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69 Low A-Ball

About ShoelesJoe

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  1. I imagine having AC and a closed roof during day games will make things a lot more comfortable for the players and the fans.
  2. Reds over. I expect them to be the surprise team of the NL. Orioles under. My guess is we win only 18 or 19, especially playing so many games against the Yankees, Rays, Blue Jays, and Nationals.
  3. Watched a couple of the games, and was struck by how many future MLB managers there were between the ‘70 Reds and Orioles. Just off the top of my head and not doing any research, and just from the players in uniform (not any of the coaches) I counted seven guys who’d be managers someday. I suspect that if I dug into the internet and looked up every player there’d be a couple more that made it as well. That feels like a lot of future managers on the active rosters of just two teams.
  4. It’s interesting reading the debate over where Kjerstad should have ranked in this year’s draft. If you count all of 2019 plus a month of 2020 then 7th to 10th sounds about right. If you put more weight on his most recent performance then he ranks a little higher, and if you only look at his recent performance he may be near the top. It all depends. I have a poor memory for such things, but looking back to the very start of the 2019 college and prep seasons where did Adley Rutschman rank? Was he considered The Guy from the get go or did he raise his draft stock by killing it during Oregon’s 2019 season? If that season had ended after only a month would Rutschman have still been the consensus #1 pick? Were there any other guys who were considered mid-range prospects who shot up the 2019 draft boards based primarily on their play last summer? I have to think there were.
  5. When I go to Camden Yards it's about a 200 mile round trip, which means I'm statistically about 50 times more likely to be killed on the road to and from a game than I am to die from Wuhan contracted while I'm at the game. If they play I'll be there whether I'm the only fan in the park or surrounded by 40,000 others. Baseball is life.
  6. Maybe that’s the Boston FO strategy. Get an extra pick next year.
  7. Here’s a question — for all of us disappointed in the Kjerstad pick, who (within reason) would we have to get at #30 and #39 to make the strategy worthwhile?
  8. This is what has me intrigued as we get closer to draft day. A lot of scouts apparently believe Martin is the better all around player, and yet most pundits assume Torkelson is a certainty to be drafted by the a Tigers at #1. What if they choose Martin instead? Do the Orioles then go with Lacy or even Gonzales? Or do we take the Tork and hope he turns into Paul Konerko?
  9. On the one hand I really miss Luke’s prospects analyses leading up to the draft. On the other hand it’s hard to complain since his absence at OH means the Orioles have a better shot at picking the best prospects this week.
  10. Blaze Jordon is all the way down at #58? How the mighty have fallen. This time last year people were talking about him as a possibility as our pick at #2.
  11. I understand that this is a highlight video, and none of these plays are “amazing” in the Machado definition of the word. But Martin is smooth and in control through every one of these plays. Not a clunky step to be found. His throws from 3rd don’t appear to be particularly strong, but he has a quick release that makes up for it.
  12. Weren’t there similar concerns about Anthony Rendon just before the 2011 draft, causing him to fall to #6 in the first round when the year before everybody thought he’d be the top pick? Didn’t the Nationals then pencil him in as their future second baseman, only moving him to third after Zimmerman hurt his shoulder? If the bat is special who cares where Martin will end up in the field? Last time I looked every team needs to have somebody standing on the right side of the infield near second base. Why not a guy who can hit?
  13. I've heard this statement ever since Camden Yards opened, but is there any real evidence to back it up? I know in the mid '90s David Wells apparently had some harsh things to say about pitching at Camden, but if memory serves his ERA at home was actually lower than it was on the road. Not that most pundits let facts get in the way of their opinions. I remember during one broadcast Joe Morgan ranting about Camden Yards being homer heaven, and pointing to Brady's 50 HRs as evidence. When his partner pointed out that Anderson hit more home runs on the road than at home Morgan responded something to the effect that he didn't care what the numbers said. Stats back then indicated Camden Yards was pretty neutral wrt offense, but people pointed to the short fences and closed their minds to everything else. So the Camden Yards legend became fact and over the years they printed the legend. Such as it is (perhaps) with free agent pitchers not wanting to sign with the Orioles. PS -- I understand that the construction of the Hilton just beyond left-center changed the home field factors and it now appears that Camden Yards does help the offense more so than it used to. But the whole "FA pitchers won't sign with the Orioles" thing started 25 years ago, long before that hotel was built. PPS -- do teams that play in parks that favor offense really have a harder time signing FA pitchers? I doubt it. Certainly the Cubs had no problems signing big name pitchers to start half their games at Wrigley Field. IMO the biggest factors in acquiring FA players is how much money the team is offering, and how good is that team likely to be going forward. For most of the last 20 years the Orioles have been bad and/or cheap, which is not a combination that would appeal to most free agents looking for big contracts and the chance to win a ring. Certainly those factors would weigh much more heavily on a player and his agent than what his home vs road ERA will be for the next five years.
  14. What most people don’t remember about this incident is that when Belle stepped to the plate in extra innings he was already 4-4 on the day with 3 HRs and 6 RBI. I’m surprised the Angels’ pitcher wasn’t tossed for trying to put one in Albert’s ear. If the ump had done his job maybe Belle goes to first right away instead of arguing about it. In any case I think he was correct in that the pitch hit his bat and not his hand.
  15. Your snark is duly noted, but the fact remains that the chances of a young pitcher getting injured is a hell of a lot higher than that of a young position player.
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