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GuidoSarducci

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Posts posted by GuidoSarducci


  1. 7 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

    That puts a damper on the rest of the season for me. 

    But seriously, I wonder what our record was with Davis and without.  It seems like it was ironically better with him in the lineup

    Edit: Ok, we were 7-9 with Davis, and'we're current 22-31, so that means without Davis we were 15-22.

    Record with Davis:  .438 (7/16)

    Record without Davis:  .405  (15/37)

     

    Edit2:  Even better, in 2 of the games Davis had one PA or less, which were both losses.  So really in games where he got at least 3 PAs, we were .500.

     


  2. 2 minutes ago, Philip said:

    Meh... 2-1 or 10-1. The season is over. I thought it was silly when people suggested Hyde as a candidate for a manager of the year. 

    I know the game is over and we probably don't make the playoffs now.  Still not really an excuse for burning your relievers like Hyde has been doing.


  3. 1 hour ago, Frobby said:

    I am not convinced, depending on what you mean by “fine.”    He’s carrying a 4.70 ERA, which I suppose plenty of middle relievers do without being drummed out of the league.   But that’s about representative of what I think he’ll do as a major league reliever.   I don’t expect him to do better than that just because he’s not closing.   

    I would like to see some splits for Sulster for his first inning appearance vs. afterward  It seems to me the majority of his ERs have come when he gets trotted out for a second inning.   This of course limits his usefulness in the bullpen, but if he could hypothetically post a 3.50 ERA if has limited to only a single inning, thats stil pretty useful and borderline setup material. 


  4. 1 minute ago, Can_of_corn said:

    So you are basing things on eight games played?  Ok then...

    DJ Stewart had 22 PAs, and got 0 hits, 6 walks and struck out 8 times.   It was enough for Elias/Hyde to send him to Bowie.

    Objectively speaking,  D. Smith was a less worse player, on a per game basis.  

     


  5. 14 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

    We did?

    Dwight Smith Jr 2019-2020: -1.1 rWAR ,-.9fWAR

    DJ Stewart 2018-2020: -.1 rWAR, .1fWAR

    I referring to this year, on a per game basis.  DSJ -0.4 bWAR in 21 GP,.  DJ Stewart -0.3 bWAR in 8 GP.  Chris Davis -0.9 bWAR in 15 GP.


  6. 16 hours ago, Philip said:

    What are you gonna do with a lousy leftfielder?  Replace him. Every time we put Dwight Smith into the game, we had a lousy leftfielder and we had to suffer from that. There was no way to compensate for having a lousy leftfielder in the game, until we replaced him.

    We suffered way more from having Chris Davis at first base, and DJ Stewart at LF, neither of which could hit, at all.   

    As for lousy fielding, BBref has his Rfield at a whopping -2.   Thats not even a 0.2 games swing.  His WAR of -0.4 was more due to his lack of production at the plate - but in that department, Davis and Stewart were much worse.

    I've seen members of  NFL secondary almost singlehandedly lose games for their teams.   When a CB/S gets exploited to the tune of 150 yards/2 TDs thats a much worse problem than only having a marginal left fielder.


  7. I don't think baseball is really any more of a team sport than other sports.  In fact I think fluid sports like hockey and basketball are more team sports than baseball.  In hockey and basketball you have to be on the same page with your teammates, as far as individual responsibilities  and people being where they need to be in a certain place at a certain time.  And if they aren't, scoring opportunities, and defensive assignments are missed.   Especially in hockey.  In baseball, this is only true on defense and even then, its usually about individual efforts and less about coordination. 

    Half of baseball is individual matchups - (pitcher vs. batter).  And fielding only accounts less than half of defense (its mostly about the pitcher), so its probably more like 80-85% individual matchups.  

     


  8. "Nobody else is really producing" is a bit harsh.  We have 6 hitters with OPS > 800.   I think thats pretty good production. 

    The Toronto series was of course, disappointing, but one of those was a coin flip game.  Eovaldi owns us, so today's result was not surprising.

    I still think this team can be around .500 at the end of the year.


  9. 26 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

    If you were to say to me, Can, I'll pay you 38M to retire at 34.  Or you can get 46M and spend two years dealing with the physical and emotional pressures of sitting at the end of the bench.

    If it were me, I'd take the 38M and be done with it.  Especially if I'd already earned more than 140M.

    Players have accepted buyouts before, heck some have walked away leaving money on the table.

