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Everything posted by Frobby

  1. I texted two of my friends last night, “how does Jay Gruden still have a job?” Not that changing coaches will fix this mess.
  2. Hilarious, but sad: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/10/01/casey-bat-poem-baseball-modern-era/
  3. Nice tribute from Melewski: https://www.masnsports.com/steve-melewski/2019/10/remembering-two-seasons-spent-working-with-andy-etchebarren.html I was somewhat surprised to learn that Etchebarren is not in the Orioles Hall of Fame.
  4. Not really. The following managers have less than 5 years experience: Boone 2 years Baldelli 1 year Bell 1 year Callaway 2 years (fired) Cora 2 years Counsell < 5 years Green 4 years Hyde 1 year Kapler 2 years Lovullo 3 years Martinez 2 years Montoyo 1 year Renteria 4 years Roberts 4 years Servais 4 years Shildt 1.5 years Snitker < 4 years Woodward 1 year
  5. In the annals of horrible blown losses, those two games might be one-two in my mind (with the Mothers’ Day game being worse). Another one that sticks out in my mind is BJ Ryan coughing up a walk-off to David Ortiz on June 2, 2005, after the O’s had taken a 4-3 lead in the top of the 9th. Walk-off blown saves vs. NY or Boston are as bad as it gets!
  6. Apparently he thinks the term includes swinging and missing the ball entirely. Or, his eyesight’s just not that good. 😎
  7. I’ll take your word for it. Always defer to someone who actually sees the games!
  8. I remember that game vividly. I was on a long car ride with my wife and had a plastic bottle cap in my hand when ARod hit the homer. I screamed and flung the bottle cap against the windshield and it ricocheted all over the car. My wife looked at me as if I was insane (which I temporarily was) and said, “are you okay to keep driving?” The other thing I remember is that the O’s actually had a 7-3 lead going into the 8th but Danys Baez allowed 3 runs in 0.1 innings to make it a 7-6 game. Just horrible. The prior offseason the O’s spent a lot of money on Baez, Walker and Bradford trying to shore up their bullpen, and it was already blowing big leads the first week of the season — to the Yankees, no less! Makes me sick thinking about it. I did like Chris Ray, though.
  9. I’m very sad to hear this. A true Oriole who bled black and orange. And possessor of an amazing unibrow. RIP, Mr. Etchebarren.
  10. That’s about 3 wins, which isn’t huge, but isn’t nothing, either. Of course, Davis and Trout is about as an extreme an example as you can find.
  11. He lost 25 pounds last offseason. He was still a bit heavy, but not overly so. Akin’s at least that big, I’d say.
  12. Iglesias is very small potatoes. Boras is a non-factor here.
  13. Time for my 2019 revision to the list. As a reminder, the list takes into account both performance and where the player was drafted. Only players who were signed by the O's after being drafted are included, but the list does not distinguish between how the player performed as an Oriole as compared to his performance for other teams. Nobody below 1.0 rWAR is ranked. Moving up: Trey Mancini, to no. 9, up from 14 last year. New to the list: John Means, coming in at no. 13; you could argue for higher, but I'd like to see him perform for more than one year. Also new: ex-O's Mike Yastzemski, Christian Walker and Oliver Drake, all of whom had excellent years to exceed the 1.0 career rWAR qualifying criterion. I also added Parker Bridwell, erroneously omitted from past updates to the list after his good 2017 season. Feel free to debate my rankings! 1. Manny Machado, 1:3 pick 2010, 36.9 rWAR 2. Jake Arrieta, 5:5 pick 2007, 25.5 rWAR 3. Nick Markakis, 1:7 pick 2003, 33.0 rWAR 4. Zach Britton, 3:9 pick 2006, 14.1 rWAR 5. Matt Wieters, 1:5 pick 2007, 18.4 rWAR 6. Josh Hader, 19:4 pick 2012, 6.6 rWAR. 7. Zach Davies, 26:4 pick 2010, 8.0 rWAR 8. Kevin Gausman, 1:4 pick 2012, 10.2 rWAR 9. Trey Mancini, 8:23 pick 2013, 5.9 rWAR 10. Dylan Bundy, 1:4 pick 2011, 6.8 rWAR 11. Jim Johnson, 5:7 pick 2001, 8.1 rWAR 12. Mychal Givens, 2:5 pick 2009, 6.4 rWAR 13. John Means, 11:16 pick 2014, 4.5 rWAR 14. David Hernandez, 16:13 pick, 2005, 4.6 rWAR 15. Caleb Joseph, 7:4 pick 2008, 4.5 rWAR 16. John Maine, 6:4 pick 2002, 4.0 rWAR 17. Mike Yastrzemski, 14:23 pick 2013, 2.8 rWAR 18. Brad Bergesen, 4:8 pick 2004, 3.2 rWAR 19. Chris Ray, 3:7 pick 2003, 3.2 rWAR 20. Mike Fontenot, 1:19 pick 2001, 4.5 rWAR 21. Christian Walker, 4:4 pick 2012, 2.4 rWAR 22. Nolan Reimold, 2:13 pick 2005, 2.2 rWAR 23. Donnie Hart, 27:23 pick 2013, 1.8 rWAR 24. Brian Matusz, 1:4 pick 2008, 2.3 rWAR 25. Oliver Drake, 43:4 pick 2008, 1.4 rWAR 26. Parker Bridwell, 9:3 pick 2010, 1.3 rWAR
