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jamalshw

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Everything posted by jamalshw

  1. How will that play out in a shortened season? Would be be less likely to lose focus? Particularly after what was likely a humbling offseason where he didn't get nearly the attention he expected. Of course, one could also argue the lack of fans could help him lose interest. Camden Yards is quite the favorable park. He could get off to a hot start. All in all, I'm okay with adding him, but am fine with passing, too.
  2. Maybe Ruiz or Martin take a notable step forward? In the OF, I expect one of Stewart or Santander to make some noise and keep himself in the mix in 2021 while the other fails spectacularly. I'm not sure which...and don't really have any concrete reason for believing this. On the mound, could we see someone like Hess or Tate turn things around a put up some quality relief innings to get themselves back on the radar?
  3. It's an interesting point about Nunez. His trade value may jump a bit with more places to play, but I still don't see him as a trade chip to offer too much back outside of a lottery ticket. For me, the biggest players to watch are: Mychal Givens - I think he is the one that can do the most in the season to get traded. He has the stuff to intrigue teams already, if he can pitch well and be "on" for the first month and get dealt for a quality package at the end of August, that would be huge. Austin Hays - I think he's the most interesting piece as he's the one with the most potential upside of those that are likely to get much playing time this year. D.J. Stewart and Anthony Santander - If either one completely falters, they get bypassed by the likes of Mountcastle, Diaz, etc. and they likely lose any chance of being a contributor on this team beyond this year. A mediocre showing keeps them in the mix and a very good two months could elevate them to a spot where one of Mountcastle, Diaz, etc have to prove they can unseat them. Chris Davis - I think a really bad two months makes him someone the front office may finally drop at the end of the year with youngster on the way. With Mancini out and the team likely reluctant to start Mountcastle's clock, Davis could get a lot of playing time. This could be it...unless ST part 1 wasn't a fluke.
  4. In the old days, there wasn't free agency either and the six/seven years service time clock so you could afford to develop a player on the bench, picking and choosing spots to play. Now, that would just leave you with half of their service time left before they go to free agency. For some of our prospects, that may be a viable option, but the younger ones would just be getting into their prime and be gone. I agree having every team in the same boat minimizes the concern for the Orioles specifically, but the O's--along with the other rebuilding teams--are in a position where minors development is a bit more of a focus compared to the contending teams. I would like the idea of having all the minor league players who are willing (not make in mandatory as some may be high-risk or live with high-risk folks), report to one of the local minor league camps (not being used for the taxi squad) and have them play each other. For the taxi squad, I'd have some guys like Diaz, Mountcastle, Kremer, Akin and others who were deemed likely to play this year and play it by ear on whether they are actually added to the roster at any point.
  5. I'm all for hastening the pace, but don't want a clock on the total length. I'm not sure I"m buying the analogy and the best option to hasten the pace would be to enforce the rules rather than just accept that they're ignored. As for your last point, I agree to a point, but I think what I enjoy about baseball is that I don't have to carve out Sunday at 1 p.m. (or whatever time my team is playing that week) from my schedule. Because baseball is played those 20+ hours a week I will have ample opportunity to catch a couple games (and likely parts of a couple more). I'm not sure the intent should be for baseball to try and get everybody to watch every inning of every game. There are, of course, the hardcore fans that will. I was in that group before having kids, but most people as you say have busy schedules, other commitments and other entertainment options. The availability of baseball most everyday for half the year is what I love about it (and sorely miss right now). As you note, it's place is something in the background, but I'd argue it's more than that. It's something that can be consumed live, yet still somewhat on-demand in this very on-demand culture. That, to me, is one of it's greatest appeal. It's a game that I have ample opportunity to watch live giving me that flexibility I need, but also one that when I do watch I can remove myself from the constant clock-watching that I'm otherwise so focused on during my day-to-day life with so much scheduled out.
  6. I don't know how to think about this draft...and I think that makes sense given it was a 5-round draft without much 2020 information available. As such, everyone is gravitating towards "old" data when we know how much a year can change someone's draft status. And I don't tend to look at much college or prep guys until the year of the draft anyway so I don't really know much about any of these players. I think it was an interesting strategy to take with such a high draft pick and some seemingly great options available. But...I'm willing to wait and see.
  7. Call me old school or a traditionalist, but I don't like that at all. I am reluctant about the pitch clock and adding clocks to the game at all, but can accept that as a method of speeding up pace. I'm not sure if total length really makes a huge difference in the excitement level compared to pace. If it's a fun, exciting product I want more of it, not less. I guess in this case maybe there might be "too much of a good thing," but I like the idea of a game not controlled by the clock when so much else in our lives are controlled by it. Now on the idea of a 16-team playoff, I can get behind that for the 2020 season, but also don't want to see that in a "normal" season. I liked the 8-team playoff structure. I'm okay with a 10-team and could, potentially, accept a 12-team (depending on the structure), but I don't want half--or more--or the league making the playoffs. That waters down a regular season. If you're going to do that, why have more than 80 games?
  8. I'm open for allowing trades, but restricting the trading of draft picks to when that pick is on the clock would certainly make for some added drama. The problem would be preventing these deals from leaking beforehand.
  9. It seems the Boston cheating was a lot less defined in the report compared to the Astros. I find it interesting that Cora was key to implementing the cheating in Houston, but went to Boston and didn't bring a similarly robust system with him and had basically no involvement in the cheating that was done. That seems odd to me. Maybe Boston just did a better job coordinating what was presented to the investigation to pin the reply guy as the fall-guy.
  10. I root for storylines. I won't root for anyone other than the Orioles when they play the Orioles, but I do like fun story lines. So, early in the season I don't tend to root for any other team and I don't have any long term (multi-year) rooting interests in teams, but if an underdog team emerges akin to the Orioles and A's in 2012, then I'm onboard for that. I'll casually root for the Angels because I want to see Trout in meaningful games down the stretch and in the postseason.