    This has come up multiple times with Davis.   He was done 2 years ago and wouldn't take a buyout.  I don't think he would take one now.  Although in hindsight the O's saved themselves a good chunk of money if they weren't able to get an aggressive buyout (<90%).  

    But I'm not convinced its the money, I think CD still thinks he can somehow be a productive major leaguer.  Or at minimum at least likes actually being on the roster/around the clubhouse/etc.

    Personally, I wouldn't be able to admit I was no longer good at my job, even if you offered me 90% of my salary to pound sand, I'd probably want to keep doing what I'm doing, if money wasn't an issue. 


  10. 27 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

    Daniel Cabrera hit .009 in his professional career.  1-for-106.  Based on his time with the O's in interleague he'd often just stand there and take three called strikes.  Struck out in 97 of his 126 PAs.

    He walked nine times as a pro.  That's kind of how I see a Chris Davis walk.  Sometimes the pitcher just won't hit his spots four times in seven pitches, even if the batter is not trying.

    Yeah but you have to have the discipline to not swing - it could be that Hyde through Davis was the better bet there, whereas maybe Mullins would be more eager to swing to try to get a hit to somehow prove he belongs up in the bigs, a walk doesn't really help his case as much.   Davis pitch recognition has actually been fair - I've seen a good chunk of his at bats and he didn't often swing at balls or watch strikes, at least not like he used to.   Just for some reason the contact or placement wasn't there, and also obviously definitely not the power - like against the Nats last weekend after Santander and Severino home-runs, Davis tried the same thing and hit the warning track.


  11. 18 hours ago, SteveA said:

    I usually TRY to see if I can come up with the rationale for a managerial decision before I condemn it out of hand.   So here is what I am coming up with:

    If we assume Iglesias couldn't play because of the quad (which is a dubious assumption because he had played the two days before and DHed once when he couldn't play the field)...

    Then our options were Mullins, Holaday, and Davis.

    Down 1 with one out in the 9th, out chances of stringing together multiple hits to score were getting low.   It would take 3 singles, or a walk and 2 singles, or a single and an extrabase hit, and we only had one out left to play with.

    So maybe Hyde concluded our best chance to tie the game was to hit a HR.

    Based on seeing Davis throughout June camp, in BP and intrasquad and exhibition games, plus BP during the season, maybe Hyde honestly thought that Davis had the best chance of the three guys of putting a bat on a ball and hitting it out of the park,

    There, that's the best I can come up with.

    Also remember, Chris Davis drew a walk to leadoff in the 9th against the Phillies last week when the O's were down by 1, and he did (eventually) cross home plate to tie up the game.   So there's that.   

    Hyde might have been thinking that Davis somehow walks, then Alberto and Santander have two chances between them to try to tie up the game (if Alberto doesn't ground into double play)


  12. 29 minutes ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:

    Dave Johnson gutted out a tough performance on the Saturday afternoon game after Pete Harnisch got scratched after stepping on a nail. Johnson was pitching on three days rest, but went 7 innings with two runs given up. Offense ran out of gas that last series. 

    LFCO4EO8_400x400.jpg

    We actually went into the 8th inning of game 2 leading 3-1, then Johnson walked the first batter and is replaced.  Kevin Hickey comes in, walks the batter, is replaced by Williamson.   Sac bunt, now runners on 2nd and 3rd, just 1 out.  Mookie Wilson singles to score the runner on 3rd.  Another by McGriff single ties up the game, and advances a Wilson to 3rd.   George Bell sac fly.  Jays now up 4-3.

    But had we won that game (and proceeded to win Sunday), we would have been tied with the Jays at 88 wins a piece- do we take the AL East in that scenario?  So we went into that series not just having to win 2/3, but having to sweep the Jays?


  13. That final weekend was one the biggest heartbreaks of my childhood.   Man was I pissed when we lost game 2.   The other being Notre Dame vs. Boston College.


  14. 9 hours ago, Philip said:

    The 2005 team was 36-24 after 60 games.

    We are on exactly the same pace.

    the 2005 team fell completely apart after that point, but after 60 games they still had 102 remaining. We will not.

    The 2005 team was long in the tooth, for the lineup at least. Raffy and Surhoff were both 40.  Mora and Tejada were > 30, a 36 year old Sosa and 34 year old Javy Lopez.   Way more talent on paper, but it also had some low-character guys, juicers and bums like Ponson.  So its no surprise they fell apart.

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