  14. Thanks for the clarification. I agree with everything you said here.
  15. I don’t agree. Yaz was just way down our depth chart. See the quote from BA on the previous page. Nobody thought he was a major league piece. He was behind Hays, Diaz, Stewart, Mullins, McKenna and others on our MiL depth chart. Even Mason Williams was considered a more valuable short term asset if we needed someone to call up. Simple as that.
  16. I thought this would be a fun time capsule of a thread. Who do you think will post the most rWAR over the next five seasons? Will Trout continue to dominate? Or will someone else step to the front? I only had room for 9 candidates plus “other.” If you choose “other,” please specify who here. Here are some I didn’t include in the poll who seem like plausible candidates: Anthony Rendon Francisco Lindor Matt Chapman Carlos Correa Ozzie Albies Gleyber Torres Nolan Arenado Fernando Tatis, Jr. Rafael Devers Honestly, I’d put several of those over Manny, but I put Manny in there because he’s being paid to be a leading candidate. You’ll also note I didn’t list any pitchers. There could be a leading candidate there, but I’ll be damned if I could predict who. If you’ve got one, go for it! I’ll plan to bump this thread at the end of every season and post a leaderboard Who knows, maybe by 2024 Rutschman will be on it!
  17. I think Akin starts the year in Norfolk and gets called up sometime in the first half. I’d put Ortiz in the ‘pen. He doesn’t have the stamina to start.
  18. The BA rankings have been mentioned in a couple of threads, but Melewski has posted a comprehensive set of quotes from BA about all the O’s in their league top 20’s, who are: Mountcastle (7, International) Akin (20, International) Diaz (14, Eastern) Baumann (15, Eastern) Hall (1, Carolina) Rodriguez (3, Sally) We’ll see about the NY-Penn and Gulf Coast Leagues. Quotes from BA about each player here: https://www.masnsports.com/steve-melewski/2019/10/where-the-os-were-ranked-in-league-top-20-lists.html
  19. I’m not saying the effects is zero. But it’s not other an order of magnitude different.
  20. I tend to think that while the Yaz name drew the attention nationally, wildcard is right that his success on the Giants would have drawn about the same level of attention on OH even if his name was Smith. People are pretty obsessive here about all things relating to the O’s, including you, me, wildcard and many others.
  21. Mountcastle and Akin in the IL. I’ll go Lowther and Diaz in the EL, though it’s possible Kremer, Baumann or Wells is one of them.
  22. It took longer for those guys to become productive major leaguers after leaving our organization. And the OH was in its infancy when Werth became a good player. Try doing a thread title search for “Arrieta.”
  23. I just saw this article that was posted by Trezza a few days ago and it surprised me: It was telling how when asked recently to name his winter priority roster-wise, Elias said choosing which prospects to protect from the Rule 5 Draft. Ryan Mountcastle, Dean Kremer, Keegan Akin and Cody Sedlock are locks; Ryan McKenna and Alex Wells will warrant closer consideration. https://www.mlb.com/orioles/news/five-questions-facing-the-orioles-this-offseason I’m not sure if that’s just Trezza’s opinion, or whether he has some intel that Wells is more on the fence than Sedlock. Seems very surprising to me, though I suppose it’s possible that the reason Wells was sent to the AFL was so the O’s could further evaluate whether to protect him.
  24. Comment on Mountcastle from a BA chat today (bonus coverage: Akin): Karl of Delaware (Georgetown, Delaware): Your best guesses on where they end up...Mountcastle and Akin? For Akin - the bullpen, a number 4 starter... For Mountcastle - DH, 1b... Kyle Glaser: Mountcastle is trending more and more toward DH, but give him another year to improve at 1B. He only just started playing the position. Akin is more a No. 5, but we'll see. Lefties have a way of extending their shelf life and having peaks where they exceed expectations. https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2019-triple-a-top-mlb-prospects-chat-92419/ So, there’s one evaluator who thinks Mountcastle’s not done learning to play 1B at an acceptable level, and I assume he’d say the same about LF.
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