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Everything posted by UMDTerrapins

  1. Yeah, I’m not on here much anymore. Partly because it feels like there’s a participation threshold needed in order to post, without being repetitive. I hope nobody has made this point recently....I have no time to check (sarcasm).
  2. Yet another reason I wish CD would just retire.....1B is a prime position to give a fringy guy an opportunity to to establish value for the organization. Looking at Nunez, Ruiz, Alberto, Iglesias, Severino, etc......and harkening back to 1989 with Tettleton, Milligan, Devereaux, Ballard, etc., this phase in a rebuild offers the chance to develop value through opportunity that competing organizations don't have. Particularly LH power hitters at Camden Yards.
  3. Assuming there is a season, I’m happy to see it happen. But what a colossal failure by baseball that it took so long to make it happen. And instead of a feel good story for the country, it’s two warring groups at an impasse over money, one forcing the other to play per contract terms. We should already be over a month into the season by now. 60 games is a joke. And I’m extra salty that I’m siding with the owners...how much does that suck!
  4. Feel free to rip up this idea if you wish. Nobody likes the idea of fanless games, but most of us want to see baseball. So why not have a limited capacity of fans allowed at the game, that can be kept at a safe distance and managed before and after the game? 1000 seats, auctioned online in blocked out denominations that maintain distances from other groups. The proceeds from the games are used by the home cities to pay salaries of low-mid income employees of local businesses. There would be costs of security, ushers, limited concessions, and plan management. But if the average seat is auctioned at $250+, that’s $200,000+ per home game after expenses (41 home games - $8.2 million) to support the local economy and residents. I think it may even pull in much more given corporate support and other donations Think of the riot game vs the White Sox.....it was great that a minimal number of fans were out there cheering...not just total silence. It gives the players some feedback and makes the broadcasts tolerable, while giving something back to the community. Is that impractical?
  5. I’m too busy today to track down the answer to my question. Have they addressed the minor league season? They must have......
  6. Jeff Ballard, Jim Traber and Chito Martinez come to mind.
  7. I started off as a pitcher and was going to break every record in the book. Some crazy chick shot me, not really sure why....I don't really like to talk about it. I was thinking about making a comeback but, you know, coronavirus. My real truth is that I couldn't hit a lick but I had a fantastic curveball that I learned at a baseball camp that had Mike Flanagan and Tippy Martinez. I used Mike's grip with McGregor's windup. Then I screwed up my rotator cuff for life. Listen up kids....stick to fastballs! I only came to realize in the last five years that a neglected & screwed up rotator cuff becomes worse when you get older. I shoulda been a farmer.
  8. Kinda strange to say one of the least frequent posters on this board overvalues baseball. Did I suggest schools and restaurants are less important than baseball? No, that was your embellishment. We’re going to see tens of thousands of Americans die in the next two months. It’s going to be brutal. When we’re on the other side, the country will need to heal. Baseball has a part to play and in order to do that they need to make preparations. I don’t think it’s out of touch to care about and plan for what happens after the worst is behind us. I don’t expect that anyone is going to be particularly excited about playing games in empty stadiums. But it’s a first step. And it allows the game to be fully ready when medical advances allow the crowds to return. And that goes for the minor leagues too. On the other side of the surge the country will desperately need to get back to work. And that includes professional baseball. And eventually all the jobs it supports. And we’ll need the diversion. It’s a lousy plan, but I think better than the alternative, which is no plan. Just waiting, hoping, and losing time. I’m not surprised that people disagree. Particularly at this point in time.
  9. Is that really what you’re gathering from my posts or are you just digging for ways to be argumentative?
  10. I think it’s just the opposite. Baseball was incredibly important to the country after 9/11. I think it’s important in this time of suspended normalcy to give people something familiar to follow. Something other than death and fear. We shouldn’t underestimate how brutal the next month will be....so much worse than March. We’ll need something to help lead us out of this. That’s part of what has been great about baseball in our history. It’s restorative. Starting the season will have important symbolism when we’ll really need it. And when the fans return later on it will be a huge part of healing. I sound sappy saying it, but I really believe it’s important.
  11. Four stages of CV response: 1) social distancing/hand washing/cleaning 2) widespread/quick testing/contact tracing 3) treatments for symptoms (reducing lethality to the laboratory equivalent of influenza) 4) vaccination As it relates to baseball, once you have #2, the games can be held, but without fans in attendance. Once you get to #3, combined with expected seasonality (not elimination, but diminishment), you can return to having fans at the games. This also assumes existing measures have first reduced the spread dramatically (June at the earliest if effective treatments have emerged). My personal take is that #3 is a HUGE variable, that can’t be predicted. If I’m MLB, I start planning on a resumption of games in mid-May with the expectation that they will be in empty stadiums until #3 has been achieved in all parts of the country.
