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About nsw

  • Rank
    Plus Member since 9/06

Personal Information

  • Location
    Davis, CA (near Sacramento)
  • Homepage
  • Interests
    Family, golf, drag racing, baseball.
  • Occupation
    Feeding family.
  • Favorite Current Oriole
    Jim Palmer's Memory
  • Favorite All Time Oriole
    Sidney Ponson's Gut
  1. Guaranteed contract You win some and you lose some Let the Crusher go
  2. Dog days are over? New plan and autonomy Hope springs eternal
  3. Sisco got on base a lot.
  4. Tom Murphy was just DFAed by the Rockies. He mashed in the minors. I think the Rockies are making a mistake in dropping him: Tom Murphy Fangraphs page We should be on that.
  5. nsw

    Manny signs with Padres

    Manny made the absolute best choice. Or maybe just the best combination that would line up with how I would have approached it, in his shoes: * Sh*t ton of money. $300 million is plenty. * San Diego is finally under ownership willing to spend, won't be the meh of the NL West any more. * San Diego has an incredible farm system. 13 players with an FV of 50 or more - easily tops in the both leagues (Fangraphs). Philly would have been a great choice for maximal chance at a ring right now (IMO), but we don't know that the $$$ was there or if lifestyle factors came into play. That said, San Diego has a great chance to be excellent and make a run or two over the next few years. * San Diego is an amazing place to live - possibility the best climate in the US (CA taxes are high - but nice neighborhoods are expensive for a reason, and I refer you back to 300 million). I wonder if those few months in LA made him think, "Hey, I could get used to this." * Opt-out. San Diego's rebuild not panning out? Want the chance for even more money? Want to maintain some freedom? Here you go. * Less pressure-filled media market. Even though "he's the man," he's not going to get beat up down there like in other markets. As others have said, I'm stoked for him because now I don't have to cry in my beer about him being in the AL East. Best of luck, Manny!
  6. How about, "Jones acted in rational self-interest, as many of us would."
  7. I am excited that there are signs that the Oriole organization is waking up to modernity. We got lucky in our multi-year overperformance, and I loved it. But we all saw the train wreck coming; the surprise was that the piper payment was delayed for so long. The road forward includes investing in Latin America, putting more money into scouting and player development, paying attention to advanced metrics/prediction models. A seismic shift was needed, and we're getting it. We might also be seeing an ownership change if we are REALLY lucky. Cross your fingers and hope because it will be hard to ---- > Trust the Process.
  8. This. Trade Manny right now. Perhaps the thinking is that we need to wait to see if more teams can be drawn in as they assess their records/chances nearer the deadline, perhaps they want to see Manny as an O's All-Star once more, but we could end up with bupkis if Manny gets injured. Just think of Britton last season.
  9. I had forgotten about it being 4 years. Ouch! There's got to be a pony in here somewhere...
  10. nsw

    Starting a Pool

    32 games out at the break. First pick, ya'll!
  11. nsw

    Epic Fail

    Thanks for pulling this together. It does help us see how widespread the "unluckiness" is with our squad. I caution against comparing percentages, however. Example: Davis is at -42% and Brach is right behind at -38%. However using a broader metric, Davis is at -1.8 WAR and Brach is at 0.5. Brach is still quite useful, whereas Davis is not. Adam Dunn's -3.0 WAR in 496 PA in 2011 would seem to be our "target" for record-breaking non-achievement. Finally, a reason to watch the games!
  12. I've been wearing O's caps here in California for 25 years now. When people ask, "Are you from Baltimore?" I reply, "Of course, you don't think anyone would CHOOSE to be an Orioles fan, do you?" 🤣
  13. You nailed it. And gallows humor is pretty much all we have left. I would love to know how far "productive" players can fall (in terms of dismal performance over a certain # of plate appearances) at age 32 and still recover their heights. The only thing I could remember was David Ortiz's half-season swoon in 2009 at age 34 before being awesome for 6 more years. Pretty sure that's not a great comp, though..lol. Davis has been declining for 1.5 years plus. I am fine running Davis out there until the All-Star break and seeing if he can fix himself, but after that I would love to see us eat sunk cost and move on.
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