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Everything posted by Frobby

  1. There’s a no politics rule on Coronavirus Hangout?
  2. My understanding is that a distinction between short season pay and low A pay was already in the works for 2021. Weekly pay: Short season $290 —> $400 A/A+ $290 —> $500 AA $350 —> $600 AAA $502 —> $700 These are all minimum figures; higher amounts apply to players on the 40-man roster and players who have major league service time. While one can argue that the revised weekly figures are still stingy, my bigger issue is that they don’t kick in until the regular season starts. So, you have a bunch of guys showing up for camp in February/early March who get nothing but meal money until early June when short season ball begins. That just strikes me as very wrong.
  3. I’d distinguish between the guys who show up for MiL camp in Feb./March and are assigned to a short season team, and the guys who are drafted in June and get assigned to a short season team. The former group really are working for 6 full months. The latter are working 2.5 months at most.
  4. That was a fun read. For those who don’t have the patience: Toughest pitcher to face: Roy Halladay Most respected opponent: CC Sabathia. Adam pointed out that each of them were each other’s most-faced opponent. I looked it up and they faced each other in 108 PA, with Adam hitting .260/.296/.470 with 5 homers and 14 strikeouts. Favorite teammate: “Kakis,” with Manny, Schoop and Davis also getting shout outs.
  5. On vacation this week, I read That Old Cape Magic, written by Russo about ten years ago. It’s not considered one of his better novels, but I really enjoyed it. It’s about a guy whose parents used to take him to Cape Cod every summer, and he is returning there to attend a wedding. Through that vehicle he looks back at his parents and their relationship with him and each other, and his own relationship with his wife and her family, whose dynamics are very different. It’s a short novel and well told.
  6. I’m an Adam Hall believer. High OBP, dangerous on the bases. I see him as BRob before he, er, developed power. Pesky.
  7. I do find it a little odd that there has not been a single pitcher who debuted in 2010 or later who was drafted out of high school and has accumulated 20 rWAR to date. Of course, most of the good pitchers who have debuted since then are still in mid-career and undoubtedly some pitchers drafted out of high school eventually will make the list. One of the other interesting anomalies as I tracked the pitchers was that Brad Radke, Jason Schmidt and Derek Lowe were all drafted out of high school in the 8th round of the 1991 draft, selected no. 2, 3 and 11 in that round, respectively; and Steve Trachsel, out of college, was drafted 8:12 immediately after Lowe. Quite astounding to have four eighth rounder pitchers from a single draft all accumulating 20+ rWAR.
  8. I'm on vacation without too much to do, so I spent some time breaking down the 107 "Horses" (20+ rWAR) who have debuted since 1990 into some categories, according to the decade in which they debuted. The result breaks down into the following chart: Type 1990-99 2000-09 2010-19 Total 47 49 11 4 YR 17 16 8 Juco 4 4 0 HS 14 18 0 Foreign 12 11 3 Top 10 2 11 2 Top 30 8 10 1 31-100 4 9 1 101-200 8 3 2 201-500 7 3 2 500+ 6 2 0 The bottom 6 rows show where the player was drafted, and exclude the 26 foreign players. For me, the most interesting takeaway is how much drafting improved after 1990-99. During that decade, only two players who debuted had been top 10 picks, another eight were top 30 picks, and another 4 were top 100 picks. 21 of the 35 drafted pitchers who made the list in this era were outside the top 100 draft picks. By comparison, in the 2000-09 period, 11 pitchers had been top 10 picks, another 10 were top 30 picks, and another 9 were top 100 picks. Only 8 of the 38 pitchers who made the list in this era were drafted outside the top 100. I think the eight U.S.-born pitchers who were drafted outside the top 500 and yet became 20+ WAR Horses deserve special mention. From lowest draft spot to highest: Andy Ashby. Incredibly, Ashby was not drafted at all. He was a Juco pitcher out of Crowder College who was signed as an undrafted free agent in 1986. He debuted in 1991 and went on to have a 21.0 rWAR career, 98-110 with a 99 ERA+ and made 286 career starts. Mark Buehrle. Perhaps even more amazingly, Mark Buehrle was the 1,139th player chosen in the 1998 draft (38th round), out of Juco Jefferson College. He went on to have a 59.1 rWAR career, 214-160 with a 117 ERA+ and made 493 career starts and 25 career relief appearances. Darryl Kile. Selected no. 782 overall in the 30th round of the 1987 draft, Darryl Kyle was yet another Juco guy, chosen out of Chaffey College. Kile compiled a 133-119 record with an ERA+ of 104, while making 331 starts and 28 relief appearances in a 20.2 WAR career. Woody Williams. Chosen no. 732 (28th round) of the 1988 draft out of the University of Houston, Williams posted a 132-116 record with an ERA+ of 103 while making 330 starts plus 94 relief appearances, good for a 30.2 WAR career. Ted Lilly and Roy Oswalt. I'm listing these two together because, amazingly, they were drafted four spots apart in the 23rd round of the 1996 draft. And again, both were Juco products. Ted Lilly was drafted no. 688 overall out of Fresno City College, but compiled a 130-113 record and a 106 ERA+ in 331 starts and 25 relief appearances, good for 27.1 rWAR. Roy Oswalt was drafted no. 684 overall out of Holmes Community College, and posted a 163-102 record with a 127 ERA+ in 341 starts and 24 relief appearances, good for a nice round 50.0 rWAR. Andy Pettitte. Chosen no. 594 out of high school in the 1990 draft, (22nd round), Pettite racked up a 256-153 record with a 117 ERA+ in 521 starts and 10 relief appearances, good for 60.2 rWAR. Jeff Fassero. The no. 554 overall selection in the 1984 draft (22nd round) out of high school, Fassero took 7 years to get to the majors, but managed to compile a 121-124 record and an ERA+ of 107 in 242 starts and 478 relief appearances, good for 23.7 rWAR in a 16-year career. Just missing this honor role were Jake Peavy (no. 472 overall in 1999) and James Shields (no. 466 in 2000). Nobody else was lower than 320.
