I don't really disagree with anything you are relating here. But Philip, I want to point out something. Your judgement on the offseason is short sighted and is simply not high on the priorities of what the club is doing. So, to me arguing about whether the offseason is a success is completely missing the point. Your focus is solely on building a winning ML roster for 2020. This is not what Elias is working towards. Others, and not necessarily you, accuse those holding this opinion to blind following of Elias when this point comes up, but again, I think it is a paper tiger. The Orioles are doing a complete rebuild. They said it and 1 year in it's pretty clear that is what is going on. Winning the offseason, will mean things that will have nothing to do with the roster in March....because whether anyone likes it or not, the roster for at least another year is going to be put together as cheaply as possible. Anyone with any value who is deemed unlikely to be here during the next successful run is for sale and the asking price is always going to be heavily geared to that next window and once again, not this offseason and certainly not the 2020 roster.
Elias is only a year in. I have no concrete opinion on how well or how poorly he is doing. But I do agree that he has a very clear idea of what he is trying to do and what ownership is allowing him to do. I also think over the course of the next year or so, there should be insight towards progress in the infrastructure as well as the talent pool for the Orioles. Elias cannot claim to be rebuilding and and be losing 105 games a year into the middle of the 2020's. But I am also not going to really worry about some of the better looking pieces that get moved. We want to be able to see the merits of each and every daily move. The reality is that some of them are going to look meaningless because they are...and some of them will look meaningless...until the meaning becomes clear.
We don't like this because we want to answer our poll now. Trading Villar, our best player because we wouldn't pay 10M seems dumb given that in spite of saving money, we really don't have a replacement. But once you understand, Villar doesn't need a replacement, because the focus and reasons for most every move are not based on the best lineup in 2020, it becomes easier to see beyond the move. Again, time will tip the scale and Elias will eventually have to produce some results. And I don't think it is blindly following to understand that properly assessing the rebuild requires a bit more of the foundation work to be completed. Judging the rebuild based on demolition is just premature.
Personally, I hope that by this time next year we can begin to see some progress, but I don't know. These things take time. I'm in. I had no idea Villar would be my favorite player this year. I wish him well next year and I cannot wait to see who comes forward this year. Or in the hopes of completing the demolition...who comes off the roster this year...CD.
Anyway, I hope you can see how someone could both agree with your view and yet still not your assessment.