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Everything posted by Tryptamine

  1. You might as well just says he's not available then. No one is going to give up that type of payment for a guy who has never pitched a full season, due to repeated arm fatigue, and has his peripherals. Yes, he's obviously underestimated by FIP and xFIP because they don't take into consideration quality of contact much in the way Kyle Hendricks is, but you're also talking about a guy who has posted a 4.26 ERA, 7.32 K/9 since the spider tack crack down on June 15th. There's too much uncertainty floating around him to warrant that kind of package. If Robert Hassell and a back end of the Padre to
  2. Just about every single time an article gets posted here, someone goes on a rant about how it's terrible, it's lazy, the writer hates the Orioles, they don't know what they're talking about, etc. Not every article, especially national articles, need or want incredibly in depth analysis. As far as an article about why the pitching is bad, the average baseball fan isn't nearly educated enough in advanced statistics to understand it, nor do most want to. You have to remember that 95+% of fans idea of advanced stats are OPS and whip, so taking the time to write these advanced articles that
  3. I'm not sure they're the 1st,2nd or even the 3rd worst team as currently constructed. I think the Cubs,Dbacks and Nationals claim those spots. Since throwing the combined no hitter against the Dodgers on June 24th the Cubs have gone 10-32 good for a league worst .238 winning percentage over that stretch. There's a lot of terrible in MLB right now.
  4. I'm still not sure what to make of Kilian. He's absolutely destroying the minors this year. Has an absurdly low bb%, is 94-96 and touching 98. Has a put away secondary, but the reviews are pretty bland. Clearly Hoyer sees something that isn't being reported. The results do not match the write ups at all.
  5. I wonder if they're set on extending him. They have an enormous amount of money available to grab a Correa/Story type.
  6. I love it. Hoyer has killed it so far.
  7. Not actively shopping people in one of the more seller friendly markets we've seen recently is a mistake.
  8. I was actually pretty surprised by how good the Rizzo haul was. I didn't think they'd get a 50 fv prospect let alone a 50 and 45.
  9. Yup a good haul for Graveman. Not a superstar, but a guy who could give you 3fWAR seasons for cheap.
  10. Cubs got Oakland's #9 and #12 for Chafin. Oakland has a pretty bad farm, but it's still a nice haul for a rental on a mid reliever.
  11. You guys are massively underestimating what it would take to get Ramirez. In his down year of 2019 he was worth 3.4 fwar, every other year since 2016 he has been worth at least, or on pace to exceed, 4.7 fwar. He has 2 very cheap club options in '22-23. He would certainly bring back multiple top 10 prospects and need a headliner like Grayson.
  12. It's not that simple. What likely happened is that a certain $ amount was floated to a pool of players. A dollar amount that allowed him to make certain moves later in the draft as a strategy. For all we know, Kjerstad may have been the only one to agree. With that said, the general consensus, by a lot more than one site, is that Hjerstad is not up to the Martin,Lacy, Gonzales and maybe even Veen level, but he's not terribly far off and still a top 100-125 guy with a fairly low risk factor by prospect standards.
  13. Even if he doesn't have a designated position, he'll still likely see 500PAs this year, especially with the notoriously fragile Pham. Unlike some in this thread have said, he certainly wont be cheap to acquire. 5 years of control for a guy who was on 4+fWAR pace last year is going to require a big impact player or top notch prospects.
  14. Can we stop with this already. People saw him make a bad fielding gaffe in the 2015 playoffs and since then they think he's a complete defensive butcher. He's a slightly below average defensive left fielder with a plus arm.
  15. It was certainly disappointing as a fan because this means a rebuild is coming instead of the 1 or 2 year retool we thought was coming, but value wise I thought it was pretty good. 2 if not 3 of those prospects will be top 10 in the system by the asb and when added to cristian hernandez and Ed Howard the farm is pretty loaded at the lowest levels.
  16. I know they're young so everyone likes to use throw away terms like "lottery tickets" but 3 of the 4 prospects the Cubs got were in the Fantrax top 250 and several have said they may put Preciado in the top 100 as he has already surpassed Robert Puasson who was the #2 prospect in the 2019 international class. So yes they're very far off,but 3 of them have big impact upside albeit risky.
  17. Really good haul. Patino is a stud, Hunt has tremendous helium where some are talking top 100, wilcox was a 1st round talent who slid due to questionable signability. I still believe Mejia will hit and Zunino is a great guy to mentor his defense to less awful or even passable.
  18. Almora's once highly praised CF defense has fallen off. He has always been a guy with average speed, but excellent jumps, but now even those jumps are just good. The defense no longer makes up for his terrible bat. It's an absolute shame to, because he was breaking out before the incident with the foul ball and the little girl.
  19. So your opinion is they're going to give away a 5fwar player and the draft pick attached to him through the QO all so they can save the salary and net a couple guys who have a sub 10% chance at ever sniffing the majors and a far lower chance at being an everyday player, even though they could have saved the money by non tendering him? By the way, the Cub payroll is already down considerably with Lester and Schwarber gone, so I don't think they're near as desperate as you think.
  20. If they needed to shed his salary they wouldn't have tendered him a contract at all. I'm not naive enough to think he's going to net a haul, but in a market where 37 year old Charlie Morton just got 15M for 2021, 28 year old Bryant, 34 games off a 5fwar season is going to bring something decent.
  21. I'm very aware, just like you're very aware that generalizing it as "just the flu" is meant to trivialize the severity of the situation.
  22. So which is it, are you willfully ignorant or you just get off on trying to rile people up?
  23. Not a lot of room for doubt anymore
  24. Good lord guys, it was obviously tongue in cheek, but keep getting angry about mostly nothing.
  25. Appel never missed as many bats as his stuff would suggest it might, which is why I wanted the Cubs to take Bryant or Jon Gray over him in the draft that year. Thankfully the Astros made the decision for them.
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