen Bullpen: LR Bedard RP via trade MR Stinson MR McFarland/Britton MR Gonzalez MR Johnson CL O'Day The names in the bench are interchangeable as are the bullpen, but the overall main theme of the offseason is to find guys that can give you innings and QS to shore up the rotation and find guys that have the OBP that can be driven in by the guys that have your power namely - Jones and Davis. Spend your money there, and let your internal guys take care of the rest.
  21. Bingo, at this point, save for Machado, Gausman and Schoop, your guys with less that 2 years of service, these guys are who they are. They've been in the majors for several years now and most are at their prime meaning the only place to go is down. And what we have certainly is a good core, but a good core is not enough as we've seen this season.
  22. This is entirely false and that's all I will say because you've already made up your mind based on who you think I am and that's unfortunate.
  23. I missed that post. So you have Buck saying it once. When was that exactly? Curious.
  24. I don't gave the answer which is why I ask the question. Doesn't it seem strange to anybody else that the organization has avoided talking about the World Series as a goal directly? That there has been no mention of ending a 30 year drought?
  25. What exactly are you adding to this discusion other than snark. I believe this is called trolling, correct? You are trying to incite and pile on.
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