  9. I’m over 60 but really don’t consider myself high risk. I’ve never had a sick day at work in 37 years on the job. However, my wife had chemotherapy a few years ago and is definitely risk-sensitive, so I’m being very careful so that she won’t worry about me transmitting anything to her.
  10. It’s funny. I perceived Davis to be a very good DH at the time. BA was still considered very important, and he hit .306, .289 and .283 for us. He led the team in RBI in ‘73 (89) and ‘74 (84). Throw in the fact that we won the division those two years and he seemed quite productive. I was actually surprised to look back and see how little power he had. I didn’t remember it that way.
  11. I play (very poorly), but nobody else in my family does so I’m not bringing my clubs. It is a shame.
  12. Hmmm, that’s disturbing. I’m heading down to Hilton Head by car tomorrow. Was already scheduled for vacation, but scrapped a flight to California in favor of this. But there’s no place to escape this.
  13. Interesting, Fangraphs grades his arm a 60, which is well above average. They only grade his fielding a 45/50 and his running a 55/55. But everyone else seems to think he’s fast and a good defender, and I’ve seen some questions about his arm. I wasn’t that thrilled with this pick on draft day, and I’m still not.
  14. I really enjoyed the discussion. And man I hope you’re right about Gunnar!
  15. Where on this video is your portion? Not sure I can listen to the whole 2 hours.
  16. They’ve been talking about doing something like that anyway, in connection with the proposal to restructure the minor leagues.
  17. I’m glad you got a couple of decent days in before the stuff hit the fan.
  18. I wear a haz-mat suit to court. Just kidding — I haven’t been to court in a while. I only wear it in the office and around the house.
  19. American will give you a credit towards a future flight, with some restrictions. We were headed to California today but were able to cancel even though the ticket originally was nonrefundable.
  20. From Roch: Elias has spoken with Mancini’s family. “I think we’re going to have a lot more information on Trey and the outlook and the timeline soon, and we will certainly provide all of that information once it becomes available and fully understood, but I can say that he’s doing really well,” Elias said. “I think his procedure and where he’s at right now is about as positive as possible of his spirits and his physical feeling right now, so we’ll keep our fingers crossed and take this as it comes. But he’s doing really well and the operation went very well.” https://www.masnsports.com/school-of-roch/2020/03/elias-our-plan-is-to-keep-our-players-and-staff-members-here.html
  21. I think we’re all going to have to accept that these are extraordinary circumstances and any inequities or inconvenience in the way baseball games are scheduled is not very important in the grand scheme of things.
  22. I’ll really miss getting these daily reports — they’ve been “must” reading this spring. Thanks for all your great efforts, and hopefully things will return to some semblance of normalcy before too long. Stay safe!
  23. The trick is, the schedule is imbalanced. One AL East team might have a really easy April schedule while another has a really hard one. In the normal season, it all evens out over 162 games, but this year it may not if they just chop off the first part of the schedule.
  24. The part that is more meaningful is which of the non-obvious players are getting a hard look. In other words, the fact that Dilson Herrera is getting more PA than Hanser Alberto is not meaningful, but the fact that Herrera is getting more PA than Rondon may be meaningful. But as I said, we were really just starting the more serious part of spring training, so it’s hard to tell too much from who got the early opportunities.
  25. I find it interesting to see who is getting the playing time. Here’s a list of plate appearances by position: 1B: Mountcastle 34, Davis 24 2B: Herrera 31, Alberto 29 3B: Nunez 33, Ruiz 25 SS: Martin 30, Iglesias 20 UTI: Valaika 29, Wilkerson 28, Rondon 22, Velasquez 22, Urena 11, Urias 11. C - Severino 24, Holaday 18, Sisco 18, Wynns 15, Davis 15 OF: Hays 32, Smith 32, Santander 31, Williams 29, Diaz 24, Mullins 21 I don’t think you can draw any firm conclusions from this information, as we were just getting to the more serious part of spring straining. However, I think the lack of playing time for Urena means he’s not likely to be in serious consideration for the utility spot. Urias has been hampered by shin splints, but I don’t like his chances either.
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