  11. I'm not sure service time is a consideration for Akin. He's already 25 and not expected to be an elite pitcher. He's a back-end of the rotation/swing-man type. Certainly there is value there during his pre-arb years, but I'm not sure buying that seventh year is relevant. Ultimately, there are things for Akin to do in Triple-A to polish his game and his demotion (to me) was more about keeping the depth. We are going to cycle through a ton of pitchers this year and we will undoubtedly see Akin in 2020.
  12. I wonder if the old regime got into his head after he resigned as a Free Agent. It was clear that the signing was Angelos and not DD and company. I wonder if their biggest concern was health and they communicated that to him when he was signed. It wouldn't surprise me. In any case, it's at least encouraging to think he has a chance (albeit remote) to not be a complete waste of a roster spot even if he's still going to be vastly overpaid. Honestly, I'll be happy if he can get back to being a replacement level player.
  13. Because "doesn't throw well" is relative. Not throwing well in comparison to professional baseball players is much different than in comparison to high schoolers, even down in Florida. He must have been athletic enough to field the position and the arms was good enough to get by against much lesser competition.
  14. I would love to get Mateo and Neuse and give them a shot at 2B and 3B. The problem is, would Givens be enough for them to bite? I know there is a roster crunch concern here, but I'd have to imagine they'd be able to offer this package around and get some interest from other rebuilding teams as well.
  15. I have high hopes for Bannon to be one of those guys that out-performs his rankings. Ideally, he can prove himself as a solid 2B option for a call up should Alberto be able to replicate his success and become a viable trade candidate mid-season or should someone go down to injury though I imagine if he really rakes in Triple-A, he'll get a call up midyear regardless.
  16. I was hoping Wells would be able to get in a couple games and make some big league hitters look bad to have a bit of a mental impression on the staff who may question whether his stuff will play in the big leagues. Hopefully he pitches well in Triple-A to earn a chance later in the year regardless.
  17. That's true, though there's enough talk about Henderson to 3B already that I'm skeptical he sticks. Hernaiz, however, is a more than fair point.
  18. Agreed. I was stunned by how high he's ranked, but some of that also plays into how much concern he's showing for Hays and Mountcastle in their walk rates. But, if Hall can develop into a solid regular at either 2B or SS, that would be a huge for the team as he's about the only middle infield prospect we have at the moment.
  19. Honestly, if Nunez can develop into a serviceable defender that would be huge. I think there's a bit more wiggle room defensively at third (if Nunez can make the plays he's supposed to) given Iglesias is at SS. Nunez at 3B opens up more for Mancini at 1B/DH and clears a path for Mountcastle and eventually Diaz. While 3B is a rather deep position in baseball right now, it does also make Nunez a bit more marketable come July should he prove he can do a bit more than just stand at the spot. We will see.
  20. I'm not sure this was Elias saying he likes Velazquez more than Urena as much as it was him saying he likes the gamble of having both of them with the downside of just Velazquez more than having only Urena.
  21. In such a fantasy world, similarly unlikely things could happen like Cobb finishing in the top-3 for Cy Young and Austin Hays and Ryan Mountcastle finishing first and second in the AL Rookie of the Year voting. In such a world, a mid-80 win season may be possible. In a world with no other miracle happening in the season and the rest of the players producing within their likely range of outcomes, the Orioles COULD win enough to avoid 100 losses, but pitching is still the biggest issue. Now...back to reality where a replacement level season from Davis would be a pleasant surprise.
  22. I'm excited to see if any of the guys we added to the fringes of our roster can make a jump and be a contributor (a la Hanser Alberto last year). I'd love if one of the Herrera, Rondon, Valaika, Urena, Urias infielders become a useful piece and/or someone like Rodgers, Bailey, Stewart, or Rucker showed himself to be a piece that could have some higher than anticipated upside.
  23. Honestly, I think the best case scenario is a .180/.280/.400 type season and while that is a massive improvement over the last two years, it's still not where you need him to be to be useful. The problem is, however, it may just be enough to allow him to continue to hold on to his 26-man roster spot. I think the best case scenario for the team is similar results to what he got in 2018-2019 with the Orioles finally giving up and cutting bait once Mountcastle is ready.
  24. I'm actually quite surprised at how much the Dodgers have been willing to give up on their SP depth this off season. Hill and Ryu walk which made since given their depth, particularly from the left side. They just traded Maeda and Stripling now though. Sure, they get Price and have him along with Kershaw and Buehler at the top, but what comes next? I guess they're counting on Wood bouncing back and Julio Urias finally giving them a full season in the rotation? Of course, they do still have May and Gonsolin along with some others ready to graduate, but Stripling was a righty with a bit more experience. It seems they're now set to start the year with four southpaws in the rotation. With Stripling in Anaheim now, is it possible Bundy doesn't make the rotation or gets demoted during the season? Tehran, Ohtani and Stripling are probably ahead of him (though Stripling's experience as a swing man may come into play). Heaney is the "established" guy on the team and Griffin Canning showed some promise. I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility that--barring injury--Bundy could find himself going to the bullpen at some point. Unless Ohtani can become an ace after not pitching last season, this team still lacks top end arms, but the rotational depth is a lot better now.
  25. I view him almost as injury insurance this spring. I don't think the Orioles want Akin or Kremer in the rotation to start the year. If Cobb is healthy, we have Cobb, Means and Wojo in the rotation with Stewart and Bailey? Rucker is an option, but I think he's more likely in competition for the pen. LeBlanc could beat out Stewart, but it seems more so that they're looking to fill the April and May innings with someone other than the rookies and need quantity to help ensure that.
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