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OrioleDog

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About OrioleDog

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    Plus Member since 12/05
  • Birthday 2/5/1973

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    Arlington, VA
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  • Favorite All Time Oriole
    Eddie Murray

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  1. I was there for Pickering's 1st MLB HR, off David Cone in September '98. I jubilantly exclaimed to my group we had just seen something big in Oriole-dom. We had....just seen the last game of The Streak. I went to B-Ref to see what they had for Walter, 320. They've got Sano at 272 now, but during the ALDS at one point they showed a maximum Sano picture from last year and the report was he was at 320.
  2. I don't think Mountcastle (or Rutschman in 2021) will be exactly April 10th or whatever the minimum requirement is because maximizing MLB wins isn't a thing until (I hope) 2022. My guess is early May. And of course for the low low price of 1-2 of your FA years at the club's price point you can walk the orange carpet to fanfare. I still give Diaz a puncher's chance to beat Mountcastle to the show if at the end of April his performance is way ahead. I do think about 1000-1200 PA's readying them for 2022 make sense, but you'd hope for 650 in 2021, and guess in 2020 there's wiggle room in the 350-550 range based on short-term context.
  3. Kris Bryant will be an interesting case - debuting April 17th (and batting cleanup!) when clubs were a little bolder about this sort of stuff. On one hand, he was a cornerstone of the Cubs first champion in forever, how much will that help? Evan Longoria did, Bryce Harper didn't. Clubs probably deserve credit for wins on guys like Eloy Jimenez (6/43 + 2 options) and Brandon Lowe (6/24 + 2 options), who "figured out what they needed to work on" last spring. Longoria perhaps belongs in the Jimenez/Lowe basket even though it was a little after spring. I could imagine a Mountcastle deal somewhere along the Lowe/Eloy spectrum in late March being the "big move" going into 2020.
  4. OrioleDog

