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Posts posted by Number5

  1. 1 hour ago, weams said:

    Dubroff seems to have forgotten about Nunez when discussing the infield/outfield roster.  He says there are 4 openings for those reserve spots, but by my count there are three.  I'm figuring the seven starting IF/OF that he lists, 2 catchers, 13 pitchers, and Nunez - which leaves 3 more spots on the 26-man roster.  Now, if the Orioles decide to stick with 12 pitchers and make the 26th man an extra position player, there would be room for a 4th IF/OF utility guy, but I'm guessing that 13 pitchers will work better for this team.

  2. 1 hour ago, atomic said:

    I would like to go back to 4 playoff teams total.  If you play 162 games that should be enough to pair it down to 4 teams.  I don’t see a need for a wild card and bigger divisions would be more enjoyable so you aren’t playing the same team 15 times a year.


    • Upvote 1

  3. 4 hours ago, Pickles said:

    A philosophical question I would like to have answered is this:

    Does providing "analytics" to prospects to improve their performance in the MiLs, actually translate to improved skills/abilities and better ML outcomes?

    Well, it certainly can't hurt.  Seems like it would both help persuade young kids to "buy in" to suggestions going forward, as well as boosting their confidence.  Are those things plusses for future performance?  I believe so.

  4. 6 minutes ago, Carllamy said:

    I went to the O's Caravan at Turf Valley Resort today at 11:00 A.M.

    First, for anyone who might want to see pictures, I've posted some on the Orioles Hangout Facebook page.

    Turns out the O's caravan was just about autographs. There was no Q&A session or speeches. They were doing a few giveaways and ticket selling as well.

    Today it was Mike Elias and Hanser Alberto. Brian Roberts was also supposed to be there, but he couldn't make it.

    I met a couple of friends there who got there 20 mins early and who told me at that time the line was out the door and into the parking lot. I got there just at 11:00 A.M. You were handed an autograph voucher and told that, to be assured of an autograph you needed a voucher, but that you could always just stand in line and hope. I only got one voucher, but the lines moved so quickly that I got both autographs.

    I got to Elias and said "I know baseball organizations are really large. But they all can't have everything. Is there one thing the O's organization doesn't have that you would like to have?" I thought that he would say some kind of physical training equipment, or some techie video device. He said "A good shortstop prospect."

    I might go to the one in Frederick tomorrow. I haven't decided yet.

    Thanks for this report.  I liked both your question and Elias' answer.

    • Upvote 1

  5. 15 minutes ago, mdbdotcom said:

    As we have now learned, Astros management didn't just know this was going on, they spearheaded the effort by using the Codebreaker app to decipher opponents' signs. Codebreaker was introduced to Luhnow by an intern. Luhnow put it into use. Luhnow reportedly would go into the video room and ask the personnel there if they were codebreaking. It was a top down scam. I don't think the league (which is the owners) want to punish players for doing what their management told them to do. 

    As I understand the rules, the "codebreaker" system in and of itself wasn't against the rules.  Teams are allowed to try to pick up on other teams' signals.  Informing players of the opponents alternative signaling systems so that they can employ that information while on second base to pick up the catcher's sign and signal to your batter is not a violation.  Please correct me if I'm wrong.  The violation would come into play if monitors are being used real-time to learn and relay the information to either the batter or the runner on second base.

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  6. Although there are some folks that believe the best measure of improvement in international free agency is whether every last nickel allowed to be spent is spent, I don't necessarily agree with that quantity over quality approach.  Elias has impressed me sufficiently thus far that if he feels that the team is better served by acquiring other assets that he deems superior to those available by spending all of the remaining slots on those international players that remain in a given season's signing class after being picked thru for years by all of the other MLB teams, I would tend to believe he has a pretty good idea of what he's doing.   It just doesn't seem logical to me - and I've seen no evidence to suggest - that he is leaving countless plus prospects on the table with his approach.

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  7. 17 minutes ago, Eric-OH said:

    The deterrent effect of this punishment is minimal in my opinion.  In fact, it doesn’t exist. In the future, a player weighing cheating on this level vs a complete non-punishment and total lack of responsibility is an easy call.  
    If any of the players who did this continue to get away with it and face no penalties, why would anyone not commit this act if they see it as providing an advantage?  
    None of them got punished even minimally so it’s hard to say that they didn’t fully get away with it.  
    Reading Astroball and Darvish’s quotes it seems even more selfish that Houston wasn’t willing to compete and damning for their future, but MLB showed they barely care with their inaction.  Also, a reminder that the Astros were warned specifically several times to not misuse the video or the video room and blatantly ignored Manfred.  Still, no player faced a punishment.  

    Well, Beltran did lose his job because of this, even though there was no punishment imposed on him directly by MLB.

  8. 20 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    Nelson. Cruz.    I’ll have to think if there’s anyone else.    

    I had a look at the ten biggest position player contracts in history that either have been completed or where the player is now 37 or older, and compared those 10 players’ age 26-27 seasons to age 36-37:

    Alex Rodriguez: 17.2 rWAR vs. 2.5

    Albert Pujols: 17.2, -0.6

    Prince Fielder: 6.0, 0.0 (out of baseball)

    Joe Mauer: 13.7, 0.0 (out of baseball)

    Derek Jeter: 9.8, 3.1

    Mark Teixeira: 9.0, -0.6 (retired after 36)

    Manny Ramirez: 12.6, 8.2

    Matt Kemp: 10.8, 0.0 (out of baseball)

    Adrian Gonzalez: 10.4, -0.6 (retired after 36)

    Carl Crawford: 7.5, 0.0 (out of baseball)

    Average for the ten: 11.2 rWAR at ages 26-27, 1.2 at ages 36-37.

