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POR

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  1. Since walks don't count when calculating total bases, it makes complete sense that someone who does not walk often would lead the league in total bases.
  2. I just don't understand this line of thinking. Maybe if Robert has a disappointing career, the White Sox would pay less for Robert especially in the early years. However, in the scheme of things, the amount is small. The amount they could be saving in year 7 and year 8 could be very significant. I think the Dallas Keuchel contact was a much bigger gamble. The two years of free agency that a team buys out, may put a player in a totally different position for his next contract. This does not apply so much to Robert because he is very young, but would apply more to a 24 to 25 year old that a team signs to an eight year contract. For example If Adam Jones was a free agent at 30, instead of 32. it may not been as clear that he was on the downside of his career and he potentially could have gotten a big contract that would not have been good.
  3. POR

    Catching

    At the beginning of the off season, Zack Collins looked like he had the chance to get a decent number of at bats for the White Sox in 2020 as a back up catcher and 1st base / DH. Since the White Sox resigned Jose Abreu and signed Yasmani Grandal and Edwin Encarnacion as free agents, Collins is completely blocked. Collins was the 10th pick in the 2016 draft as a bat first catcher. By all accounts, he has focused on his defense since his pro career started, but there is considerable debate whether his defense is good enough to stick at catcher in the majors. Collins will be 25 in February and had a .951 OPS in 88 games in AAA in 2019. He is a three outcome hitter that struck out 27% of the time and walked 17% in AAA. Fangraphs gives him a 70 power grade. The White Sox are focused on improving their bullpen now. A trade of Collins for Givens would make a lot of sense for both teams. Collins is exactly the type of player the Orioles should be giving a chance to while they rebuild. He won't cost a lot and if he works out, he is young enough to be in his prime when the Orioles are ready to compete. The Orioles could see what Collins does defensively at catcher in 2020. Ideally he wouId be able to stick at catcher. However, if not, I would not be surprised if his bat plays up if he is moved off of catcher and is more focused on hitting.
  4. The Astros have won 311 games and been in two world series in the last three years. It seems like a great return for being the worst team in baseball for three years (11-13). In addition, Yordan Alvarez is a little more than half a year into his MLB career. Kyle Tucker is a potential star that has barely started his MLB star. Forrest Whitley has been the most acclaimed pitching prospect is baseball for the last three years and has yet to start his MLB career. They have a ton of other interesting pitcher prospects plus Abraham Toro waiting for an opportunity.
  5. I do think that the Orioles will be doing a lot of piggybacking of pitchers at Delmarva, Frederick and Bowie in 2020. There will be two pitchers scheduled most games going between three and six innings. This is what the Astros do in the minors and now with all the pitchers that the Orioles acquired, I assume Holt will look to piggyback pitchers as well. The Orioles also drafted a number of late round college pitchers in 2019, and hopefully a few of them will emerge.
  6. I don't think win-loss record is high on the list that organizations look at in measuring pitchers. The Orioles could not give Cashner away before the 2019 season. With a lot of smoke and mirrors, Cashner pitched decently enough that the Orioles got a couple of prospects for him. It helped that the Orioles were willing to pay part of Cashner's remaining salary. That Prado and Romero were very young international players were likely not a negative to the Orioles who are year away from being competitive and looking to improve their international talent . Cashner was a disaster for the Red Sox and I would be shocked if he even get a major league contract for 2020. It is only in bad messageboard land that there is this fantasy that the Orioles should have gotten more for Cashner.
  7. The Astros are paying both Vetlander and Greinke.
  8. It should be apparent that Elias is following the same long slow rebuild process that the Astros followed when Luhnow and company took over the Astros in December 2011. If you study the Astros during the next few years, they spent spent virtually nothing on major league talent, especially that is not going to be around when their competitive window started in 2015. Once the Astros began their competitive window, they have proven very willing to spend big. From Astroball Jeff Luhnow followed through on his promise to Jim Crane to rid the club of high- priced, underperforming veterans, in order to squirrel away the savings to spend in a future in which they could realistically hope to compete. I do have enough confidence in Elias to think that if he lets Villar go for free, it is because other teams are offering very little or nothing. There is a ruthlessness to this process that will make it very difficult to be a fan for the next few years. However, it is more realistic than the the orioles plan for the decade of 2000s which usually involved building around mediocre players coming off of career years and over the hill stars looking for the fountain of youth. The three most important priorities for the 2019 and 2020 Orioles are 1. The draft. 2. Improve and modernize player development 3. Develop an in international scouting presence. At the major league level there may be young players (Hays, Mountcastle etc) that have a chance to be around when the competitive window starts. However, other than that, I don't think Elias cares too much about the major team at this point.
  9. Rojas had a .935 OPS in the Southern League in 2018.
  10. The Cowboys were 12-4 in 1983 and they were 11-5 in 1991. If you are a 30 year old Redskin fan, the Redskins last won the more than 10 games when you were 2 years old.
  11. Luis Oviedo and Jose Fermin are a couple of interesting Indian prospects that were left unprotected. Both are very young and years away from contributing, but talented upside. Oviedo will be 20 in May. He was really hyped up as a prospect going into 2019 and had a disappointing year. Here is a scouting report from Prospects Live from October 2018. 5. Luis Oviedo, RHP Age: 19 (5/15/99) Highest Level: A 57 IP, 2.05 ERA, 2.76 FIP, 10.58 K/9, 2.68 BB/9, .189 AVG. - A-/A Oviedo proved to be too much for the NYPL despite being two years younger than the average pitcher in the league. The projectable 6-foot-4 Venezuelan made nine starts in the NYPL striking out 61 in 48 innings before making two starts in the Midwest League to end his season. Oviedo has a fastball with life that sits 92-94 that he commands well. He gets great extension and can reach back a little more and pull down 96-97 when he needs it. Oviedo throws a curveball and a slider, and each projects as average or better. His changeup will likely be his best secondary pitch though. It can be firm at times but he sets it up well and it has good tumbling action to it. Oviedo had two mediocre runs through rookie ball, but really put it together in 2018. We could have a future number-two starter here if one of the breaking balls finds another gear. ETA: 2022. https://www.prospectslive.com/lists/2018/10/23/cleveland-indians-top-30-prospects He was not throwing as hard in 2019 and did not pitch after July 17th. Fermin is more steady than spectacular. He gets overlooked with the Indians stockpile of middle infielders. However, he think he is a starting 2nd baseman in 3 or 4 years. Fermin will be 21 in March and should be in High A. If either of these players are selected, it would be a waste of a roster spot in 2020 and not be getting the game action in 2020 would not be great for their development, but they could be useful players down the road.
  12. POR

    Tracking Ex Oriole Thread

    Somehow the Nationals seem to be doing all right despite having someone on their team who does not belong in the majors. As I said at the time, Parra is a perfectly fine backup outfielder. In 204 plate appearances, he hit .250/.300/.747 while playing all three outfield positions.
  13. As for Yaz, I see no reason he could not have had the same success for the Orioles in 2019. The bigger question is whether he is a one year wonder.
  14. There was a period of time when Arrieta was the best starting pitcher in baseball, Of course, he could of been successful here.
  15. No it is not all on Jake. A big part of player development is getting the most out of a players ability. The Orioles were far too rigid in messing with his delivery and using their mechanics. it is not a one size fits all process. Scott McGregor was a good pitcher and is probably a nice guy, but he was a minor league pitcher instructor for years and did very little to distinguish himself in my opinion.
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