  12. Abbott labs is rolling out widespread testing (50k per day) of FDA approved tests that yield results in less than 15 minutes. As I said previously, frequent player testing is necessary before any discussion of playing games again can occur. With this rollout, the question will shift to playing games in empty stadiums, or waiting until frequent public testing advances as far as it has in South Korea (though I question our ability to have same level of public compliance). But this development is important, and could force some tough questions on MLB and the players union.
  13. The caveat is important. I think the implication is that you can’t have bans in some cities but not others. That creates an uneven playing field. But the matter of playing in neutral sites and/or empty stadiums needs further consideration.
  14. This is why I think fanless games are inevitable. Mass gatherings aren’t happening until a medical solution emerges. So if it’s inevitable, start working on the logistics now so that frequent player testing is the last obstacle to playing the games. It stinks, but not as much as canceling all of 2020 and much of 2021. Money will drive the decision. I’d just like to know more about the owner side finances of fanless games. Is that better or worse than cancelling two seasons and not paying player contracts? And is that league wide or is the answer different for different franchises?
  15. The hyper-frequent testing is necessary for MLB so they can avoid avoid entire teams being placed in quarantine. These are world class athletes in the prime so their personal risk of complications from infection would be very low. But they have families too, and a responsibility to stop the spread. The more I think about this, the less I want to think about this. Weird times.
  16. It’s a tough call. After the peak (which I think is a few weeks away), we’ll still have to indefinitely suppress exposure to avoid a new wave. So unless a wildly effective treatment becomes available, they’re looking not being able to have attended games until a vaccine is widely available. And then you’re looking at the 2021 season as well. So if the decision is ultimately the same (don’t play without fans or play without fans) and it is a financially driven decision, delaying that decision worsens the challenges MLB will face. If you’re going to play without fans, at least for a portion of the season until conditions allow, the biggest roadblock would the current inability to regularly test players. And that may be more of the driver that is delaying the start of the season than the expectation of when it will be medically safe to pack 10k - 40k people together again.
  17. Don’t they privately charter planes when they travel? I’m not advocating for it necessarily, I just think if their options are to either to cancel the season entirely or play games without fans, they might opt to play without fans....if the finances push them to do so. I’d love to know if the owners and/or players are financially motivated to play if the games can’t be attended.
  18. I’m not so sure. It’s hard to imagine any time in 2020 when it will be ok to put a crowd of 20k+ people together in close quarters. So if the choice is to cancel the entire season or play for the tv audience only, what are the finances of that? Do the owners have a force majeure provision in the CBA or their player contracts? I assume they do. I would expect there will be growing pressure to play the games, with or without fans.
  19. Would MLB hold a regular schedule without fans in attendance? The sport doesn’t have the direct contact issues that football and basketball do. If CV tests were to become readily available enough that players could be regularly screened, would the players union agree? I could see an important social benefit to having baseball in this time, even if it’s televised only.
  20. What bothers me about what the organization is saying is that it does not give any guidance on whether his condition is potentially life threatening. As a fan, I think that would be a reasonable disclosure without invading his privacy. I have my own private theory about what may have happened, which would not be life threatening. Trey seems like such a genuinely good guy, I hope he’s going to be ok.
  21. Imagine they had a re-draft tomorrow. Would Adley be picked outside of the top 5? If he was 3-8 this spring would he be validated as a future star? If we have a cold front does that global warming is a myth? Lots of guys underwhelm in the minors without really putting up impressive stats (Manny, Halladay) but the talent is obvious. I’m not at all concerned. Has anyone said that he looks bad at the plate? No, the numbers just haven’t been there. Seriously short sample size.
  22. What stands out to me is that most of our rebuild will be waiting for the arms. With Hays and Mountcastle joining the O’s this year, the only building block offensive players in the system will be Rutschman and maybe Diaz or Henderson, with Rutschman moving up rapidly. We don’t want to rush Hall and Rodriguez. But it’s worth considering that the offense may be pretty decent sooner than expected. If Means and Cobb can perform reasonably well, and a few decent starters emerge from the group of Kremer, Lowther, Baumann, Bailey, Akin, and Hess, then things could trend upwards quicker than we anticipate. And I like those first three names in particular. Our system needs a few more years picking at the top of the draft, so I’m not sold that a quicker return to winning is entirely positive. But I think at the end of 2020 our attention will be on the bullpen and left side of the infield, with an eye towards being competitive sooner than we currently envision. I think once Mountcastle arrives, we’ll start looking at the rebuild differently, not as being in it’s infancy.
  23. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/12/chris-tillman-free-agent-shoulder-surgery-showcase.html Figure the O’s will send someone?
  24. I know this is going a little off the rails, but this thread prompted the question. When we do actually become participants in the free agent market again, will the new regime have to deal with the old controversy from ownership regarding pre-signing physicals? I’m not asking because I want to debate the positives and negatives, I’m just curious if Elias has had to address the subject publicly.
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