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seak05

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Posts posted by seak05

  1. 12 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:

    .964 OPS in the playoff games. He hit off some good pitching. Akron pitchers shut the rest of the team down. 

    Yeah, and a few nice defensive plays. In a high pressure position, he did very nicely at a high level. 

  2. Henderson has greater potential defensive value then Mayo, has performed at a higher level, he's also only 6 months older. 

    Henderson will probably be on nearly all top 100 lists this year, Mayo is a guy they'll be watching. They had a BA guy on the OTV podcast and asked about Mayo, basically what's holding him off of top100 lists is skepticism he'll stay at 3b and also his swing against better velocity.

     

    Personally I think their is a lot of bias towards where guys were ranked in the draft, and it takes a couple years for prospect lists to lose the bias & base it on pro performance. If Mayo had been a first/second round draft pick, he'd be on top 100 lists 

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  3. 4 hours ago, LookinUp said:

    I can't say this for a fact, but I do know that the O's are very very big on swing decisions. Knowing the count, tmking a good approach and not expanding even with 2 strikes. I don't know if he's looking at strike 3 that's over the plate or many that are just off the plate, but the belief is that the umpiring gets better at higher levels so the O's aren't knocking guys for taking strike three that's 2-3 inches outside, for example.

    Yeah, but this is like 7-8 in a row. That theory would hold for an occasional extra strikeout, and creating a slightly higher strikeout rate...not for this volume 

  4. It's interesting to see the same issue resurfacing at Bowie that hurt him at Aberdeen, and I don't mean the strikeouts per se...it's that so many of the strikeouts are looking 

  5. Gunnar definitely wouldn’t be up. He’d be overmatched at the major league level right now, and he’s not a plus defender. You would see Grayson up, but you wouldn’t have prior to this year, and you will next year. The only Orioles prospect who is being significantly impacted by service time manipulation is Adley. He would have been on the club this year, and conceivably last year.
     

    When doing any sort of teaching, you want to challenge people, but not to their frustration level. 

  6. 3 hours ago, LookinUp said:

    Good for him. As I said, I wouldn't want to work him too much in the majors, but he definitely gives me a reason to watch.

    The O's are going to screw up this #1 pick I think.

    Yeah, they've been semi-competent for the last week...and there are far to many terrible teams out there for that

  7. 15 minutes ago, Hazmat said:

    Great news, but is there a corresponding move with someone on the Shorebirds?  Cowser to A+?

    Several moves made today, Janvrin went to Aberdeen 

     

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  8. MLB level defensive SS don't grown on trees. Someone probably takes him if he isn't protected. Hall has one truly elite skill (speed), but he's never played above Single A, and he doesn't have a defensive home. Between the two I'd think you'd protect Grenier 

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  9. 29 minutes ago, Tony-OH said:

    He's not an org player for now, but he's a late Top-50 guy due to his contact issues, lack of power and defensive issues. He's worth continuing to follow but he looks a lot more like a Richie Martin type guy vs an everyday big leaguer.

    If he can become a good defender at a few positions (including OF), he could be the bench guy you carry to have a plus runner in the late innings. But that's a luxury position. 

     

    (but because of that I could also see him being taken in the rue 5 draft)

  10. 30 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    Grayson starts today in Reading, weather permitting.   My gut feeling is this could be his last start there.   That would leave time for 6-7 starts in Norfolk.   

    Credit John Sheperd for making me think about it, but given Bowie is in the playoff hunt, I wonder if there is some value in Rodriguez staying down, and pitching in situations with more on the line, and as part of a winning team. 

  11. Elias seems to value a prospect proving himself at every level. I could see a Grayson like trajectory next year though, where he starts at Aberdeen and potentially finishes in Norfolk. 

  12. 15 minutes ago, Frobby said:

    I’ve heard the opinion that Grenier is the best defensive SS in our system, but that still doesn’t tell me if he’d be an above average defender for a major league starting SS.  I’d need to know the answer to that question to know whether he could be a major league starter.   His bat has improved a bit, but I’m guessing he’d still be sub-.700 by at least a little as a major leaguer.   

    In March fangraphs gave him a 50/55 grade for his fielding. So potentially future above avg major league SS. It also has his speed at 70. A scout type view on it would be nice though

  13. 2 hours ago, sportsfan8703 said:

    Westburg’s arm.  He may have to move to 2B. 

    Except for one person, I haven't seen anyone questioning his arm

    2b is still an up the middle defensive position, on the defensive spectrum it is still extremely high (spectrum order can be debated, especially with increased shifting but it is at least equally as high as 3b)

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  14. 6 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:

    I'm pretty sure that teams make sure to send enough of a representation of players that the teams actually function as teams.  So the Orioles will have to send a certain number of pitchers and might be asked to send a catcher.

    If they're asked to send a catcher, you send Maverick or Hudgins. Generally you don't see top prospects in the AFL who have already made it to tripleA. In the past the top prospects have been guys who ended the season in double A (and single A). 

  15. We have two of the top prospects in baseball, including arguably the top overall prospect, and the top pitching prospect, plus several other top100 prospects. I think some of you all have a skewed perspective of other teams farm systems, if you don't think the Orioles are "upper echelon" (top overall is a different issue) 

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  16. Might make sense for Hall to go, depending on injury progression. Westburg would be a good choice, and some combo of Gunnar, Cowser, Stowers, Ortiz (injury dependent), Hall.

    No real reason to send any triple-A guys unless they missed time due to injury. 

  17. 2 hours ago, Frobby said:

    Fangraphs graded Adley a 65 at the beginning of the year before they moved him to 70.   Last year, Jo Adel was rated  a 65.   

    I'm quoting them 🤷‍♀️, and they don't have a 65 on the FV chart, maybe they use it occasionally for ranking purposes  

  18. Per fangraphs, there isn't really such a thing as a 65, at that level you don't need the differentiation (because you have fewer players). So for a position player a 70 FV grade is someone they except to avg 5-7 WAR over their first six seasons, essentially a top 10 overall position player 

    for a pitcher a 60 FV 

    #3 starters, 3.30 FIP, volume approaching 200 innings 3.5 to 4.9

     

    a 70 FV would be 

    #2 starters, FIP under 3, about 200 IP 5.0 to 7.0
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