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kidrock

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About kidrock

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  • Birthday 8/15/1988
  1. Yeah good point. Being bad has a lot of advantages from a playing time standpoint.
  2. That's exactly what I was thinking as well. Its hard to tell what is just natural talent and what is the new processes. I was expecting this team to be far worse and I am encouraged about the team. I think the only real way to tell is to look over a 5-8 year time horizon really.
  3. Question for the O's faithful here. How much stock/credit do you put in Elias/Sig's player development approach for some of the young guys on offense who are performing well? Do you give their "process" a lot of credit for some of the successes with Nunez, Alberto, Santander etc? Do you feel confident that, after a small sample size of their development process, that they can improve more players?
  4. I didn't see a thread posted on here (maybe I missed it), but Nick now has 505 career doubles. That's incredible. I miss him on the O's alot. Still wish Sabathia didn't hit him in the hand that year.
  5. A few colleagues at work were discussing whether or not they thought Chris Davis has been a bust so far (i know, only a month). The conclusion we came to is that we would like more from him especially considering his contract, but in no way is he a bust. That got us talking about other free agents and whether or not free agency was even worth it anymore and it got us looking at some of the top free agents: Yikes David Price Justin Upton Jason Heyward Good Mike Leake Jordan Zimmerman Yoenis Cespedes Johnny Cueto It seems like a lot of previous free agents have busted as well (Ellsbury, Cano until this year etc). The thing that really stinks is that when you are paying a player 20-30 million a year, you would expect really really good seasons upfront as players will age and their effectiveness will decline. Its crazy to see how many free agents have been horrible in their first few years. I guess it just comes down to a risk that you must be willing to take because paying a guy 100-200 millions doesn't guarantee anything anymore.
  6. Does anyone think that his stance this year at the play looks completely crazy? I'm not going to pretend to know more about hitting than JJ or anyone on the Orioles, but man it is hard to understand why he keeps his bat parallel to the ground. Am I crazy here or does anyone remember the first rule of batting being GET YOUR HANDS UP? Can anyone remember someone with a stance holding the bat parallel to the ground? I can remember some crazy stances like Tony Batista, but JJ looks nuts out there.
  7. Im not sure anyting could really get me to want Howard at this point in their career. .294, .319, .310 on base the last 3 years and .423, .465, .380 slugging the last 3 years for Howard. Not to mention the 30 mil he gets per year. I predict that he is barely a plus OWAR player over the next 2 years and not to mention, the guy isn't a good defender. DAVID LOUGH out-slugged Howardlast year (.385) Byrd has proven over the past 2 years that he can still hit and I think he could be good here. Also has the possibility of just hitting a wall due to age. Is it worth trading something of value to get Byrd, not really sure. I would lean on the side that trading for Byrd isnt worth it, but who knows. I'm not big on players 37 years old post steriod era, but that doesnt mean he can't put up good numbers.
  8. Does anyone know the post steroid era age numbers about a players peak, I thought it used to be 28-32. Even if those numbers are roughly correct, I still don't see the benefit of giving someone who is over 30 a deal over 4-5 years. I still remember when I was a teen, I would track every free agent and hoping they would come to the O's. Now I don't really care much about free agency. Sad.
  9. Boston's metropolitan media market is ranked 6th, Baltimore is 26th per stationranking.com
  10. Is anyone else feeling that big ticket free agents are no longer worth the price (on the whole)? It seems like most players are becoming free agents around the age of 29-32. At that point, can they even produce at a high level for 5 more years without the use of PEDs? A few examples: Stanton - Assuming he opts out of his contract at the age of 30, are you confident that, even if he is coming off five 40 homer seasons, that he will be worth a new contract of 250- 300+ mil at that age? He is a big guy who has already been hurt a few times (i know the ball to the face wasnt his body failing, just bad luck). Look at Arod, that guy was arguably worth his contract, but when he opted out and got a new contract, he couldnt even play a full season. Lester - the guy is 30 and coming off seasons with the following FIP: 3.83, 4.11, 3.59, 2.80. He already has 1600 innings on his arm plus playoff innings. Really good pitcher for sure, but is the guy worth 150+ mil over the next 6 seasons. Pablo Sandoval - The guy is a 250 pound 28 year old who has always has weight trouble. Its not like it gets easier to control you weight into you 30's. His OPS has decreased for 4 seasons (909, 789, 758,739). His on base has decreased as well (obviously influencing the OPS). I would have a hard time giving that guy 90 million. Pujols - This guys OPS was declining for 3 seasons before he signed his deal (1.114, 1.101, 1.011, .906). Granted, those were great seasons. At the age of 31, the angels decide to give him a 10 year deal and sure enough, his OPS has continued to fall almost each year (.859, .767, .790 - a slight uptick). I feel like free agency has just become a contest of who gives the dumbest contract and it ends up hurting teams who give out these contract. I look in the next few years for the O's to gain an advantage here because they are not locking themselves into these contracts. The smart thing to do is find low-medium priced value free agents and lock them up to short term deals (like Cruz). I know I was all over the place here and cherry picked my examples, but I just wanted to see what you guys thought because there are a ton of very knowledgable people on here.
  11. kidrock

    15,000 only?

    This post is not directed at anyone specifically. I go to the games I want, when I want. That usually amount to 3 per year and I watch about 130 games on TV. I dont really like trying to make people feel like they are less of fans because they dont go to the yard as much. I dont think anyone should be in a position to say what is or isnt a valid reason for not going to games. Let people do what they want to do. I love seeing big crowds at the yard as much as the next guy. I'm just not going to throw any judgement at those who don't go as much. From an O's marketing standpoint, if you want more people at the games, give them more incentives. There are a million ways to incentivise people to go to the yard. Question for the hangout....what generates more revenue for a MLB team: TV or Gate? I feel like watching them on TV is what helped these new TV contracts get so large and really propel the salaries of the players and revenue for the owners.
  12. This quote is not directed at any one person and I never usually post but.... To assume that an American diet consists of burgers, fries and a coke is insane. I am a CPA and my diet consists of about 3000 calories worth of vegetables, fruits and meat/ fish. I eat that way to fuel my workouts and to stay generally healthy. I don't eat much process foods nor do I eat much sugar. I solely drink water. I don't say this to sound like an arrogant jerk, I say this because I assume that most non Prince Fielder athletes eat healthy. I eat this way and it has no factor on my career or compensation, but athletes can make millions by relying on their body. I am assuming Hank's diet may have been poor during his trip here, but that really doesn't change the fact that he could be eating and lifting well during the offseason. I have put of 10 'healthy' pounds while working a desk job. I can only imagine what I could do if I had pro athlete resources, money, trainers and equipment. At the end if the day, Hank looks stronger and that seems normal to me.
  13. kidrock

    Pecota 2013

    I wouldnt be suprised to see all 5 teams between 80-87 wins. No team is that great this year and I could see one injury derailing any team. If any the teams has one of their star players gets hurt for more than 90 games, I could see their respective teams falling hard.
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