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bird watcher

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Everything posted by bird watcher

  1. If the season is cancelled, do they carry over this years draft order to next year? How long if a season is long enough to warrant changing the draft order?
  2. There will be many new norms learned from this by businesses. I was reading about how workflows have streamlined in some industries because they’ve been forced to move everything between depts electronically. The article was specifically about tv show production (writers, producers, editors, graphics, animators, etc). It noted how much cheaper and time efficient things are now without the need for physical space.
  3. I think most O’s fans would like that option. There is a reason though that they haven’t yet gone that route; it’s not as profitable as the current situation. It also would make situations like this even more economically devastating because they would lose all of their subscriber money. At least with cable they diversify by getting money from subscribers that stay on despite no sports. This could go the other way too, where many people cancel Cable because there is no baseball and cable gets to see how many people really were only having cable for the baseball. But will the casual
  4. How do we know that A. MASN is still being paid by cable despite not carrying intended content or that B. MASN doesn’t have to pay the teams their rights fees despite the work stoppage? Both seem like assumptions unless you know the contract language. There may be some carryover to keep MASN solvent for now but I have little doubt that the trend is not in their favor long term. I think they’ll have to eventually move to streaming baseball and it’ll be sooner than expected. I believe cable cutting over the next month will accelerate.
  5. Hello all, I have been thinking about how this world crisis would affect sports programming and specifically the Orioles. Firstly, without live sports, I have to believe people are cutting the cable cord at and extremely high rate. Sports were the only thing anchoring MANY people from cutting the cord. Less disposable income for many many people and the exorbitant costs for cable don’t bode well for them. Secondly, without cable subscribers en masse, where do MASN and frankly all of the other MLB networks get their revenues? MASN gets huge $ for every subscriber. Cab
  6. This gets harder as the rebuild moves forward but . . . I root for prospects to hit and pitch really well and for filler bullpen guys and journeymen hitters to blow it so we lose and get better draft picks. It’s easy to swallow a loss if the guys that will matter later are playing well. As time moves on there will be less guys to not care about and so losing will mean guys that matter aren’t performing.
  7. Changes to the game to promote offense may take time to yield results. There is a generational gap forming that baseball needs to get ahead of. From what I have gathered younger people aren’t as into baseball as they once were. The pace of play and scoring are obstacles in our culture whether we like it or not. Balls in play equal action. Just my opinion
  8. Says the “already a baseball fan” fan. What about attracting younger kids with super short attention spans? More scoring wouldn’t hurt baseball. It’s obviously a point of focus given the juicing of baseballs. I’m in favor of it. I find it frustrating when a team brings in a specialist for one batter to end a promising rally.
  9. This is true and might be another reason to do it from baseball’s perspective. Baseball gets boring without runs. Pitching duels appeal to the hardcore but nothing gets fans screaming like a line drive double. By making the pitcher stay in the game you’ve increased the chance of a run scoring play in your scenario. This is good for baseball.
  10. You say this like it would negatively influence the choice. Lower OPS's will help ensure one more year of high draft picks which like it or not is likely a goal behind the scenes. I am hoping this is the last year we intentionally tank a season. I'd like to watch some baseball again at some point.
  11. I suspect the majority of discovered efficiencies will remain proprietary and would be non-story/boring to the general consumer much to the dismay of the OH obsessed like you and me.
  12. That bolded part is a quote that any employee of a large company undergoing sea changes has uttered or heard uttered. We as humans love normalcy and routine. We crave it and abhor change because its an unknown and creates fear. 7. No more human emotions getting in the way of making the right decisions. Ironically the most idolized manager we’ve ever had was famous for not giving a damn how people felt about what he knew was the right decision. Bill Belichick is Pretty famous for it too.
  13. I’d say the constant is a pursuit of efficiency; a byproduct of which is not spending until that spending can give the most bang for the buck. The Astros aren’t not spending. They spent when the time was right. Analytics is about efficiency too. How do we get the most out of practice? What type of practice will give the greatest reward for time put in; old normal routines be damned. It is all a whittling away at chaff. 1. No wasted movement in a swing or pitch. 2. No wasted movement in getting a fielder to where he is most likely to need to be when that batter hits.
  14. You’re right. I wrote that while fantasizing about my follow up post where there wouldn’t be a force out at first. I can’t edit posts
  15. Maybe not. What is the average time to first base vs. the average time to get a passed ball/wild pitch and throw it to first? What would make it really fun is to not make it a force out at first base! Imagine a run down situation with other runners on base.
  16. This rule would certainly favor speedy, quick players quite a bit. It also makes pitchers think harder about throwing away pitches in the dirt with 2 strikes (which is probably the biggest reason MLB might want it). The electronic strike zone is a total no brainer as long as it works correctly.
  17. True, but the Royals and Tigers seem to be competing more on the losing front this year so we REALLY need to lose. Trading Cashner will help a lot in that regard but Chris Davis doesn’t hurt.
  18. Davis helps lock in the 1draft pick next year if nothing changes. If he does figure it out (Not likely) then you get a player return on your money. If they release him he does neither of thise two good things.
  19. Japan seems like the only league high enough in quality to make sense but I would imagine they have an agreement with MLB not to do that since we can’t pluck their amateurs either. 8mil is plenty of money so Adley will be fine but imagine what he would get as a free agent today.
  20. OK. I didn’t know that. Then how long would a player remain “draft eligible”? If it is forever then that answers all the questions. There would be no way to get around the draft. A lawsuit challenging that would get pretty interesting. Perhaps the fact that the rules are collectively bargained saps legal rights from these kids but the minor league players are so grossly underrepresented in the collective bargaining that it might be interesting.
  21. What happens if a Player refuses to sign? Can he hold out and eventually be a free agent? How long would he have to do that? take two players for example: 1. Adley Rutschman. Lets say he wanted $60mil and obviously the draft won’t allow it. He holds out, not signing with the Orioles and DOESN’T go back to Oregon St and doesn’t register for the draft next year either. How long do the Orioles control his rights? 2. Sr player who has an amazing year in College and shoots up boards potentially getting drafted high but makes it known he won’t sign for less than $30 mil. He than en
  22. “MLB now runs their events through the Trainer Partnership Program, using uncommitted players from multiple classes. That change is fine. The MLB showcases before had value—a lot of the pitchers were still uncommitted and teams could see them face top competition” This might explain why Elias was more hitter focused than pitcher focused in the recent draft. It sounds like top international positional talent is what gets signed early but there are pitchers still uncommitted.
  23. Yet another reason it makes zero sense for him to go to school. His future tuition payment would be inflation protected too if that is the case.
  24. I’m having a hard time seeing how this is anything but an obvious choice assuming he is going to get north of 3mil or even 2mil. If he wants to play professional baseball then he gets his start early with a better/potentially faster path to the majors. If he wants an education to hedge against failure in professional baseball then he has millions already in the bank to own his own home and pay for college with no loans necessary and still have millions left over. Why would anyone go to college under those circumstances?
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