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About Dale

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  1. The inefficiency of the pitching market gives hope that the Orioles have discovered a viable middle relief option for 2020
  2. Many thanks to Luke-OH for his scouting information. I apologize if this has been posted already. Baseball America had this to say about Rucker (I swear it is more positive than what I saw from that site immediately after the draft). Rucker's stuff drew varying opinions in 2019. Some scouts saw a pitcher with very vanilla stuff, but scouts who saw him in other outings saw arm speed and a quality fastball. He’s a 6-foot-1 righthander who spent most of the year in Double-A. Rucker’s 92-96 mph fastball earns some above-average grades. He has a pair of breaking balls and changeup are all fringe-average to average, so he has to succeed with location and staying a step ahead of hitters. MLB had this part way through 2018 Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 55 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 55 | Overall: 45 Rucker led the Western Athletic Conference with 11 wins as a redshirt junior at Brigham Young in 2016, when he was one of 16 college pitchers drafted by Chicago in the first 20 rounds. He has exceeded expectations since signing for $180,000 as an 11th-rounder, posting a 2.12 ERA in his first two seasons. The Cubs eased him into pro ball as a reliever and he continued to thrive after they turned him loose as a starter in high Class A last June. Rucker might have the best fastball command in the system, enhancing the effectiveness of a 91-94 mph fastball that reaches 96. He has improved his curveball since turning pro, giving him a solid second pitch. His changeup is more of a work in progress but there are games when it works as well as his curve. After initially looking like he might advance quickly as a bullpen piece, Rucker now is a potential back-of-the-rotation starter. He's not overly physical but keeps his pitch counts down, allowing him to work deep into games. Out of nowhere, he has become one of Chicago's most advanced starting-pitching prospects.
  3. As you are aware, Rob is not on the 40 man roster so he has little chance to break with the ML team. My guess is that he.is a strong candidate for a spot in Norfolk's rotation ... and we'll see where it goes from there. For reference, the team era for OKC was 5.83 in 2019.
  4. Rob Zastryzny has to be in the mix too if Bundy departs. Some notes I have on him in 2017 from his days in the Cubs organization RHSwing Rob Zastryzny 6’3” 205 Lbs. (199203) [2013-02] [2014 Cubs BA 20; 2015 Cubs BA 14; 2017 Cubs BA14] After getting shelled in 2015, 48/28 K/W with 0.310 BAA and 6.23 ERA in 60 AA IP, he rebounded in 2016 improving as the year went on posting a 42/20 K/W in 54 SL IP with 0.245 BAA and a more impressive 77/31 K/W in 81 AAA IP with 0.229 BAA; he finished the year in the majors. Split time between the majors and AAA in 2017 missing two months with an injury. AAA numbers: 40/14 K/W in 47 IP with 0.270 BAA and 5.94 ERA. Ended season in majors getting hit hard; he finished with a 11/7 K/W in 13 IP with a 0.352 BAA and 2 HRA. The following was taken from MLB.com in 2018. MLB.com Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Cutter: 50 | Curveball: 40 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 45 | Overall: 45 A starter throughout his career since signing for $1.1 million as a second-rounder in 2013, Zastryzny got summoned to Chicago as a reliever last August. He posted a 1.13 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 16 innings and earned a spot on the National League Championship Series roster, though he was left out of the World Series to make room for Kyle Schwarber. The key to his success in 2016 was coming up with a cutter that kept hitters from sitting on his fastball. Zastryzny lacks a plus pitch, and while his fastball and changeup can be solid offerings, they also lack consistency. He throws both two- and four-seam fastballs, ranging from 87-95 mph and sitting around 90. In the big leagues, he mostly abandoned his changeup in favor of his cutter, which generates groundouts, and his curveball, which lacks depth but had surprising success in a small sample size. Zastryzny's crossfire delivery gives him deception and is tough on left-handers, but it also hurts his control and command. He could wind up as a back-of-the-rotation starter or a middle reliever, filling whatever role the Cubs need a lefty in just like Travis Wood did for five seasons before departing as a free agent. A lat strain cost him most of May and June this year, however.
