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LookinUp last won the day on December 10 2009

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816 Triple-A

About LookinUp

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  • Birthday 9/15/1977

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  1. I have to admit, that raw power rating caught me off guard too. I saw a guy who was afraid to attack a pitch. He looked totally over matched. I guess that's the difference between a hit tool and raw power.
  2. I'm not sure that being slightly better than the average AA hitter is a feather in his cap. That doesn't get you very far in the majors. You're right though, he does have age and defensive value on his side. Still, that bat needs to be more than a little better than AA league average for him to be worth a ML role as anything other than a pinch runner and late inning defensive replacement. That essentially makes him a September call up type, not a guy you hand a position to.
  3. He's BA's top high school prospect for next year's draft, but came out a hear earlier than expected. A lot of potential and very young. Sounds very unlikely that we would end up with him as high as #2 or as low as our next pick.
  4. To add on, I appreciate the effort, but have to question just how good Badler's information about guys who didn't play much this year can really be. It's a great thing that he does and I think it's awesome for fans, it just comes with limitations because you pretty much have to be in a ML scouting office or REALLY embedded down there to have a comprehensive grasp of what's going on. I don't mean to sound too critical because he's providing great information that nobody else (almost?) really provides. Just noting the limitation.
  5. I don't believe this, but the idea that one of the world's greatest athletes EVER could not be a great professional soccer player is silly to me. It wouldn't happen in a few months. He would have needed to cultivate those skills from childhood, just like he has done with basketball. Even then, he would likely be a problem if he played forward. If nothing else, he'd likely be a beast goalie.
  6. I think you have to have pretty great tools to make the jump into the top 100, so the obvious guys are DL Hall (off 1 list), Baumann, Diaz and Henderson. It'll likely be too soon for our newer guys, like Hernaiz (maybe Henderson who has a larger profile) or any of the international guys, to get enough playing time and publicity to jump even if they deserve it. The exception would be if a player really lights up a short season league with 60+ power or tremendous pitching velocity, etc. Stowers will be playing full season ball and theoretically might be an exception if he clicks, though I'm not personally betting on it. His ceiling is probably high enough, but I think he'd have to force his way to AA and still have success there this year to get top 100 consideration. I doubt Rom has the velocity to do it and don't think McKenna will hit enough to do it, though is speed fits the definition of a loud tool. Hanifee is another out of the box guy who could surprise, but again, the write-ups on him from Tony and Luke don't make that look like a high probability jump. Then there's the pretty substantial list of good, but not great, prospects who profile as 45-50 types if things work out. I'm thinking guys like Kremer, Lowther, Adam Hall and Akin who could be decent professionals if things go their way but probably still aren't top 100 guys overall even with great years just because the known tool set doesn't profile with a 50+ ceiling. I'd certainly bet on whoever we take at #2 overall to be a top 100 guy, and it's possible though not likely one more guy makes that list if we target and sign a signability guy. Lastly, you never know if we hit on a high profile international signee on J2. That's also unlikely in terms of being a top 100 ranked player this year.
  7. LookinUp

    BP's 101

    Agree. Seems like Hall's stuff is electric, but his production didn't match the stuff so he fell. If he produces like we all hope, he should move way up. I guess that's a pretty big if at this point, but I'm still very bullish.
  8. I listened to a podcast with Jack Leggett the other day. He's the former manager for Clemson and now a USA Baseball guy. He seems like a wonderful person. His philosophies are very compelling. About moving runners over, getting the extra bases, situational hitting, bunting, running. All wonderful stuff that is now passe. I felt bad for the guy. He clearly wants to get back into running a program, and he's had a ton of success, but he's not interested in hitters that K a lot, and is only mildly interested in launch angles. It seemed to me that he might not know what he doesn't know. His methods have tremendous value and have achieved tremendous success, but they're not inclusive of how to differentiate value from a statistical perspective, which means that he's probably teaching some guys to hit to the right side to move the runner over instead of letting him hit for power. Well, it seems like he's no longer wanted as a program manager. It's really a sea change from where the game was a decade ago. I felt bad for the guy. I wonder how similar he is to Buck.
  9. Anyone know if a modern SABR type person has written about the best non-hall inductees? That would be an interesting read and would likely resuscitate the case for a few guys like Grich and Whitaker.
  10. And he had the jump throw for balls in the 6 hole. That was fancy.
  11. If you believe BB reference, yes, his defense was pretty terrible. Jeter won 4 gold gloves. During those seasons, his dWAR was -.3, -1.8, -.7 and 1.1. Over his entire career, he had a -8.3 dWAR. He had only 3 years with a positive dWAR and one where it was 0.0. That means he had 16 seasons with a negative dWAR. For comparison, Omar Vizquel had a career 29.5 dWAR, one season of which was negative. Ripken's career dWAR was 35.7, and he never had a season with a negative dWAR.
  12. It's slow this time of year.
  13. You can't call teams naive if the only real solution to prevent it requires more (e.g., electronic) than has ever been historically done. Remember, we're in place where people are trying to speed up the game. Mound visits by catchers are limited. The idea that you have an extra person in the stands, for example, is completely untenable without electronic support (and the fact that person would eventually be identified and surveiled as well). And catchers already have alternative signals (e.g., hand on knee, fixing helmet). They've been doing that stuff forever from at least the college level up. This is all manageable with people on base, but to have to perpetually use "alternative" coding systems to prevent real-time spying is absurd both practically and from a spirit of the game perspective. It would be like allowing the opposing team to mic up the offensive coordinator in football so they know every play that's coming before it comes. Just because computers allow people to do that, doesn't mean it should be in any way allowable or accepted.
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