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NJOriolesFan last won the day on August 9 2006

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40 Short Season A-Ball

About NJOriolesFan

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  • Birthday 11/26/1968

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  1. A combined group of Cal Ripken Jr, Steve Bisciotti and Kevin Plank would be fantastic.
  2. The best bet is to build a deep, young group of players from the minors, draft and cheap, younger role players. Have 28 contributing role players and future all-stars that can be a good base and take us a year or two to be a .500 team. Then with a low payroll, and high draft choices, add what you need to be a playoff team after you see what develops. A bullpen does not need veterans. It needs young guys with electric stuff. Lots of them throughout the roster and upper minors.... Most bullpen guys 15 years ago were failed starters. Even now that is still a good place to get relievers. Other teams failed starters that are still young but throw well for short stints. If you have a 28 man roster with a payroll of $30 million and all controllable for 3 more years, that is when you add that #1 and #2 starter and maybe one veteran bullpen guy and a couple of bats. Continue to see what our outfield is and who shakes out. I'm sure we have at least two starters out there for a playoff team and one or two role players out there. Severino and Sisco may not be the top catchers in baseball. But they may be among the best backup catchers if we let them continue to play and Rutschman becomes an All-star. Mancini will not be on the next Orioles playoff team most likely but he may be a decent role player or somebody that gets us something via trade in a couple of years. Alberto, Ruiz, Nunez, Iglesias should not be a starting playoff infield but every team needs a couple of veteran backups. Perhaps Alberto fits that role nicely and we continue to draft and develop more infielders. Draft, develop, depth and deal from depth. And hope and pray that Rodriguez and Hall make it as at least #3 and #4 starters and we have Means, Rodriguez and Hall at the BACK of the rotation. Lately we have made the mistake of having guys like Bundy, Cobb, Guthrie, Lopez, Cabrera, Ponson, Bedard, etc.... at the front of our rotation and attempted to add behind them. Get those type of guys, develop them, bring them along as not the featured guys and then when we are really ready go out and get the Ace or Two. Kind of like Astros developing McCullers and others in their lineup and bullpen and then deal from depth and excess budget and get Verlander and Cole and Greinke..
  3. So I don't like to post things politically anywhere although I will have open discussions. I respect individuals and in my opinion bad people do bad things and good people to good things. I am all for equality for all but I also do believe that respect is earned or rather unearned through evidence that it isn't deserved. I don't disrespect people for not earning my respect I just pay no attention to them. I think it is important to have calm discussions but that is impossible on a social media site. Every topic is polarizing. I have the right to my opinion but I do not have the right to enforce my beliefs on others. I respect and appreciate all Tony has done with his leadership on this site. I understand and respect his struggles with his ultimate decision. I always enjoyed this site, especially trade talk with SportsGuy, Statistical Analysis with Drungo and learning stuff from the past insiders. Hope to post again on this site...………..
  4. This is the perfect example of why trading of draft picks should be allowed. Not for players either, just picks for picks. The O's could have gotten the player they really wanted between pick 5 and 9 most likely but they had absolutely no choice other than to take him number 2. The NFL draft trade chart shows that the #2 pick is worth 2,600 value points. The Blue Jays pick is worth 1,700 value points. The Blue Jays 2nd round pick (42 overall) is worth 480 value points. The O's would have had more coming to them. The Pirates may have been a better target as the value trade would have been O's #2 overall for Pirates #7, #31 and #44 picks. Now I understand the MLB trade value chart may look very different than the NFL trade value chart, but you have to think that the #2 overall pick is still worth that other teams high 1st round pick and at least an early pick (Compensatory or 2nd round) and another late or future pick. If you looked at just the MLB Slot Value, the #2 pick would have been worth the Pirates 1st round and Compensatory pick or their 1st round pick, 2nd round pick and 5th round pick.
  5. I pretty much agree with the separation of such but mostly just because I'm an Orioles fan. There wasn't as much roster carryover from Browns to Orioles as there was from Senators to Twins. I really would have preferred to go with separate Browns/Orioles. That would take out Sisler, Clift, Williams and Stone and probably put in guys like Paul Blair, Don Buford, Adam Jones and either Jim Gentile or Chris Davis. Scott McGregor would replace Urban Shocker. Pratt, Wallace, Stephens and Jacobson would be replaced by Gentile/Davis, Nick Markakis, Davey Johnson and Mark Belanger.
