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Spy Fox

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Everything posted by Spy Fox

  1. The World Series is happening, with fans, in the midst of one of the more serious surges of the pandemic. (Non New York category.) So yeah, with that as a precedent + a whole winter to prepare, I think the most likely outcome is a full season and even some amount of fan attendance from day 1.
  2. It's surprising Manny only has 2 GGs. Though he had to contend with one of the steadiest 3b ever in Beltre, and he didn't do himself any favors moving the same league as Arenado.
  3. Over. Yes the team's record deteriorated down the stretch, but the second half performances of Mountcastle/Akin/Kremer, and a few others to a lesser extent, make me think that next year's team will be overall more talented than this year's. My personal over/under would be more like 70.5 or 71.5.
  4. Who needs all this research when we all know the answer is Robert Andino vs the 2011 Red Sox.
  5. Home games for the top seeds in round 1. Neutral sites in Houston and Dallas for the NLDS and NLCS. Neutral sites in LA and SD for the ALDS and ALCS. World Series is in Dallas.
  6. AL RAYS over Blue Jays, WHITE SOX over Athletics, TWINS over Astros, INDIANS over Yankees RAYS over Indians, TWINS over White Sox TWINS over Rays NL DODGERS over Brewers, REDS over Braves, CUBS over Marlins, PADRES over Cubs DODGERS over Padres, REDS over Cubs DODGERS over Reds World Series DODGERS over Twins in 6
  7. Mountcastle will retain his rookie eligibility next year, having finished the season with 140 PAs but 126 ABs, leaving him four ABs shy of the 130 AB rookie threshold. Also, Austin Hays finished with 134 PAs but 122 ABs, leaving him eight ABs shy of 130— I'm not sure, will he still be a rookie next year as well? Or was he technically on the MLB roster for 45 days pre-September? (I'm not sure how this works with the IL and the shortened season.)
  8. Nice article. The findings show 10 consecutive years of improving home plate umpire accuracy from '08 to '18, with the overall miss rate dropping from 16% to 9% in that span. Amazing to see how much worse they still are-- 20% inaccurate-- at calling called strike 3s in particular.
  9. What do the 34-year-olds hitting .122 with 0 HRs think? Bonus points if they have an OPS+ of -2.
  10. From Fangraphs batted ball data it appears Mullins now has 7 hits in 10 bunts this season, and 8 hits in 34 non-bunts. Swinging is how he gives up outs!
  11. For about 1 day, with Givens traded and Davis on the IL, I believe Castro was the longest tenured Oriole on the roster. Now that he’s gone, I think our longest tenured (by which I mean, had the earliest Orioles debut and hasn’t left the organization) player is probably one of the guys who got a first cup of coffee in ‘17. That includes Santander, Sisco, and Scott from the current active roster.
  12. Fun pitcher and I'll miss having him. When he's on he just zips high fastballs right by guys, and we haven't had many in that mold. It's a shame his worst season was the year he was asked to close. Not sure if those two are linked or not, but sure it will taint some folks' opinions of his tenure. He was good.
  13. May depend on the severity of Buxton's current injury. If he's healthy then Rosario/Buxton/Kepler is one of the best young outfields in the game.
  14. David Price is one of my favorite non-Orioles despite playing ~11 of his 12 seasons on three different AL East teams. Being a Yankee is the hardest to overcome. I liked Curtis Granderson even though he had his best offensive seasons there.
  15. Givens looking the best he has in a couple years.
  16. The defense was awful yesterday: Santander misplayed a single into a triple, extending the Nats rally from 1 to 2 runs in the 2nd. Alberto booted a routine inning-ending double play grounder. This indirectly led to all 3 runs in the top of the 3rd. On the very next play, a poor throw by Davis and failed transfer by Iglesias combined to prevent another would-be double play. This could have held the 3-run rally to 1 run. Hays, Smith, and Ruiz converged but failed to catch a routine popup in the 8th. The ball should have probably been Hays'. This would have been the 2nd out with only 2 runs across, and the next hitter flew out, so this indirectly led to 4 of the runs against Carroll in the 6-run 8th. That's 8 runs pretty squarely on the defense, not the pitching, in a game where Washington scored 15 despite only one home run, a solo.
  17. It's worth pointing out if it hasn't been said yet: the 2019 Orioles went 11-8 from July 3 - July 27 and lost 108 games. The 2018 Orioles—and man is it hard to find any successful stretch from that team— went 9-7 from May 9 to May 25 and lost 115 games. The worst teams in baseball history can still post a winning record for a few weeks. The starting pitching on this team is still bottom of the barrel. I'm excited about the results so far, but less because of the record and more because the likes of Alberto, Nunez, Santander, & Means are showing that they probably aren't 1-year wonders as major league regulars.
  18. Our good teams actually had mostly decent rotations-- especially in 2014. On that team Tillman was 13-6 with a 3.34, Chen was 15-6 with a 3.54, and Norris was 15-8 with a 3.65. Plus Miguel Gonzalez with a 3.23 in 26 starts and Kevin Gausman with a 3.57 in 20 starts. Five SPs 30 years old or younger with ERAs in the 3s. Our current rotation is Means and four 30-somethings whose last ERAs under 4 were either years ago or never. So, anything could happen in a short series, but our rotation has a long way to go before it matches the rotations from our last run of success.
  19. Idk what this thread is on about, we're still the #8 seed in the playoffs! 😆
  20. During that period the Orioles were 755 - 865 overall for a .466 winning percentage. Compared to .500 in doubleheaders, this shows that the Orioles are about 7% better at baseball during doubleheaders. Using that information and our current .555 winning percentage, we can expect the Orioles to pick up 1.19 wins today.
  21. Rio Wurie is the new Edwin Arncarnacion.
  22. To contend you generally need to be above average in several areas. This team may not be bottom of the barrel, especially with the chaos of the 2020 season leveling the playing field a bit, but they're still below average across the board. The most encouraging thing to me in one week of games is that Santander and Alberto appear not to be one-year wonders.
  23. Our nation's founding document states "all men are created equal," but its laws did not reflect that supposed equality for nearly 200 years. Its playing field still does not come close to reflecting it. For those wondering why "black lives matter" must be said, and then said again louder. As for the board, I am of two minds. If any public group of sports fans could have respectful and productive conversations about politics, it would probably be this one. But that's because of the terrific quality of thought that goes on here even in states of disagreement-- and I think the lack of politics has probably been one of the ingredients that has kept that quality going for so long. Tony, this board is a special place. Thanks for doing what you do to keep it that way and I hope it continues.
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