    2019 Atlanta Braves

    I would guess the biggest decision they have to make entering the offseason is will they compete for Donaldson, who went vegan and everything on his power drive. Despite the hiccups after the sensational debut, they probably want Riley as a regular somewhere to open 2020, and Nick's paths are a lot wider if Riley is 3B instead of LF. If Donaldson goes, I think Nick has a good shot at at least a couple months while Drew Waters finishes. Bonus bandwidth if Ender Inciarte doesn't return strong.
  5. I guess you'd have to put the Astros back in the NL to have the effect, but in an alternate universe it would have been fascinating to see how Cole, Verlander, Buehler, Ryu, Greinke and Kershaw would have been deployed this August/September if the second place NL finisher had the same postseason as this year's Orioles. I'm pretty sure Ryu wouldn't have missed a couple weeks with a strained neck in that case. The wildcard does give immediate thrills to the start of each postseason but for the best players on the best teams, it kind of makes for seven months of spring training and one month (or week in the Dodgers case) of an extreme rollercoaster. I'll be curious to see what kind of playoff structure comes next - if it straight mimics the NFL if/when MLB gets to 32 teams, or if they find a way to curate something for even the super teams to fight over in late September.
  6. I've only heard this anecdotally, and not quite sure how to research, but a friend who I think wasn't imagining it said one of the years around the great late '60's/early 70's run there was an offseason without any 40-man roster changes. Would have to imagine it was around time of Bobby Grich and Don Baylor's magnificent AAA runs.
  7. I have to go across sports for modern Kershaw comps that feel relevant - Peyton Manning and Alex Ovechkin are the two I've thought of most, and I do hope (and think) Kershaw will ultimately get to a dogpile like those guys did. https://www.mlb.com/news/best-players-in-mlb-history-to-never-win-a-world-series/c-40041796 This list from a few years back was all hitters - Cobb, Williams, Griffey among the most famous. Juan Marichal (63 WAR) and Robin Roberts (86 WAR) were the two highest pitchers on this longer list. Gaylord Perry (90 WAR) was also on it. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1382148-ranking-the-40-greatest-mlb-players-never-to-win-a-world-series-title A few years ago I would have been certain Kershaw was on a historical arc that would surpass Gaylord Perry easily, but the early injury phase since then - maybe his legacy does ultimately land more Koufax than Randy Johnson.
  8. I didn't realize they are one of the oldest teams in MLB, even counting Soto and Robles. https://www.statista.com/statistics/236223/major-league-baseball-clubs-by-average-age-of-players/ I think it was during the Game 4 postgame celebration near the Scherzer/Zim press conference - one of their MASN guys highlighted it, with a question something like - "Every one says this is a game of more and more youth - aren't our old guys special/why we won this close game?" So then last night I noticed it more when Brian Dozier was their defensive replacement for Kendrick. The other interesting tidbit was Scherzer highlighting he's older than Zimmerman in response to a "Ryan, what if this is your last moment here?" kind of question. That hit me odd - I would not have guessed that. I checked B-Ref - they are both NCAA guys and Zim was drafted a year earlier. But Scherzer is indeed a few months older. I wonder if Zim skipped a grade, or Max had a redshirt or some kind of delay.
  9. I know HR have been responsible for an ever ascending percentage of runs, but I still kind of did a double take when the announcers highlighted that despite his 36 HR allowed, Verlander let in only 66 total runs on the season.
  10. The Padres owner made some sharp comments right after the season. https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/padres/story/2019-09-30/padres-ron-fowler-apologizes-fans-heads-will-roll-myers-hedges Big year for AJ Preller. With where that organization is, I feel like the specter of Dave Dombrowski's availability will loom over his shoulder throughout 2020, and someone in the next 9-10 months will probably do okay selling win-now pieces to the Padres. Buck loved Givens and Mancini right - I think i'm rooting for this.
  11. As long as he is good enough, I am sure Strasburg will have 125+ pitches to try and do throwback Jack Morris things tomorrow but if it ends up just a regular game then I will be curious to see if they trust or shy away from Corbin after Sunday's meltdown. Watching Game 3, I felt they should have gone to Corbin for Pederson/Muncy third time through despite Anibal's effectiveness. Muncy cutting it to 2-1 kind of uncorked the bottle.
  12. My first memories are of '79 but I remember re-reading a gazillion times the World Series program with its tables highlighting how the club had played like .590 ball for a decade. I saw recently the 2017-2019 Astros had about matched the 1969-1971 Orioles at some of the best 3-year spans of wins, run differential, etc. I guess they're bidding now not to fall into the "way too few championships for how great you were" basket like those Orioles and the '90's Braves did.
  13. I agree there's a time and place for that kind of pick, but if we did any next year, I'd take it as a sign of irrational exuberance about the talent at hand. Would be a good problem to have, but I think good problems to have are a luxury we're still a couple years away from. Oversimplifying they're good if you know your team will be good 18 months from now and you want that guy in your pen for the second season after they're drafted, otherwise not as much. I'm hopeful by June 2021's draft circumstances will fit to start popping some of those guys for the mid-2020's bullpens.
  14. I remember him as a draft pick who met expectations to a T. I'm not sure why in 2003 we were using 3rd round picks on guys with relief only profiles, but he fulfilled his reputation as a closer to be. The 2004 offseason was the Tejada one, so maybe I'm overreading into it, but I guess during 2003 there was a Roberts/Bigbie/Matos/Gibbons/Ponson core (lightly using that word) and the vision was to build out from that. If we use a 2020 3rd round pick on a guy like this, I would have to imagine our core would have to perform super promisingly in April/May next year. He's also another brick in the wall that went toward building my notion relievers are only good for a little while. Not even years, sometimes months. Daniel Hudson might become a local legend in the next few weeks, but he's a regular guy on the run of his life and not someone I'd expect to be good even next year. I'm about 50/50 on whether I think Josh Hader will still be good three years from now. As I think about building the good 2022 team, I won't even really think about what relievers we need for it until say December 2021. A longtime Orioles pal of mine went to William & Mary, so there was good Tribe banter during the Ray era.
  15. Baumann over Lowther feels right for BA to me - they're pigeonholed in my mind as the scout-iest of the prospecting sites. IIRC Lowther's extension is part of his game, and I think that's a performance aspect BA may underappreciate a little.
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