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Number5

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Everything posted by Number5

  1. Unbelievable. The Orioles' 10th round pick last year signed for $5K. Every team has signings like that every year. You should "check the numbers before spewing such unsupported crap." Taking the "average" of a specific round is foolhardy, since million dollar signings skew the average and not every team is going to take their under-slot signings in the exact same round every year. Last year the Orioles steep under-slot signings were in rounds 7 and 10. In 2018 they were in rounds 9 and 10. In 2017, they were in rounds 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10. Every year. Every team. Look it up.
  2. https://forum.orioleshangout.com/forums/index.php?/forum/30-other-sports/
  3. Exactly. I was responding to the poster's comment that only guys drafted in rounds 37-40 most years receive low bonuses, which is quite obviously wrong. One thing to note is that a lot of guys that would have been drafted in rounds 6-10 in other years actually have a bit more leverage this year, in that they are on the open market and stand a better chance of receiving a $20K bonus than they would have in past years being drafted. That's why I posted that it wouldn't surprise me if some of these guys actually get a little more than they would have in prior years. In the past seniors in that situation had little choice but to sign for what was being offered by the team that drafted them. $20k > $5k. They couldn't shop the offer with another MLB team to see if they might get $15 or 20k from another MLB team. I wasn't addressing the number of players being signed at all, though I agree that there will most likely be fewer total signings per team due to both minor league contraction and the fact that there will likely me no minor league seasons due to COVID.
  4. Well, it certainly makes sense that he will likely sign for less having been picked at 1.5 than he would have had he been taken at 1.2. If the rumors that Boras was talking to the Orioles about 1.1 slot money, Boras may well have ended up costing Martin a lot of money, given that over-slot at 1.2 wasn't in the Orioles' game plan. If Boras somehow manages to get the Blue jays to pay 1.1 or 1.2 money for Martin, when they have less slot money to work with, Boras' reputation as the top player agent for maximizing salary would grow even more.
  5. This isn't true. Rounds 6-10 are rounds that most often include guys signed to small bonuses, not just rounds 37-40. That is what enables teams to sign over-slot guys. The slot numbers for only the first 10 rounds are added up to get teams' total bonus pools. Teams need to have under-slot guys in the first 10 rounds in order to have the money to sign over-slot guys. That's why we see college seniors sign for amounts like $5K in rounds 6-10 most years. Possibly even round 5 sometimes. I'd say that some of these guys will actually sign for a little more this year than they would have in other years.
  6. https://ragincajuns.com/sports/baseball/roster/brandon-young/7161
  7. Looks like he started for Virginia Tech as a freshman and as a sophomore. I wonder why he transferred to Radford for his junior year? Good hitting college player. Will be interesting to see if he can take the next step. Certainly seems to be worth taking a low-risk flyer on.
  8. I'm guessing that some of the better ones will take their time deciding which team to sign with (or retuning to school.) It will be interesting to see whether the big market and/or talent-loaded teams have an advantage in this signing free-for-all or the teams that might present a better opportunity to progress in the system.
  9. If the draft order next year is determined in the standard way, I think we may have some real surprises in the order. There are always teams that underperform and overperform, but this year, in particular, may have some strange results record-wise, due to the expected short season. Winning and losing streaks will have a larger impact on the final results this year, IMO.
  10. So, if I understand it correctly, we can exceed slot by 5%, or a little under $700K, without penalty. If so, looks like we need to come in about $1.5 million total under slot between Kjerstad, Westburg, Haskin, and Servideo to avoid penalty, based on the numbers reported for Mayo and Baumler.
  11. According to the Des Moines Register, Baumler turned down two teams' offers before the Orioles picked him. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2020/06/draft-signings-61320.html
  12. IIRC, AR had a strong majority, but Witt had support, as well.
  13. OK, and Boston was caught cheating previously. Hello?
  14. Why would that reduce the penalty? Does a bank robber receive a lesser sentence if he only robs banks on Tuesdays? Not trying to give you a hard time, I just really don't understand. Boston is the team that caused the commissioner's warning to the teams in the first place. Seems to me that their penalty should have been at least what Houston got, if not more.
  15. Other teams didn't have enough money available.
  16. Do you know why Boston received a lesser penalty than Houston?
  17. Martin played on the USA team with Kjerstad. Kjerstad did outhit both Martin and Tork for the team, but Martin was on the team.
  18. I saw that, too, and it made me wonder why he went undrafted. My guess was defense, but I don't know.
  19. Seems like some want to get rid of both the scouts and the analysts and just roll with the top ranked guy on the latest BA, Keith Law, or MLB.com ranking. I mean, if our scouts and analysts are "lunatics" whenever they deviate from those internet lists, why have scouts and analysts at all, right?
  20. I'm not so sure about that. It was reported that KC was talking to Kjerstad the morning of the draft regarding the #4 pick. KC then passed on Martin when he was surprisingly available to them. Connecting the dots, KC may well have had Kjerstad higher on their board than Martin. I'm sure KC would have done their homework on Martin, since it was certainly possible for the Orioles to take Gonzales and Miami to take Lacy, based on numerous reports concerning those teams and players. I think it is possible that teams that did a lot of work on Martin may have viewed Martin as strictly a 2B in the big leagues and just didn't put him in the top 4 or 5 of the draft. Heck, playing devils' advocate, it seems possible to me that Toronto hadn't really looked all that deeply into Martin, as much the teams ahead of them may have, since they may have felt it was a foregone conclusion that he would be gone before they were on the clock. Seems like just about every iteration of mock drafts had Martin either 1, 2, 3, or 4. Who knows, maybe Kjerstad was the Blue Jays' guy and we blew up their board. Maybe faced with a decision that had to be made in 5 minutes they just went with the guy that was the internet consensus. Point is, we really don't know what MLB teams thought of either Kjerstad or Martin, and I think it is fair to say that Toronto probably didn't base their preparations on taking Martin at 1.5. Is it possible that Martin turns out to be the best pick of the draft? Sure! But just maybe it will turn out being Kjerstad! Hey, I can dream, can't I?
  21. 30 hits in 16 games! Holy smokes. Hits the ball hard to all fields. I tell you what, watching him run, he doesn't look like the lumbering oaf some on this board would have you believe he is.
  22. Yes. In fact, I was reading the morning of draft day that Kansas City was in discussions with him about the 4th pick. It is worth noting that KC did not draft Martin when presented the opportunity to do so.
  23. I haven't seen anybody, anywhere that rates Kjerstad as a second-rounder.
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