    I left two guys off my list because technically they’re not eligible.   Miguel Cabrera was worth 11.6 at ages 26-27; he was worth 0.0 at 36 and will play his age 37 season this year.   Jacoby Ellsbury was worth 8.2 at 26-27; he’s not technically out of baseball yet but it would be miraculous if he was playing at 36-37.   (He’s 36 this year and hasn’t played in 2 years and was released from his contract).    

    Barry Bonds.

  9. On 12/25/2019 at 3:18 PM, Frobby said:

    Here’s a pretty good one: the Angels got Alan Trammell (70.7 rWAR), Jack Morris (43.4), Dan Petry (17.0) and 5 other guys who reached the majors in 1976.     They also drafted Ozzie Smith in the 7th round, but he didn’t sign.   

    Angels?  Looks like Tigers.  Was there a big trade?


    Edit:  Never mind.  I see you said Tigers in the next post.

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  10. 2 hours ago, weams said:


    Just a reminder, this doesn't mean that the scheme wasn't being used for the other 7100 pitches.  Remember, when employing the scheme, no bang was used for a fastball.  Therefore, it is reasonable to suppose that the scheme was in place for a considerable portion of the 7100 "no-bang" pitches.

    • Upvote 1

  11. 4 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:

    Their system is pretty weak. We’d likely target guys that wouldn’t have to be added to the 40 man till at the earliest of November 2021. 

    If the NL is really going to a DH soon then that opens up 15 more jobs. 

    Not really.  Roster limit would not change.

  12. 2 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:

    It is curious.  NPB has a higher average attendance than MLB, and the second highest total attendance of any sports league in the world.  I see Chewbacca's post about market-rate rent on stadiums, which isn't insignificant, but probably not the primary reason.

    I think part of it is that traditionally the baseball teams have been run as promotional arms of their parent company.  Nippon Ham uses the Fighters to promote sales of their products, maybe to the detriment of maximizing revenues for the baseball team.  Perhaps Nippon Ham gets the most lucrative advertising spots at the stadium and during telecasts.

    I also don't know how TV operates in Japan.  MLB is able to extract huge sums from cable and satellite TV through mandatory fees for RSNs.  It wouldn't be at all surprising if another country made that kind of thing illegal.  Little old ladies in Japan who only watch old movies and talk shows may not be subsidizing the Fukuoka Hawks.

    How much do tickets cost?  Maybe, in Japan, you don't have to take out a second mortgage to take your family to a ballgame.

  13. 4 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

    Two million is two million more than zero.

    Unless he actually wants to retire the O's are competeting against what he made last year, they are competing against what other teams will pay this year.

    Good point.  I'm guessing that you meant to say aren't.

    One thing to think about:  with the new three-batter rule and the 15-day IL rule for pitchers, having someone in your rotation that can eat innings has even more significance.

  14. MLB desperately wants the Yankees in the World Series.  God knows neither the Yankees nor MLB make enough money now, let's pull in more, more, more!  Bring the World Series back to New York!  Let's eliminate the rules that might give Tampa or other limited-budget teams any real chance of overcoming the rich teams' ability to spend huge money on their starting pitching and bullpens.  If we let managers of poor teams situationally manage their bullpen the way that has always been the basic rules in baseball, they may continue to find ways to overcome their disadvantages.  That is what the switch to the 15-day IL for pitchers and the three-batter rule accomplishes, IMO.  Game times, you say?  Hah!

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  15. 51 minutes ago, BamaOsFan said:

    Yes it will. Also as the article states:

    <Teams won’t be able to use the IL as a precaution for relatively minor injuries in 2020>

    I'm pretty sure that this just means that it is more problematic, given the 15-day requirement for pitchers versus 10 days.  MLB isn't going into the medical field, as I don't believe that they will be going behind teams' medical staffs and making any kind of determination as to what constitutes "minor."  If teams want to IL a guy over something relatively "minor" they still can, but a pitcher must stay on the IL at least 15 days.

  16. 2 hours ago, Frobby said:

    Maybe the NFL should require the kicker to be someone who was on the field the play before the kick.    That would be entertaining.   

    There was a time that it wasn't all that uncommon for kickers to also play another position.  The Colts' Lou Michaels was a defensive tackle.  Paul Hornung was the Packers' place kicker for a while, in addition to being their starting halfback.  George Blanda kicked and was the Raiders' backup quarterback.  Otto Graham punted in addition to being a HOF QB.  IIRC, Joe Don Looney was a backup RB and punted for the Colts for a season or two; and the Colts' Steve Myhra was a backup offensive lineman and linebacker in addition to his place-kicking duties - a three-way player.  I believe the roster limits were less back then ( 40 active players IIRC), so I'm sure that was a big reason that players needed to be able to do more than just kick in many cases.



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  17. 15 minutes ago, DrungoHazewood said:

    I remember the announcers constantly saying that Rick Dempsey hit more line drives right at fielders than anyone ever.  Today we'd just look at his batting average on line drives and we'd know for sure.  I have my doubts.

    I don't remember that.  I remember him pulling a lot of foul line drives.  Not that my memory is always accurate.

  18. 3 hours ago, DrungoHazewood said:

    Sending a bunch of new baseball scouts to Europe would be similar to English cricket teams blanketing the US with scouts.  Every once in a while you might uncover a raw prospect.  But the ROI might not be great.

    With all the hard foul balls he hit, I bet Rick Dempsey would have been great at cricket.  😀

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