  6. I have my all-time teams for each franchise (actually still working on relievers). My emphasis is on 4 consecutive seasons with that franchise. I weight a few simple statistical categories which are normalized from Baseball-reference's neutral stats at the bottom of the Advanced Batting/Pitching of each player. For Position Players I use OPS, GPA (similar to OPS but more weight to OBP and in the context of batting average spread), Runs Created per game. From a career perspective, at bats, WAR and Win Shares are used. So I use a career factor (Win Shares, WAR and At Bats, WS and WAR is more like JAWS (Career combined with Top 4 Consecutive years)) and the Focus Year Factor is Consecutive 4 for WAR, WS, OPS, GPA and RC/G. I combine the Focus Years Score with Career Score all with that franchise and come up with a single score for each player. I do the same for pitchers but the stats are WAR, WS, WHIP, ERA, IP, W-L. I wanted to use strikeouts but found that the neutral stats did not change the strikeouts enough to make somebody like Jim Palmer with greater strikeout rates than Erik Bedard. That said, the Neutral stats just adjust for ballpark and offensive context (Runs per game). It did not take into account, how the game was played, etc. But it has to be something that worked for me. Only exceptions that I made were since AL teams were 1901-2019, I did the same cutoff for NL teams. I also chose players for only one franchise. I am still finalize things because I want to have things other than just numbers, break ties or close calls. And from a game playing standpoint, the Focus stats will lean more heavily than my "Career analysis". I will make a couple of teams of all 19th century players but not franchise teams. I plan on using these teams for Strat-o-Matic and/or Statis-Pro Baseball and maybe one of the computer game systems. In the day, I loved Lance Haffner games, if anybody know them. I've found downloads for each of the Haffner games that can be run on dos-box, but I digress. Anyhow, my Orioles team (16 batters-5 starting pitchers-working on relievers and an 11th pitcher): C-Chris Hoiles C-Gus Triandos 1b-George Sisler 1b-Eddie Murray 1b-Boog Powell 2b-Brian Roberts ss-Cal Ripken 3b-Brooks Robinson 3b-Harland Clift 3b-Manny Machado inf-Melvin Mora of-Frank Robinson of-Ken Williams of-Ken Singleton of-Brady Anderson of-George Stone I would have had Grich at 2nd base and probably bumped Mora but Grich went to Angels. If Frank Robinson was on the Reds instead, I would add Paul Blair or Don Buford. If I went to a 40 man roster (24 hitters) I would have added Matt Wieters, Del Pratt, Bobby Wallace, Vern Stephens, Don Buford, Paul Blair, Baby Doll Jacobson and Adam Jones. The starting pitchers were Jim Palmer Urban Shocker Mike Mussina Dave McNally Mike Cuellar I've done all 30 franchises to this point. Some Hall-of-Famers did not make their teams but again I'm refining the rosters to look into some of those things.
  7. I loved a lot of the aforementioned, Singleton, Murray, Palmeiro, etc. But honestly, I thought Nick Markakis had the sweetest swing.
  8. Only way Mets take Davis is if we take cespedes and cano, throw in some money and a prospect. And even at that I don’t think they want to put Alonso in the outfield.
  9. So Orioles comps, Diaz=Markakis, Mountastle=???Larry Sheets?Aubrey Huff?
  10. Yeah .637 Lifetime ops against Ryan is hardly wearing him out but 8 for 19 with 3 doubles against Goose Gossage is something else
  11. The other thing about this it seemed at the time that it was a given that Machado would definitely become a free agent. I'm pretty sure the hope is from the Cardinals that Goldschmidt will fall in love with the St Louis Cardinals organization and fans and he will stay with the Cardinals as they will and have in the past not been afraid to pony up some serious offers to extend or bring in free agents. The Cards may not be looking at it as "just a rental"
  12. I'm thinking we may see a reunion of some Houston Astros connection with the new front office. Bring in Spig Negdal (sp) as AGM or in charge of analytics. Go with Carlos Beltran as manager as he really embraces the analytics line of thinking and could make that connection with the new younger players with the Orioles. Bring in Richie Dauer to coach 3rd base and infield defense. And perhaps Eduardo Perez to be the hitting coach or bench coach. I think that would be a great start to a analytics driven coaching staff.
  13. They will have to restock depths of the minors with quantity at this point. We've said many times that there are a lot of bargain basement signing bonuses that were given out to guys who became stars. But there was still no excuse to go full court press on one of these guys. However, we may be better off hoping tocatch lightning in a bottle on signing 30 guys rather than hoping all 3 of these guys make it. Nobody knows for sure about ay f these 3 or the 30 or so we may end up signing. On another note, the average fan and/or family of four and even the above average fan is going to care one bit about what we did or did not accomplish in the international market. A lot of fans that fill the seats have no idea about the international market and most know very little about the MLB draft, Rule V draft, etc. The main thing that will determine attendance is win-loss record and nothing we would have done this year in the international market would have effected the win-loss record for 2019 or 2020.
  14. You know who seems to have a great deal of knowledge and good communications skills that has coached and I think would be a tremendous manager---Eduardo Perez. Listening to him on ESPN radio and broadcasting games, he certainly has that something extra.
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