  5. https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/commissioner-rob-manfred-comments-on-minor-league-reorganization/ Kyle Glaser interviewed Rob Manfred. Nothing really new here but to summarize: MLB has 4 issues with the current set-up 1) More than 40 facilities are inadequate and it is up to minor league teams to upgrade them. A list of the facilities was leaked by MiLB. 2) Teams within each league need to be relatively close to each other to minimize "school bus rides" 3) Minor league players need to be paid more 4) Too many minor league players and teams. Many do not have a realistic chance of making the majors. MLB plans to support 120 minor league teams. Left out towns would be encouraged to have professional teams but they would not be directly affiliated with MLB.
  6. It's premature to say that the MLB draft is moving to August. MLB wants to move it after the College World Series. Some have speculated that August makes sense as a date in August would eliminate the need for short-season A teams. Logically, it makes no sense to mandate which minor league teams will be axed although "leaking" a list may encourage towns on the fence to up their facilities. How up to date are the facilities in Frederick? It location is great. Organizations such as the Orioles/Astros that are big on machine learning, regression models, and neural networks are more likely to be on board with this plan while organizations such as the Cubs/Yankees that have the resources to have a more balanced approach may have misgivings. During the past season the Cubs had 300 players under control. This new plan would lessen that number by at least 100. Youngsters that are unable to make the jump from the DSL or HS to full-season ball may stay at their respective complexes and play unofficial games against other organizations throughout the summer as opposed to until the draft as in past years. One advantage is that it will be easier to evaluate prospects with fewer non-prospects in the mix, although you could argue that 20-year old prospects benefit from playing with 25-year old non-prospects who know the little things but have limited tools. The great statistics put up by top prospects during their first ML seasons in recent years suggests that top prospects may be spending too much time in the minors. More rapid promotion for a select few is likely with a thinner pool of players. It is also possible that AAA will be more like AA is today, i.e., the place for top prospects. Independent leagues comprised of released players could fill the role that AAA has today - although this will depend on the details of the next ML agreement. I've also heard that some teams would prefer a shorter season so that their prospects could spend more time in their respective pitching/hitting labs.
  7. Agreed. If one insists on using the save statistic at least define it as (Holds + Saves) / [Save chances]
  8. Well we need to come up with a way that doesn't suppress salaries to get the player's union on board For spin purposes, any proposal should aid small market teams rather than ...
  9. How about implementing a 3-3-3 rule: The top 3 draft choices shall be given out to the teams with the 3 highest winning percentages in the previous year of teams that have not made the playoffs for 3 years and have not had a top 3 draft choice in the last 3 years. The next group of draft choices will be based on winning percentage from teams that did not make the playoffs in the past year. The next group of teams will be play-in losers sorted by winning percentage, ..., World Series runner-up, and finally World Series winner
  10. World Avoided: Davis has Hyde to thank for his less than horrific OPS this season. If he had faced the same percentage of lefties as Villar his stat line could read: 0.166/0.245/0.290 (0.535 OPS) as opposed to 0.184/0.269/0.323 (0.592 OPS). Note: I assumed Davis would continue hitting 0.096/0.145/0.154 versus lefties and 0.205/0.299/0.364 versus righties and assumed he would face 35.4% lefties (Villar's percentage) as opposed to his current 19.7%.
  11. Sorry should have included the reference. Obviously, the rule change is good news for the Orioles. Happy waiver wire hunting.
  12. PROCEDURE FOR AWARDING OF WAIVER CLAIMS (TYPE OF WAIVERS): Per Arizona Phil https://www.thecubreporter.com/awarding-waiver-claims If a player is claimed by only one club, that club is awarded the claim. If more than one club makes a claim, the club with the lowest winning percentage (regardless of league) either from the previous season (beginning on the day after the conclusion of the MLB regular season through the 30th day of the MLB regular season) or on the day the player clears waivers (beginning on the 31st day of the MLB regular season through the last day of the MLB regular season) is awarded the claim. If two clubs with the same winning percentage make a claim, the club in the player's own league is awarded the claim. If two clubs from the same league make a claim and they are tied in the standings, the club with the lowest winning percentage from the previous season is awarded the claim. If the clubs are still tied, standings from two years back (or three years back, four years back, etc) are used to break the tie. Looks like we need a tiebreaker!
  13. We have waiver priority in the NL too; the tiebreaker is winning percentage regardless of league
  14. Almost a coin flip for a 3 game series. Statistically, a team with a winning fraction of 0.333 has a 30% chance of losing all 3 games of a series and a 26% chance of winning the series.
  15. Understandable however because of the faked bases-loaded bunt attempt.
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