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Posts posted by Tryptamine

  1. You guys are massively underestimating what it would take to get Ramirez. In his down year of 2019 he was worth 3.4 fwar, every other year since 2016 he has been worth at least, or on pace to exceed, 4.7 fwar. He has 2 very cheap club options in '22-23. He would certainly bring back multiple top 10 prospects and need a headliner like Grayson.

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  2. 3 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

    Well as I said, I’m not considering the pitchers in this...Elias was never going to draft one.  Whether you agree with that (I personally do) or not isn’t the point.  He just wasn’t doing it.

    So, it’s Kjerstad vs Martin vs Gonzalez vs Veen.  That’s the discussion.  Gonzalez and Veen would have signed under slot too.  Martin wouldn’t have.  

    It's not that simple. What likely happened is that a certain $ amount was floated to a pool of players. A dollar amount that allowed him to make certain moves later in the draft as a strategy. For all we know, Kjerstad may have been the only one to agree. With that said, the general consensus, by a lot more than one site, is that Hjerstad is not up to the Martin,Lacy, Gonzales and maybe even Veen level, but he's not terribly far off and still a top 100-125 guy with a fairly low risk factor by prospect standards. 

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  3. 5 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

    Because the Padres just acquired Ha-seong Kim to a four-year contract and now he most likely does not have a starting spot with them, Because of that, they might be inclined to move him if they think he has starter value around the league. 

    Even if he doesn't have a designated position, he'll still likely see 500PAs this year, especially with the notoriously fragile Pham. Unlike some in this thread have said, he certainly wont be cheap to acquire. 5 years of control for a guy who was on 4+fWAR pace last year is going to require a big impact player or top notch prospects.

  4. 18 hours ago, weams said:

    I feel that they got a good return as it was a salary deal.

    It was certainly disappointing as a fan because this means a rebuild is coming instead of the 1 or 2 year retool we thought was coming, but value wise I thought it was pretty good. 2 if not 3 of those prospects will be top 10 in the system by the asb and when added to cristian hernandez and Ed Howard the farm is pretty loaded at the lowest levels.

  5. I know they're young so everyone likes to use throw away terms like "lottery tickets" but 3 of the 4 prospects the Cubs got were in the Fantrax top 250 and several have said they may put Preciado in the top 100 as he has already surpassed Robert Puasson who was the #2 prospect in the 2019 international class. So yes they're very far off,but 3 of them have big impact upside albeit risky.

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  6. Really good haul. Patino is a stud, Hunt has tremendous helium where some are talking top 100, wilcox was a 1st round talent who slid due to questionable signability. I still believe Mejia will hit and Zunino is a great guy to mentor his defense to less awful or even passable.

  7. Almora's once highly praised CF defense has fallen off. He has always been a guy with average speed, but excellent jumps, but now even those jumps are just good. The defense no longer makes up for his terrible bat. It's an absolute shame to, because he was breaking out before the incident with the foul ball and the little girl. 

  8. 21 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

    Well why NT him when you can likely can trade him for players?

    So your opinion is they're going to give away a 5fwar player and the draft pick attached to him through the QO all so they can save the salary and net a couple guys who have a sub 10% chance at ever sniffing the majors and a far lower chance at being an everyday player, even though they could have saved the money by non tendering him? By the way, the Cub payroll is already down considerably with Lester and Schwarber gone, so I don't think they're near as desperate as you think.

  9. 8 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:

    Unless they need to shed his salary now

    If they needed to shed his salary they wouldn't have tendered him a contract at all. I'm not naive enough to think he's going to net a haul,  but in a market where 37 year old Charlie Morton just got 15M for 2021, 28 year old Bryant, 34 games off a 5fwar season is going to bring something decent. 

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  10. On 12/29/2019 at 9:42 AM, 7Mo said:

    Lots of people believed that about Mark Appel and Brady Aiken too once upon a time. 

    Appel never missed as many bats as his stuff would suggest it might, which is why I wanted the Cubs to take Bryant or Jon Gray over him in the draft that year.  Thankfully the Astros made the decision for them.

  11.  If you get #1, and yes I know a ton can change, you have to take Kumar Rocker. He has a combination of size, velocity and multiple filthy offerings. He's the kind of guy who could end up a top 5 pitcher in the game if things break right.

  12. It's a guise to put more money in mlb owner pockets. They've done it over and over. They added the slotting system to lower draft costs pretending it was for competitive reasons. They instituted a soft salary cap that only escalates 2M a year pretending, once again, pretending that it was for competitive reasons.  They're pushing for an international draft pretending it's going to keep the kids from getting taken advantage of when all it does is lower their signing bonuses. Now they want to cut MILB teams and just recently Manfred mentioned removing milb entirely and creating their own minor league system. This would allow them to negotiate with milb park owners individually, essentially crushing their union and removing just about all their leverage. Manfred isn't there to make baseball better, he's an owner mouthpiece tasked with putting money in their pockets. 

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  13. 49 minutes ago, Luke-OH said:

    Agreed, Bundy isn’t worth Schwarber or Happ alone. #2 might be reasonable depending on how high on Davis one is. I haven’t seen him so I don’t really know, it would be feasible based on his midseason Fangraphs grade, but being a young guy who has tools and has really performed, I imagine his stock could have risen significantly since then.

    Yeah, I'd safely say Hoerner,Amaya,Davis and Marquez wouldn't be involved, but I wouldn't be shocked if any of the others were. I wonder if there would be any interest in Russell or Almora as part of a deal on the Orioles end.

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  14. On 8/1/2019 at 11:57 AM, bpilktree said:

    I'd add De La Cruz and drop Shephard in a heart beat.  I think he is similar to Tate didn't work as starter but could be nice bullpen guy coming in throwing mid to upper 90s.  He has more upside then quite a few guys on the 40 man right now.  

    His days of hitting the upper 90s are gone. Too fragile, too many injuries and he's sit more lower to mid 90s these days. I very much doubt his arm could handle going back to back days.

  15. 2 hours ago, Lucky_13 said:

    Wonder if they could use Mancini

    With Freeman at 1st and two nearly MLB ready OF prospects in baseball's top 30 prospects I can't imagine they'd want a long term option. As soon as 2020 they could be looking at an Acuna/Pache/Waters OF which would be pretty insane.

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